Asian League · resolved market
Will Avispa Fukuoka win on 2026-04-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd27b2a14d6c51155b5bc66e9e646b75735f5a57f8a4d9b1979e1b7715e175dae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,190
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,079
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,190 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbe87…6fc0backed No | 45c | 4,633$2,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,101.52 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 41c | 3,604$1,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,143.31 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x135f…528cbacked Yes | 9c | 990.37$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.74 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | +164.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 49c | 840.6$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.37 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d1c…f13cbacked Yes | 50c | 807.05$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.62 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 45c | 765.06$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.7 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 8c | 755.84$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.37 | 487 | 68%331 W · 156 L | +69.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 6c | 563.1$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.31 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked No | 38c | 479.68$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.9 | 148 | 23%34 W · 114 L | -10.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 7c | 376.56$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.79 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 65c | 301.23$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.43 | 246 | 54.1%133 W · 113 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…20bfbacked Yes | 22c | 266.64$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.98 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 78c | 266.57$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.93 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 17c | 229.77$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.71 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea87…8066backed Yes | 23c | 207.35$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.66 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd2…f9a6backed No | 80c | 203.07$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.46 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked No | 52c | 186.77$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.12 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99ec…0da5backed No | 52c | 186.77$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.12 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.7wins | -0.33per pick | 51cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Yes | 31c | 173.63$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.5 | 345 | 58.6%202 W · 143 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bac…f1a6backed Yes | 58c | 168.07$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.59 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…3231backed Yes | 58c | 168.07$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.59 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Yes | 8c | 154.95$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.55 | 167 | 59.9%100 W · 67 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 42c | 146.73$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.31 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Yes | 20c | 140.23$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.18 | 137 | 46.7%64 W · 73 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 27c | 139.6$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 185 | 42.7%79 W · 106 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 13c | 132.47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 282 | 51.4%145 W · 137 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Yes | 58c | 132$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.44 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 48c | 130.8$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.01 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 77c | 116.85$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Yes | 59c | 114.68$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.02 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -8.2wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 15c | 114.24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.57 | 294 | 25.2%74 W · 220 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb475…978cbacked No | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +7.6wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +87.6%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf40a…ea0abacked Yes | 52c | 91.6$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.26 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Yes | 38c | 88.15$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.24 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 42c | 87.51$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.66 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Yes | 17c | 86.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.04 | 241 | 62.2%150 W · 91 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked Yes | 59c | 83.08$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.31 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc046…f138backed No | 29c | 82.86$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.03 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd54…b7aebacked Yes | 22c | 82.32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.21 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3492…969abacked Yes | 60c | 81.68$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.89 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 56cpaid | +104%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 15c | 68.75$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.63 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked No | 17c | 67.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 110 | 23.6%26 W · 84 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 65c | 60$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 324 | 57.1%185 W · 139 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9531…18ffbacked No | 53c | 54.73$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.01 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…ba55backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45dd…7b56backed No | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2494…17b3backed Yes | 59c | 49.7$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.38 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Yes | 59c | 44.64$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 78c | 40.73$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.96 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe727…f6e1backed Yes | 59c | 34.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 48c | 31.51$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed No | 80c | 30.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef2…5584backed Yes | 58c | 25.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.59 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x581a…8e5fbacked Yes | 75c | 23.93$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.87 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5622…0111backed No | 80c | 22.53$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 77c | 19.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 423 | 51.3%217 W · 206 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Avispa Fukuoka win on 2026-04-22?this page
- Will Gamba Ōsaka vs. Avispa Fukuoka end in a draw?No won
- Will Gamba Ōsaka win on 2026-04-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.