South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Racing Club vs. CA River Plate end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7101240dcc7eb683f634d6d7b1a22da60ab7262fc8326ccef4c3d6c0083194a9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,520
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,472
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,520 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 70c | 6,618$4,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,986.7 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 28c | 2,486$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.74 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 34c | 2,413$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.02 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 34c | 1,975$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.34 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed No | 65c | 1,525$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.89 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 67c | 1,324$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.79 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 29c | 642.8$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.87 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 67c | 500$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x840e…b9edbacked No | 62c | 488.6$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.67 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 66c | 365.67$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.33 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 28c | 241.11$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.51 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 36c | 160.2$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.54 | 302 | 31.1%94 W · 208 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 26c | 158$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.7 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 32c | 147.06$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.06 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x569b…c66ebacked No | 68c | 144.24$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.16 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 36c | 132$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.52 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7abf…8dd3backed No | 65c | 130.82$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.04 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbd…db9abacked Yes | 33c | 129.27$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes | 27c | 108.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Yes | 27c | 108.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 281 | 58.7%165 W · 116 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yes | 27c | 108.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Yes | 27c | 108.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 412 | 56.6%233 W · 179 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 24c | 102.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.39 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 23c | 101.03$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 187 | 33.2%62 W · 125 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…9e23backed Yes | 29c | 96.67$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Yes | 28c | 96.65$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.74 | 118 | 56.8%67 W · 51 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe868…7c4fbacked Yes | 28c | 85.43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.92 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | +6.3wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 26c | 82.47$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.44 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 13c | 81.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 28c | 80.37$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Yes | 28c | 80.37$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 367 | 57.5%211 W · 156 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Yes | 28c | 80.37$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x659f…04e4backed Yes | 28c | 80.37$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Yes | 28c | 80.37$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Yes | 28c | 80.37$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 261 | 60.9%159 W · 102 L | +20.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfd…aadebacked Yes | 28c | 80.37$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -7.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Yes | 28c | 80.37$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 167 | 59.9%100 W · 67 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes | 28c | 80.37$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 341 | 55.1%188 W · 153 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Yes | 28c | 80.37$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 154 | 57.1%88 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Yes | 28c | 80.37$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 159 | 56.6%90 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Yes | 28c | 80.37$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 190 | 56.3%107 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43c7…d727backed Yes | 28c | 74.41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.83 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yes | 18c | 60.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabd5…e713backed Yes | 28c | 52.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes | 20c | 50.31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 67c | 45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 169 | 60.9%103 W · 66 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd22f…c30ebacked Yes | 33c | 30.54$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +50%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb651…4a7cbacked No | 67c | 29.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 67c | 29.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec7…2b6bbacked No | 68c | 17.31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.54 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Racing Club vs. CA River Plate end in a draw?this page
- Will CA River Plate win on 2026-04-12?Yes won
- Will Racing Club win on 2026-04-12?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.