Asian League · resolved market
Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x41194b4580d4ada8dface403bf9ab6b13835ccf88e799d1f5cba9a56c6fe85fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,506
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,108
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,506 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Over | 50c | 1,227$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 56c | 1,199$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.5 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bb…98b3backed Over | 53c | 1,029$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 41c | 1,018$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.21 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2dc…b624backed Over | 32c | 999.59$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.87 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 51c | 766$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.69 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 49c | 627.77$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.82 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 67c | 517.78$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.74 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Under | 53c | 465.42$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.62 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Over | 25c | 294.51$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.63 | 76 | 28.9%22 W · 54 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1411…081bbacked Over | 47c | 229.63$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57c8…3d9bbacked Over | 70c | 164.18$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.25 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -6.5wins | -0.18per pick | 39cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xea3d…2e9dbacked Under | 33c | 152$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.84 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Under | 76c | 149.21$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.81 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Over | 29c | 141.42$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.24 | 233 | 47.6%111 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0764…41d1backed Under | 75c | 133.17$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.29 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea77…686ebacked Over | 62c | 112.26$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -3.4wins | -0.48per pick | 62cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x38a5…37a5backed Over | 64c | 108.55$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d84…a7bdbacked Under | 75c | 101.33$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.33 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Over | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 185 | 43.8%81 W · 104 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 72c | 100$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 297 | 45.1%134 W · 163 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…572dbacked Over | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 64c | 84.84$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.61 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 43c | 77.53$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 65 | 67.7%44 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 27c | 66.59$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.08 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d5…2b9cbacked Over | 48c | 63.75$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.75 | 56 | 26.8%15 W · 41 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 18c | 62.74$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.62 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 53c | 61.89$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 334 | 52.7%176 W · 158 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 50c | 60.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.14 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 46c | 55.74$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.1 | 363 | 52.9%192 W · 171 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x368c…9f72backed Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Under | 23c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 191 | 58.6%112 W · 79 L | +19.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Over | 38c | 48.51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.47 | 127 | 42.5%54 W · 73 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 32c | 43.19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.42 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb27b…5d6ebacked Over | 72c | 43.06$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe29f…b2f0backed Under | 54c | 43$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.78 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9817…28bcbacked Over | 46c | 42.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.69 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d0…566ebacked Under | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Over | 56c | 35.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.87 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -7.0wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7048…13d5backed Over | 63c | 31.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…04fbbacked Under | 51c | 23.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +130.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed Under | 50c | 22.96$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 80 | 68.8%55 W · 25 L | +8.0wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…e91cbacked Over | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | -8.5wins | -0.13per pick | 69cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…15efbacked Under | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Over | 65c | 19.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0722…fceebacked Over | 72c | 14.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-1.5)Wuhan San Zhen FC won
- Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-2.5)Wuhan San Zhen FC won
- Spread: Wuhan San Zhen FC (-1.5)Chengdu Rongcheng FC won
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.