MLB · resolved market
Cleveland Guardians vs. Toronto Blue Jays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x290788b96d86108140f3c65c49cd16e37f2acc52c123d84f232b5fe35c016cfb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cleveland Guardiansof Cleveland Guardians, Toronto Blue Jays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $307,918
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $308,559
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $307,918 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 247 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x38f0…2768backed Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 23,498$10,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,917.69 | 149 | 43.6%65 W · 84 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Toronto Blue Jays | 22c | 21,886$4,834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,834.19 | 319 | 58.6%187 W · 132 L | +27.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 14,045$8,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,800.55 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 13,480$7,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,200.63 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x817a…7e90backed Toronto Blue Jays | 1c | 12,274$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.74 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +3.8wins | +0.32per pick | 27cpaid | +97.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 10,809$5,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,080.1 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Toronto Blue Jays | 12c | 10,477$1,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,207.89 | 280 | 49.6%139 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Cleveland Guardians | 76c | 9,762$7,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,364.77 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 9,682$4,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,550.54 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 9,501$4,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,370.5 | 210 | 40%84 W · 126 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 8,748$4,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,024.15 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 8,736$4,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,105.86 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Cleveland Guardians | 76c | 7,472$5,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,793.26 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f48…93c7backed Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 6,486$3,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,048.63 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Toronto Blue Jays | 16c | 6,461$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,033.76 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 23c | 5,183$1,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.18 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cleveland Guardians | 77c | 4,198$3,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.19 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Cleveland Guardians | 67c | 3,888$2,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,264.66 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 3,873$1,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,820.22 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Cleveland Guardians | 67c | 3,493$2,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,152.1 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 78c | 3,097$2,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.54 | 301 | 40.5%122 W · 179 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc689…5250backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Cleveland Guardians | 76c | 2,785$2,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.7 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 2,572$1,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,208.66 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd56d…2dc7backed Cleveland Guardians | 80c | 2,511$2,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 2,418$1,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,112.16 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Toronto Blue Jays | 15c | 2,214$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.15 | 168 | 14.3%24 W · 144 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Toronto Blue Jays | 25c | 2,025$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.25 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3354…5042backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 2,001$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.29 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 338 | 52.7%178 W · 160 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 1,936$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910.11 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 15c | 1,843$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.98 | 138 | 18.8%26 W · 112 L | -17.2wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 1,648$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.56 | 308 | 44.2%136 W · 172 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 1,483$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.38 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Toronto Blue Jays | 42c | 1,329$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.3 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a6…c8d3backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 1,300$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.78 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 1,247$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.59 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Cleveland Guardians | 70c | 1,220$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.29 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c55…97d4backed Toronto Blue Jays | 27c | 1,179$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.41 | 136 | 55.1%75 W · 61 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd21…a494backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 1,166$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.08 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e06…e1c1backed Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 1,094$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 1,072$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.58 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f1…d867backed Toronto Blue Jays | 12c | 1,031$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.37 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67be…6e09backed Cleveland Guardians | 79c | 1,000$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 272 | 31.3%85 W · 187 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed Toronto Blue Jays | 7c | 999.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 149 | 38.3%57 W · 92 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 999.97$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.32 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 24c | 990.54$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.73 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Toronto Blue Jays | 36c | 973$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.12 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cleveland Guardians | 74c | 967$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.94 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Toronto Blue Jays | 7c | 963.15$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.1 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Toronto Blue Jays | 34c | 940.19$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.56 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 32c | 892.05$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 180 | 56.1%101 W · 79 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Toronto Blue Jays | 13c | 864.28$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.68 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9cd…39abbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 24c | 850.54$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.28 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…5053backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 799.53$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.78 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Toronto Blue Jays | 26c | 747.38$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.94 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 26c | 715.52$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.04 | 418 | 47.6%199 W · 219 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Toronto Blue Jays | 20c | 714$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.8 | 84 | 31%26 W · 58 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Toronto Blue Jays | 10c | 684.63$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.62 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 639.73$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.67 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 630.26$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.92 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Toronto Blue Jays | 39c | 621.98$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.24 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d3…6b6bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 618$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.46 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Toronto Blue Jays | 34c | 617.26$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.56 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbd…de14backed Toronto Blue Jays | 6c | 604.76$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a00…8734backed Toronto Blue Jays | 11c | 603.2$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.15 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 3c | 602.01$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b52…354ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 16c | 593.5$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.96 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7851…d471backed Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 580.92$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.03 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 540.22$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.5 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 540.22$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.5 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Toronto Blue Jays | 8c | 531.45$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.52 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 18c | 528.22$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.08 | 228 | 31.6%72 W · 156 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 515$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.05 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ea…c45dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 6c | 508.34$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.92 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 499.99$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.99 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +5.7wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 450.31$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.65 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9116…f76abacked Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 450.19$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.09 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 70c | 440.72$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.53 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff5…f136backed Cleveland Guardians | 64c | 435.49$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.67 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 74c | 423$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.98 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc070…203abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 412$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.64 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 410$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.6 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Cleveland Guardians | 74c | 371.29$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.7 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 80c | 370.5$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.1 | 321 | 66.4%213 W · 108 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Toronto Blue Jays | 26c | 367.54$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.56 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40ff…9d91backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 360.15$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.67 | 204 | 43.1%88 W · 116 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 359.79$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.5 | 483 | 54.7%264 W · 219 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 78c | 358.95$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.11 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Toronto Blue Jays | 26c | 358.32$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.16 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 350$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161 | 398 | 50.3%200 W · 198 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 13c | 338.41$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.64 | 263 | 15.6%41 W · 222 L | -11.9wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 322.67$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.65 | 274 | 52.6%144 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 309.82$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.62 | 117 | 44.4%52 W · 65 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac4…a601backed Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 309$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.23 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12fd…90c0backed Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 305.39$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.53 | 282 | 44.7%126 W · 156 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…4057backed Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 290.46$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.52 | 406 | 45.1%183 W · 223 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 285.45$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.16 | 526 | 38.4%202 W · 324 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Toronto Blue Jaysthis page
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 13.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 14.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-2.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-3.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-4.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cleveland Guardians vs. Toronto Blue JaysYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.