Asian League · resolved market
Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb05fe668023e2471bfbcb9da390c096391d22e6ec623003a94323c5bc48ba953
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,053
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,598
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,053 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd411…7a18backed Over | 20c | 3,000$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 61c | 2,884$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,749.61 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 69c | 2,546$1,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.69 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 64c | 1,799$1,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.6 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Under | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d0…8814backed Over | 64c | 781.25$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 36c | 583.51$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.09 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 72c | 561.74$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.92 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 22c | 496.69$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.12 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 43c | 488.8$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.09 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Over | 21c | 381.71$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.16 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 45c | 250$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 260 | 52.7%137 W · 123 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 22c | 227.73$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 218 | 30.7%67 W · 151 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 174 | 40.2%70 W · 104 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57c8…3d9bbacked Over | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -6.5wins | -0.18per pick | 39cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 57c | 187.04$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.39 | 300 | 49.7%149 W · 151 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 40c | 172.72$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.93 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab8…e32fbacked Over | 60c | 166.66$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 52c | 154.34$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.63 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…572dbacked Over | 38c | 132.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 325 | 60.3%196 W · 129 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 43c | 124.64$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.77 | 117 | 42.7%50 W · 67 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 41c | 117.2$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.35 | 345 | 58.6%202 W · 143 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 185 | 43.8%81 W · 104 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 297 | 45.1%134 W · 163 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…fb60backed Under | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 191 | 58.6%112 W · 79 L | +19.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 39c | 99.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.5 | 186 | 47.3%88 W · 98 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 43c | 99.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.99 | 340 | 50.9%173 W · 167 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Over | 53c | 77.94$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.99 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Under | 62c | 77.42$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.42 | 257 | 42%108 W · 149 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x591f…f067backed Under | 69c | 64.19$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.9 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…51dabacked Over | 57c | 54.39$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -50%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 42c | 54.25$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.47 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x435a…21a5backed Over | 39c | 51.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 219 | 41.6%91 W · 128 L | -17.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Over | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3e…7857backed Over | 57c | 45.6$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.32per pick | 58cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa64f…e598backed Under | 75c | 41.05$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.46 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 74cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe941…a496backed Under | 63c | 40.18$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.98 | 25 | 88%22 W · 3 L | +7.3wins | +0.29per pick | 59cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa785…2d66backed Over | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 158 | 50%79 W · 79 L | -14.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 40c | 32.95$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.77 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Under | 40c | 32.91$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.82 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 52c | 29.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 59c | 29.26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.17 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Over | 57c | 29.24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.78 | 241 | 62.2%150 W · 91 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfe…0741backed Under | 42c | 26.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.58 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 78c | 26.62$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Under | 42c | 23.81$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.81 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -7.0wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5a33…9a46backed Over | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3aab…9765backed Over | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 73c | 18.54$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.01 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 66c | 17.84$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.14 | 163 | 56.4%92 W · 71 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffe…9150backed Under | 80c | 17.49$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.57 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-1.5)Wuhan San Zhen FC won
- Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-2.5)Wuhan San Zhen FC won
- Spread: Wuhan San Zhen FC (-1.5)Chengdu Rongcheng FC won
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.