Mls · resolved market
Will Nashville SC win on 2026-04-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe61d1ccdccf5f8ce4114204126e4f7c30760399de1131c8e769a5f7aa7a02f08
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,379
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,461
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,379 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 40c | 2,180$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.38 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 12c | 2,030$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.62 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 60c | 1,777$1,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.01 | 236 | 43.6%103 W · 133 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Yes | 64c | 1,223$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.28 | 156 | 76.9%120 W · 36 L | +32.7wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…32f8backed No | 6c | 1,162$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.73 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Yes | 62c | 791.41$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.03 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 39c | 658.35$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.76 | 215 | 47.9%103 W · 112 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 6c | 578$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.68 | 189 | 67.2%127 W · 62 L | +21.1wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Yes | 62c | 550.02$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.01 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 36c | 540.56$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.47 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 293 | 70.3%206 W · 87 L | +41.2wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 25c | 489.5$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.71 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Yes | 61c | 408.32$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.25 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 62c | 363.05$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.97 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 67c | 319.94$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.21 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 38c | 298.92$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.81 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d7…68dfbacked Yes | 62c | 286.67$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.55 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Yes | 59c | 247.98$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.67 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -7.4wins | -0.22per pick | 54cpaid | -41%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed No | 15c | 237.31$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.62 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…3fe8backed No | 41c | 219.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.2 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 27c | 218.57$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.42 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Yes | 60c | 196.16$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.06 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -4.4wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed No | 18c | 190.15$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.04 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 17c | 184.5$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.96 | 205 | 35.1%72 W · 133 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 40c | 180$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 12c | 170.05$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.57 | 229 | 46.7%107 W · 122 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 39c | 151.51$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.59 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked No | 18c | 146.23$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Yes | 67c | 140.02$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.61 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd628…1782backed Yes | 62c | 136.78$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.46 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 61c | 127.87$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.87 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 40c | 120$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 260 | 50.4%131 W · 129 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 12c | 118.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 270 | 58.9%159 W · 111 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed Yes | 64c | 112.5$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 89 | 71.9%64 W · 25 L | +17.2wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2d55…f50cbacked Yes | 60c | 96.99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.72 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 40c | 90.45$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.18 | 192 | 55.2%106 W · 86 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed No | 39c | 87.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.31 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 14c | 86.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 235 | 48.9%115 W · 120 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked No | 40c | 85$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 80 | 65%52 W · 28 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0dc…ffadbacked No | 41c | 80$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 115 | 63.5%73 W · 42 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1df…6b6cbacked No | 42c | 75.38$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Yes | 77c | 74$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 99 | 65.7%65 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…1dafbacked Yes | 60c | 73.2$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.28 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 69c | 67.36$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.98 | 580 | 43.6%253 W · 327 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 69c | 67$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.77 | 154 | 58.4%90 W · 64 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed No | 23c | 65.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 40c | 61.42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.87 | 166 | 56.6%94 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 27c | 58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 38c | 48.14$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | -10.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -43%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2a…c0d8backed Yes | 61c | 48.03$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.73 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +107.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked Yes | 64c | 45.67$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2709…9e3bbacked Yes | 61c | 40.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 33c | 39.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 249 | 20.9%52 W · 197 L | -19.4wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked No | 36c | 37.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 59 | 28.8%17 W · 42 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed No | 42c | 37.3$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.67 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -11.4wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 59c | 36.9$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 261 | 50.2%131 W · 130 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 39c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 372 | 49.2%183 W · 189 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked No | 42c | 34.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Yes | 71c | 32.67$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 190 | 52.1%99 W · 91 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc86b…675cbacked No | 46c | 30.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked No | 41c | 28.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 60cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x747b…16fcbacked Yes | 61c | 25.66$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.01 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde67…a253backed Yes | 60c | 21.59$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.63 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 59c | 20.73$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 57c | 18.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 107 | 57%61 W · 46 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Yes | 80c | 15.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.11 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Nashville SC win on 2026-04-25?this page
- Will Charlotte FC win on 2026-04-25?No won
- Will Nashville SC vs. Charlotte FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.