TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Athletics vs. Texas Rangers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Athleticsof Athletics, Texas Rangers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,029,863
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,445,582

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,029,863 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 227 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x63a5…8e33backed Athletics47c410,393$193,305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217,088.146445.3%29 W · 35 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Texas Rangers53c326,635$171,674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171,674.3831039%121 W · 189 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Texas Rangers54c43,550$23,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,3702,29348.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Texas Rangers54c35,932$19,346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,345.821,57248.3%759 W · 813 L-6.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Athletics44c20,502$9,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,475.684,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Athletics48c20,388$9,685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,703.291,21547.6%578 W · 637 L-19.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Texas Rangers55c16,033$8,752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,751.883,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Athletics47c15,470$7,261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,208.3754152.1%282 W · 259 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a88…41ccbacked Texas Rangers56c15,000$8,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,35038148.6%185 W · 196 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Texas Rangers58c11,501$6,671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,670.551,66050.1%832 W · 828 L-22.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Athletics43c10,597$4,516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,080.841,51551.1%774 W · 741 L+7.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Texas Rangers56c10,000$5,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,599.9960451%308 W · 296 L-2.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Texas Rangers53c7,476$3,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,999.311,40248.8%684 W · 718 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Texas Rangers35c6,720$2,372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,372.4612,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Texas Rangers1c5,636$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.011,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Texas Rangers55c5,523$3,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,020.876,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Athletics42c4,939$2,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,864.5811256.3%63 W · 49 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+15%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd3df…82fabacked Texas Rangers55c4,728$2,599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,599.348850.2%245 W · 243 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc689…5250backed Texas Rangers56c4,568$2,573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,572.554562.2%28 W · 17 L+4.4wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+16.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Texas Rangers39c4,030$1,569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,568.89,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked Athletics44c3,908$1,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,188.674835.4%17 W · 31 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Athletics76c3,788$2,885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$902.691,49958.9%883 W · 616 L+75.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x446f…b09fbacked Texas Rangers56c3,496$1,958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,957.63933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-26.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Texas Rangers55c3,427$1,885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,884.892054%497 W · 423 L+23.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Athletics43c2,626$1,129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,496.831,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8b5…a5cabacked Texas Rangers57c2,540$1,448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,447.84443.2%19 W · 25 L-7.5wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-22.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5915…dfdebacked Texas Rangers57c2,528$1,441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,440.95250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28ea…c45dbacked Texas Rangers9c2,285$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.2360%0 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa969…1a84backed Texas Rangers53c2,269$1,203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,202.5717452.9%92 W · 82 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c6e…271bbacked Athletics46c2,117$974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,143.446051.7%31 W · 29 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Texas Rangers50c2,092$1,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,040.921,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaacf…9837backed Athletics43c2,030$873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,157.13580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.34per pick46cpaid+72.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Texas Rangers56c2,000$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,12033852.7%178 W · 160 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Texas Rangers56c2,000$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,12027451.8%142 W · 132 L+1.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Texas Rangers1c1,855$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.221,11349%545 W · 568 L+22.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Texas Rangers56c1,854$1,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,038.22,40748.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L-62.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Texas Rangers28c1,778$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.758,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Athletics66c1,774$1,169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605.695,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Texas Rangers53c1,738$921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$921.285,40050.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L+17.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Athletics43c1,728$743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$985.184049.4%415 W · 425 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Texas Rangers3c1,705$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.0894034.3%322 W · 618 L-2.8wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce99…637ebacked Athletics43c1,572$676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$896.228646.5%40 W · 46 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Texas Rangers53c1,500$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7951,29250.2%648 W · 644 L+18.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x62c0…db73backed Athletics78c1,446$1,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.013256.3%18 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Texas Rangers58c1,372$798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$798.091,02951.2%527 W · 502 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Athletics68c1,344$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.4111,35652.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L+209.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf08b…7e76backed Athletics77c1,294$996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.726076.7%46 W · 14 L+10.4wins+0.17per pick59cpaid+29.9%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xd714…9a62backed Athletics43c1,142$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$650.74944.9%22 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Athletics44c1,111$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.3628049.6%139 W · 141 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ee3…cab9backed Texas Rangers10c1,038$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.4316232.1%52 W · 110 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x21b7…c861backed Texas Rangers3c999.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3014938.3%57 W · 92 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Texas Rangers53c991$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.231,52148.6%739 W · 782 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Texas Rangers39c987$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.810033%33 W · 67 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-22.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Texas Rangers26c823.66$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.121,14043%490 W · 650 L-37.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Texas Rangers54c756$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.692,29649.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Texas Rangers53c749.59$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.531,45642.7%622 W · 834 L-39.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c55…97d4backed Athletics45c715.58$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.5713655.1%75 W · 61 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x782b…ff64backed Texas Rangers48c713.75$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.7350860.2%306 W · 202 L+29.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Texas Rangers58c702.42$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.412640.5%51 W · 75 L-12.2wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-22%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Texas Rangers58c658.44$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.91,01048.1%486 W · 524 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Texas Rangers24c636.98$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.8913818.8%26 W · 112 L-17.2wins-0.12per pick31cpaid-46.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xc58a…b8f8backed Texas Rangers55c600.16$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.0913549.6%67 W · 68 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Texas Rangers54c600$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.0839053.6%209 W · 181 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x87af…c990backed Athletics42c574.52$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.2232742.2%138 W · 189 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ff5…f136backed Texas Rangers56c565.26$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.545054%27 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Texas Rangers54c500$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27085952.6%452 W · 407 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Texas Rangers52c500$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26061352.5%322 W · 291 L+29.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Texas Rangers3c486.8$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.81,19550%597 W · 598 L+5.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Texas Rangers3c482.83$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7294648.9%463 W · 483 L+4.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Texas Rangers3c481.71$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.841847.6%199 W · 219 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Texas Rangers2c472.89$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.732,02139.5%798 W · 1,223 L-25.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Texas Rangers2c442$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.374754.4%21 W · 454 L-20.9wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-72.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc070…203abacked Athletics44c439.27$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.9911941.2%49 W · 70 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed Texas Rangers52c432.01$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.3639640.9%162 W · 234 L-25.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-31.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Texas Rangers55c431.5$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.861,43550%717 W · 718 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Texas Rangers57c427.28$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.551,70849.9%852 W · 856 L-17.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd51b…9606backed Texas Rangers59c419.42$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.4622548.4%109 W · 116 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Athletics42c413.98$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.171,11945.5%509 W · 610 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a4…d8b4backed Texas Rangers3c364.86$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.043745.9%17 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Texas Rangers3c364.86$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0437747.2%178 W · 199 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dfd…aadebacked Texas Rangers3c356.72$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.047452.7%39 W · 35 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4dc8…6655backed Texas Rangers55c353.2$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.268353%44 W · 39 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Texas Rangers3c352.61$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0452449%257 W · 267 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57f3…4fcfbacked Texas Rangers57c341.82$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.8417954.2%97 W · 82 L-0.6wins0.00per pick55cpaid+6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1f0…c9e4backed Athletics43c336.91$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.0414047.1%66 W · 74 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Texas Rangers36c331.52$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.0955541.4%230 W · 325 L-26.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x40ff…9d91backed Texas Rangers59c330.64$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.0820443.1%88 W · 116 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Athletics44c328.58$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18411744.4%52 W · 65 L-9.0wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-15.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Texas Rangers57c300$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1711,48350.2%745 W · 738 L+5.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0373…4057backed Athletics42c289.56$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.9440645.1%183 W · 223 L-1.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked Texas Rangers24c284.15$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.0110338.8%40 W · 63 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Texas Rangers57c272.78$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.484852.1%25 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Texas Rangers27c272.48$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.951,34547.7%642 W · 703 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Texas Rangers49c271.38$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.085,12654.7%2,804 W · 2,322 L+231.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x12fd…90c0backed Texas Rangers55c271.17$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.1428244.7%126 W · 156 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x938e…9b66backed Texas Rangers57c256.37$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.1348150.7%244 W · 237 L-19.3wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0011…4cbabacked Texas Rangers28c255.66$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.9530963.1%195 W · 114 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Athletics79c249.97$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.4932166.4%213 W · 108 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked Texas Rangers24c247.41$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.4812745.7%58 W · 69 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x236b…26b7backed Athletics44c222.27$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.4713442.5%57 W · 77 L-0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.