Premier League · resolved market
Will Stoke City FC vs. Millwall FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x17d8dc2d50cb679932ceb091257bb64e10813108432d4bf0759665a73a78b95d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,190
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,767
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,190 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 24c | 8,366$2,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,007.84 | 533 | 44.8%239 W · 294 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 77c | 6,296$4,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470.82 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 16c | 2,108$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.27 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked No | 76c | 1,173$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.49 | 149 | 75.8%113 W · 36 L | +26.0wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 76c | 1,060$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.28 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 25c | 999.99$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 200 | 40.5%81 W · 119 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed No | 74c | 984.4$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.94 | 80 | 65%52 W · 28 L | +10.3wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 15c | 927.26$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.77 | 1,012 | 33.2%336 W · 676 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…3fe8backed Yes | 28c | 889.82$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.15 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 26c | 700$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 72c | 672.32$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.3 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 75c | 449.35$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.34 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b2…7b9cbacked Yes | 26c | 367.54$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.56 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed No | 76c | 265.85$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.8 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed Yes | 24c | 250$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 89 | 30.3%27 W · 62 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 76c | 222.73$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.15 | 395 | 55.9%221 W · 174 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 76c | 221.85$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.24 | 300 | 57%171 W · 129 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked No | 76c | 206.98$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.67 | 181 | 56.4%102 W · 79 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 7c | 152.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 423 | 24.3%103 W · 320 L | -36.4wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -47%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed Yes | 14c | 110.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 157 | 38.9%61 W · 96 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 25c | 86$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 698 | 51.1%357 W · 341 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 74c | 84.66$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.01 | 489 | 50.1%245 W · 244 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f47…ae5dbacked Yes | 28c | 76.54$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.43 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Yes | 23c | 51.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51f0…186cbacked Yes | 28c | 51.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed No | 75c | 49.25$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 61 | 75.4%46 W · 15 L | +12.0wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +35%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x0433…653cbacked Yes | 26c | 42.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed No | 76c | 38.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.34 | 79 | 60.8%48 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed No | 73c | 29.78$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.04 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed No | 76c | 29.58$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae74…e429backed No | 74c | 26.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed No | 76c | 25.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 76c | 25.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 202 | 59.9%121 W · 81 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 365 | 45.2%165 W · 200 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 72c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked No | 75c | 21.67$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.42 | 292 | 50%146 W · 146 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked No | 76c | 19.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.73 | 179 | 59.8%107 W · 72 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 76c | 19.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.73 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea65…d27dbacked No | 76c | 19.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.73 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | -8.2wins | -0.14per pick | 75cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 72c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 809 | 53.6%434 W · 375 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked No | 77c | 15.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.51 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3746…a99fbacked No | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.65 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -5.0wins | -0.21per pick | 37cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Stoke City FC vs. Millwall FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Millwall FC win on 2026-04-21?Yes won
- Will Stoke City FC win on 2026-04-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.