Asian League · resolved market
Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8cdb05caf8a73cfaf4609c3c1799ddb9046a0ed8d6e4b0b99b741d1b1fb682ca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wuhan San Zhen FCof Chengdu Rongcheng FC, Wuhan San Zhen FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,142
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,468
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,142 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x443b…e8bbbacked Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 42c | 1,057$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Wuhan San Zhen FC | 62c | 345.65$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.86 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Wuhan San Zhen FC | 63c | 319.13$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.03 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Wuhan San Zhen FC | 58c | 295.15$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.96 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…04a8backed Wuhan San Zhen FC | 60c | 267.47$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Wuhan San Zhen FC | 58c | 267.36$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.74 | 1,760 | 50.3%885 W · 875 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…12cebacked Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 27c | 260$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Wuhan San Zhen FC | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b0f…c7e8backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 63 | 23.8%15 W · 48 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x435a…21a5backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 35c | 56.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…d76fbacked Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0742…86a0backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 24c | 54.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 233 | 47.6%111 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Wuhan San Zhen FC | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 219 | 41.6%91 W · 128 L | -17.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Wuhan San Zhen FC | 58c | 48.48$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.26 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 39c | 46.49$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.16 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Wuhan San Zhen FC | 65c | 38.74$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 37c | 37.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 325 | 60.3%196 W · 129 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a48…3e67backed Wuhan San Zhen FC | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce3f…67c9backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Wuhan San Zhen FC | 58c | 17.36$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 117 | 64.1%75 W · 42 L | +11.7wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-1.5)this page
- Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-2.5)Wuhan San Zhen FC won
- Spread: Wuhan San Zhen FC (-1.5)Chengdu Rongcheng FC won
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.