TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CA River Plate win on 2026-04-12?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$42,154
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$47,638

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,154 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked No24c10,079$2,469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,468.965,76245.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L+94.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No43c2,188$937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$937.232,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Yes74c2,000$1,476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523.481560%9 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes49c1,948$957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$991.381,07047.4%507 W · 563 L-46.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No41c1,806$747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$746.768,11248.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L+27.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked No1c1,558$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.818740.2%35 W · 52 L+5.7wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+2.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x196e…e9d6backed Yes69c1,348$930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.914100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+47.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes69c1,032$712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.2865058%377 W · 273 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Yes47c1,000$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.412934.5%10 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-0.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No51c996.22$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.381,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xabd5…e713backed No33c943.28$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.742445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfec2…08afbacked Yes25c896.36$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$672.2712541.6%52 W · 73 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No67c745.96$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.7951749.9%258 W · 259 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked Yes35c686.43$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.1819144.5%85 W · 106 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf40a…ea0abacked Yes79c584.67$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.328268.3%56 W · 26 L+8.6wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+14.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x840e…b9edbacked Yes59c545.09$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.491942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49b2…4aeebacked No70c524.82$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.379752.6%51 W · 46 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+16.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea2…7e4cbacked Yes33c511.89$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No19c474.2$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.593,75538.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No68c447.98$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.631,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked No8c354.3$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.3415654.5%85 W · 71 L+0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Yes69c351.02$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.6541256.6%233 W · 179 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Yes69c351.02$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.6515956.6%90 W · 69 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Yes69c348.61$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.936757.5%211 W · 156 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43c7…d727backed No37c300.63$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.053053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No54c283.09$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.041,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x43ce…c264backed Yes32c268.34$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.477732.5%25 W · 52 L-0.2wins0.00per pick33cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ff9…bf35backed No34c211.47$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.88666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+26.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No34c201.8$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.5284943.8%372 W · 477 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Yes70c193.71$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.1147758.1%277 W · 200 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No68c187.42$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.451,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Yes68c176.17$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.3728158.7%165 W · 116 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Yes68c176.17$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.3726160.9%159 W · 102 L+20.4wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+12.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x561a…7be2backed Yes61c160.1$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.44450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-23.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed No18c155.88$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.689457.4%54 W · 40 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd27d…a84fbacked Yes68c154.9$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.5711856.8%67 W · 51 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfbc…f670backed Yes33c144.92$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.52236.4%8 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No68c144.38$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.533,40751.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa76c…dc83backed Yes35c137.29$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.246735.8%24 W · 43 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+2.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7abf…8dd3backed No73c131.93$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.663953.8%21 W · 18 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x569b…c66ebacked Yes33c130.88$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.6918743.9%82 W · 105 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cbd…db9abacked Yes33c130.88$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.69250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No9c123.73$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7547756%267 W · 210 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8277…7d31backed No40c121.83$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.552839.3%11 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-19.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed No40c117.55$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.021163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No67c110.5$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.041,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2aef…f8dfbacked Yes60c105.6$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.243043.3%13 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Yes64c101.23$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.4416759.9%100 W · 67 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b43…9e23backed Yes61c100.8$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.315438.9%21 W · 33 L+4.6wins+0.08per pick30cpaid+35.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No70c98.2$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.7451654.8%283 W · 233 L+0.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d81…11a2backed Yes32c95.92$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed No20c80$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167950.6%40 W · 39 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd22f…c30ebacked Yes32c74.94$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.96944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick35cpaid+50%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes65c73.82$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7194848.1%456 W · 492 L-18.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes68c72.12$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.0838861.3%238 W · 150 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed No14c71.43$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1071619.7%141 W · 575 L-49.1wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-32.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Yes69c69.59$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.4724654.9%135 W · 111 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf68…ed10backed Yes61c64.04$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.984156.1%23 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x747b…16fcbacked Yes60c61.16$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.471376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick63cpaid+21.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3caa…b251backed Yes25c57.3$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.97366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick39cpaid+102.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed No69c50.39$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.7710846.3%50 W · 58 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbf3…80abbacked Yes30c49.82$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.8710146.5%47 W · 54 L+9.5wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+20%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes26c48.6$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.161,03849.4%513 W · 525 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe868…7c4fbacked Yes30c48.18$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.815944.1%26 W · 33 L+6.3wins+0.11per pick33cpaid+36.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x4915…60f2backed Yes33c47$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.492560%15 W · 10 L+3.2wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+35.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc3f9…2e72backed No34c46.47$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41bc…e9d2backed No71c44.63$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.69425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-59.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe697…708fbacked Yes64c38.87$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.8825864.3%166 W · 92 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No67c37.98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.452,61454.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L+25.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes61c37.98$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.8140442.1%170 W · 234 L-12.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1105…09d0backed No42c37.88$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9111156.8%63 W · 48 L-8.8wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-13.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf512…5198backed Yes59c36.22$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.8511863.6%75 W · 43 L+0.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe941…a496backed No41c36.13$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.865865.5%38 W · 20 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1792…118abacked Yes45c33.29$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3129362.5%183 W · 110 L+13.1wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+1.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a91…7ebabacked Yes59c33.06$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.5616266%107 W · 55 L+10.3wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x605d…2415backed Yes35c32.63$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.08333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15ba…3630backed Yes62c31.52$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.98333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-46.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e29…cfbfbacked Yes59c30.01$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.232040%8 W · 12 L-3.6wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-28.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1e9f…b23bbacked No67c30$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.18261%50 W · 32 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x278f…5c17backed No49c29.72$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5760%0 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xefa8…924ebacked No37c28.97$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.62128.6%6 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-36.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe905…f7e2backed Yes62c26.29$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.01771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+23.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked No40c25.93$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.318265.9%54 W · 28 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5be1…3371backed Yes61c24.01$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.377160.6%43 W · 28 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ce5…af2ebacked Yes61c24.01$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.374362.8%27 W · 16 L+4.3wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4df9…7a99backed Yes71c20.76$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.02366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed98…a5a0backed Yes64c17.43$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x370f…56d0backed Yes62c17.34$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb213…49e1backed Yes76c17.07$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.011258.3%7 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick71cpaid-13%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes70c15.24$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.5744959%265 W · 184 L+22.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Yes70c15.24$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.5716160.9%98 W · 63 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.