TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Millwall FC win on 2026-04-21?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$44,147
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$45,369

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,147 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xac75…1319backed Yes43c19,986$8,594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,392.23036.7%11 W · 19 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x15a6…bf5dbacked No57c14,872$8,477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,477.064040%16 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+31.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked No54c3,848$2,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,093.5915038%57 W · 93 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No53c2,713$1,438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,437.752,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bb2…a656backed No49c1,979$969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$969.494637%17 W · 29 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0336…4bb0backed No57c1,791$1,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,020.7580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+71.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No30c1,610$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.521,01233.2%336 W · 676 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes59c1,481$869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.936,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes50c939.21$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.471,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Yes43c896.25$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.8620545.4%93 W · 112 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed No57c839.99$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.822746.7%106 W · 121 L-8.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Yes47c701.72$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.9139555.9%221 W · 174 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x660d…56acbacked Yes56c526.79$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.7911146.8%52 W · 59 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed No53c511.31$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.9913846.4%64 W · 74 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No52c499.97$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.9917062.4%106 W · 64 L+13.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No11c481.69$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.871,66234.9%580 W · 1,082 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf95e…1816backed No57c473.43$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.85333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-55.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked No49c409.99$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.912549.6%62 W · 63 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No48c375.69$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.332,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e3e…7857backed Yes47c354.4$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.833661.1%22 W · 14 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Yes47c347.57$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.4824052.9%127 W · 113 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e00…ba80backed Yes48c319.7$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.253100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+76.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfec2…08afbacked Yes53c298.29$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.947742.9%33 W · 44 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc70d…a6f9backed Yes49c296.76$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.353847.4%18 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Yes77c262$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.6113132.1%42 W · 89 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed No48c253.94$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.896043.3%26 W · 34 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+18.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1cf9…b4cabacked No20c238$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.61118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-23.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf49f…98c8backed Yes47c236.9$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.56366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+48.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No42c215.74$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.42,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4523…7adebacked Yes48c211.2$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.823100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+83.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked No46c210.35$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.768736.8%32 W · 55 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed No48c210$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.826247.7%125 W · 137 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Yes47c206.48$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.728859.7%172 W · 116 L+19.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf11a…d3e3backed No46c206.09$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.282347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick59cpaid-23.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3e1c…53f2backed No52c192.3$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.997247.2%34 W · 38 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d21…abc5backed Yes52c186.77$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.656543.1%28 W · 37 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed No52c182.62$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.918651.6%96 W · 90 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x395c…0be0backed Yes52c180.38$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.581136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed No24c179.84$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.4142324.3%103 W · 320 L-36.4wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-47%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No53c158.27$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.7548950.1%245 W · 244 L+18.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9dfd…aadebacked Yes47c157.51$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.754257.1%24 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6df…588cbacked Yes48c149.2$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.58683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.31per pick53cpaid+44.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x22af…399abacked No20c142.8$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.564533.3%15 W · 30 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick25cpaid+110.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed No49c139.99$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.611048.2%53 W · 57 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x98d8…de5ebacked Yes46c139.98$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.59944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed No52c129.11$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.1412157%69 W · 52 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x392d…f2bfbacked Yes50c124.49$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.85425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-50.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No50c109.82$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.3869851.1%357 W · 341 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes47c103.56$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.1621254.2%115 W · 97 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7894…7b9dbacked Yes48c100.76$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.39450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52bd…1a8abacked Yes55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456845.6%31 W · 37 L-7.4wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-20.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed No52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5212558.4%73 W · 52 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No52c97.12$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.529158.4%170 W · 121 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10fd…633bbacked Yes51c97.06$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.562231.8%7 W · 15 L-4.0wins-0.18per pick50cpaid-45.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7a7a…7c83backed No49c94.66$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.39580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+16.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe867…0905backed Yes52c94.04$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.146543.1%28 W · 37 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6cb4…db25backed Yes52c93.38$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.821540%6 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-28.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x977c…8c15backed Yes52c93.1$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.69728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick52cpaid-53.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2062…6be2backed Yes55c88.45$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.87537.3%28 W · 47 L-5.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6398…0485backed Yes52c80.82$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.791478.6%11 W · 3 L+3.0wins+0.21per pick57cpaid+38.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x67fc…722bbacked No49c79.13$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.781154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x81c9…4a47backed No46c77.59$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.441464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick60cpaid0%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked No51c75.01$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.8839651.5%204 W · 192 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No52c75$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3981559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee0a…36d8backed Yes52c74.71$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.861464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick61cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36f9…5445backed Yes51c73.41$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.016175.4%46 W · 15 L+12.0wins+0.20per pick56cpaid+35%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No52c72.14$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.821,61553%856 W · 759 L+33.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x806a…62d7backed Yes49c69.24$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.314535.6%16 W · 29 L-4.9wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-26%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa66f…f5a3backed No52c62$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.2441040.5%166 W · 244 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36aa…a683backed Yes51c60.97$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.887236.1%26 W · 46 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-14.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x55e7…4fb9backed Yes48c60.55$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.493444.1%15 W · 19 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Yes55c58.38$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.2727846.4%129 W · 149 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c08…e7b6backed Yes55c58.38$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.2717047.6%81 W · 89 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x981b…b8eabacked No50c58.2$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.113746%63 W · 74 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf133…4811backed No51c57.98$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.379331.2%29 W · 64 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed No47c54.99$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.9629855%164 W · 134 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed No44c53.93$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7327752.3%145 W · 132 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x78d8…cffcbacked Yes75c52.62$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.224278.6%33 W · 9 L+6.2wins+0.15per pick64cpaid+25.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb8e1…9bc1backed Yes48c50.62$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.325158.8%30 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94a5…4eb8backed Yes53c48.59$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.841850%9 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No50c47.27$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6580953.6%434 W · 375 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed No53c43.42$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.0110949.5%54 W · 55 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66c0…5fc2backed Yes51c41.87$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.52862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2568…ef92backed No50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1314162.4%88 W · 53 L+7.1wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes75c39.4$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.8537840.5%153 W · 225 L-15.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbda3…ef65backed Yes52c38.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.65366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+35%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0823…8803backed Yes50c38.8$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.4666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+31.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Yes50c38.8$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.431746.1%146 W · 171 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51fc…ed09backed Yes51c38.06$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.652035%7 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-23.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb135…f5b9backed No52c37.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.693941%16 W · 23 L-4.5wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-25.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc4d6…b2a6backed Yes52c37.35$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.934475%33 W · 11 L+6.1wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+21.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x747b…16fcbacked Yes53c36.67$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.24933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-46.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x51d5…3aeabacked No52c36.42$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.941070%7 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+21.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ce5…af2ebacked No55c35.38$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.461266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe697…708fbacked Yes48c34.68$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.0418961.9%117 W · 72 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd41…5afebacked Yes54c32.41$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.915145.1%23 W · 28 L-4.2wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-16.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x646c…e61abacked Yes51c32.07$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46d2…6805backed Yes48c31$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.098757.5%50 W · 37 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed Yes80c30.64$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.133348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x488c…a2dabacked No49c29.68$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5422356.5%126 W · 97 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.