South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Club Libertad vs. CA Rosario Central end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x719c33b1e6129bd713bd861277437bcdf277a90e9403e07c614bc1b075675c5b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,299
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,840
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,299 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b3d…7de0backed Yes | 54c | 2,386$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280.4 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 47c | 1,811$857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953.7 | 1,296 | 43%557 W · 739 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 33c | 1,440$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.1 | 131 | 34.4%45 W · 86 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 13c | 1,354$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.23 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 67c | 999.98$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.99 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 30c | 822.27$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.68 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 66c | 639.77$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.71 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57c8…3d9bbacked No | 47c | 303.52$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.5 | 65 | 29.2%19 W · 46 L | -8.7wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…04a8backed Yes | 7c | 284.52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 9c | 268.91$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Yes | 32c | 252.78$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.08 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 30c | 249.77$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.91 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed No | 38c | 209.22$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.31 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51a4…02d6backed No | 40c | 204.2$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.52 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3636…ab7cbacked Yes | 63c | 202$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.26 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.3wins | -0.41per pick | 53cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Yes | 7c | 199.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56e0…1a3bbacked Yes | 31c | 163.89$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.81 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes | 31c | 154.61$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.93 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked No | 67c | 131.76$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.48 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccea…a8ebbacked No | 70c | 107.64$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.29 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 68c | 101.24$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 67c | 99.99$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked Yes | 65c | 97.44$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.65 | 104 | 65.4%68 W · 36 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcffe…55a6backed Yes | 31c | 96.6$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.47 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked Yes | 32c | 89.93$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.78 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked No | 42c | 78.97$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.62 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 75c | 77.73$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.33 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 69c | 77.07$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.07 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5be1…3371backed Yes | 38c | 76.01$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.88 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 69c | 75.02$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.25 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…d1efbacked Yes | 31c | 61.85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 50 | 20%10 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 67c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cc…015bbacked No | 68c | 52.4$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeafd…723fbacked Yes | 40c | 50.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7abf…8dd3backed No | 70c | 42.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 68c | 41.32$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.03 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…33b1backed Yes | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 31c | 35.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 3,755 | 38.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed No | 70c | 35.07$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.52 | 172 | 61%105 W · 67 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 59c | 34.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.99 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e95…f5bfbacked Yes | 68c | 31.73$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.58 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda4d…c8eebacked Yes | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 68c | 23.09$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 290 | 53.8%156 W · 134 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc19d…aea3backed No | 60c | 22.77$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.11 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…9d28backed No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 2,614 | 54.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L | +25.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Club Libertad vs. CA Rosario Central end in a draw?this page
- Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-04-15?Yes won
- Will Club Libertad win on 2026-04-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.