TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x603c…c46d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
29
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: MLB, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 57 out of 100; worst La Liga at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT2365.2%15 W · 8 L+3.1wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+27.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Athletics vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.42
Los Angeles Angels vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,649Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,648.94
Cleveland Guardians vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$82.83
Chicago White Sox vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$50.45
San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$56.79
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+69%+$149.48
Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+95.6%+$89.59
Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+176.2%+$376.38
Chicago White Sox vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.02
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$166.23
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.06
San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$88.24
Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.78
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlinsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$100.9
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Soxbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$109.18
Houston Astros vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$70.59
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$413Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+62.7%+$258.71
Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$134.47
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.73
Colorado Rockies vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.82
Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5)backed Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+100%+$48.5
Colorado Rockies vs. Houston Astros: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+52.4%+$25.67
Texas Rangers vs. Athleticsbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$117.56
All 23 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Lanús win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$13.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+79.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$338Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+79.7%+$269.83
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$166.18
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.