South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-04-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfd5351438ca505abaefb586ba83e88dc5d25a24c9e344a38480fa85e95a430a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $353,853
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $361,599
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $353,853 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 203 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb22…6478backed Yes | 50c | 255,002$127,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127,409.63 | 294 | 46.6%137 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed No | 50c | 115,026$57,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57,012.48 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked No | 50c | 19,691$9,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,845.5 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe87…6fc0backed No | 51c | 16,969$8,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,654.25 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 49c | 13,625$6,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,676.21 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 48c | 13,524$6,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,502.28 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 60c | 13,500$8,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,414.98 | 308 | 41.2%127 W · 181 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 42c | 12,179$5,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,093.49 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 51c | 10,889$5,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,547.94 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5710…8028backed No | 50c | 8,861$4,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,430.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 57c | 7,222$4,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,127.17 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4956…e2c7backed Yes | 45c | 6,768$3,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,736.36 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked No | 55c | 6,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 130 | 59.2%77 W · 53 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18e3…0da5backed No | 57c | 5,063$2,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,863.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x768b…bf0fbacked No | 51c | 4,099$2,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,090.67 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…9d8cbacked No | 51c | 3,806$1,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,941.2 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 47c | 3,574$1,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,668.05 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 55c | 3,397$1,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,868.56 | 248 | 55.2%137 W · 111 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 51c | 3,316$1,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,701.99 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8228…b2fbbacked Yes | 45c | 3,208$1,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,764.56 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 49c | 3,012$1,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,475.89 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 49c | 2,872$1,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,397.72 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 48c | 2,796$1,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,342.06 | 412 | 56.6%233 W · 179 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 48c | 2,460$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,189.57 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd705…fb7cbacked Yes | 40c | 2,406$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,448.18 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6f…ce60backed No | 51c | 2,352$1,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ff…9953backed No | 49c | 2,256$1,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,112.58 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6955…867abacked Yes | 55c | 2,206$1,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +80.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 55c | 1,924$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,064.08 | 165 | 58.2%96 W · 69 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed No | 51c | 1,747$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.01 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -7.0wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 51c | 1,679$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.96 | 429 | 62.2%267 W · 162 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 56c | 1,654$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.68 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35c8…90cbbacked No | 54c | 1,550$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.24 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 55c | 1,359$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.62 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4815…8ba4backed Yes | 45c | 1,289$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.13 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 51c | 1,239$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.23 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked No | 50c | 1,187$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.52 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 51c | 1,124$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.55 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 53c | 1,041$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.94 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed No | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Yes | 42c | 999.91$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.95 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | -11.2wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…1204backed No | 50c | 999.1$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.55 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7abf…8dd3backed No | 49c | 986.55$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.07 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b29…556ebacked Yes | 34c | 977.35$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.35 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.21per pick | 32cpaid | +50%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 50c | 948.58$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.29 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb611…188fbacked No | 41c | 833.95$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.92 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 59c | 719.18$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.03 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 51c | 714.36$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.32 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8a…f0b8backed Yes | 59c | 659.6$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.4 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +5.0wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2aef…f8dfbacked Yes | 49c | 599.96$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.98 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 51c | 570.92$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.17 | 275 | 49.1%135 W · 140 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 47c | 559.1$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.33 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26cb…9fe7backed No | 52c | 505.53$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.22 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed No | 55c | 499.99$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 183 | 58.5%107 W · 76 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 55c | 499.99$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.99 | 288 | 51.7%149 W · 139 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 55c | 499.93$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.96 | 230 | 56.5%130 W · 100 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 51c | 490$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.9 | 307 | 54.7%168 W · 139 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 55c | 449.98$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.49 | 249 | 56.6%141 W · 108 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Yes | 45c | 429.71$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.34 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed No | 43c | 407.21$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.56 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8c…6a99backed Yes | 52c | 406.95$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.34 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +46%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed No | 55c | 402.4$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.39 | 213 | 58.7%125 W · 88 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 55c | 399.99$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 165 | 59.4%98 W · 67 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 55c | 399.94$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.97 | 158 | 57.6%91 W · 67 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed No | 51c | 398.1$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.03 | 230 | 57.4%132 W · 98 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972f…65bdbacked Yes | 52c | 373.54$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.3 | 132 | 57.6%76 W · 56 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x533d…ceeebacked No | 7c | 356.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 30 | 10%3 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 53c | 353$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.57 | 138 | 28.3%39 W · 99 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 49c | 326.15$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.27 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed No | 62c | 317.07$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.39 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Yes | 51c | 313.7$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.53 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57c8…3d9bbacked No | 42c | 303.02$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.07 | 65 | 29.2%19 W · 46 L | -8.7wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…3231backed Yes | 28c | 273.16$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.67 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43ce…c264backed Yes | 52c | 262.97$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.23 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked No | 55c | 249.99$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.5 | 203 | 60.6%123 W · 80 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked No | 55c | 249.99$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.49 | 216 | 57.9%125 W · 91 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 53c | 236$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.41 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 42c | 226.56$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.75 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa859…fdb5backed Yes | 58c | 221.36$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.97 | 162 | 62.3%101 W · 61 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes | 45c | 214.89$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.19 | 317 | 45.1%143 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3d…7de0backed Yes | 61c | 211.92$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.65 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 50c | 211.25$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.59 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed No | 51c | 203.64$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.85 | 117 | 63.2%74 W · 43 L | +9.7wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked No | 58c | 195.01$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.11 | 332 | 66.3%220 W · 112 L | +24.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed No | 51c | 194.12$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c07…5feabacked Yes | 50c | 194$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Yes | 51c | 192.05$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.1 | 143 | 35.7%51 W · 92 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked No | 56c | 190.83$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.86 | 213 | 45.1%96 W · 117 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked No | 47c | 185.4$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.14 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes | 50c | 180.2$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.1 | 341 | 55.1%188 W · 153 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes | 56c | 174.44$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.09 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c89…526abacked Yes | 56c | 173.86$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Yes | 50c | 160$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 489 | 22.9%112 W · 377 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Yes | 45c | 155.31$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.43 | 166 | 53.6%89 W · 77 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 25c | 154.89$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.11 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 44c | 150$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed No | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed No | 55c | 150$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 220 | 58.6%129 W · 91 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed No | 55c | 149.99$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 134 | 65.7%88 W · 46 L | +13.1wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-04-15?this page
- Will Club Libertad vs. CA Rosario Central end in a draw?No won
- Will Club Libertad win on 2026-04-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.