South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CSyD Macará win on 2026-04-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb1e9b085f686c8c63ab2d73598bb5fcfdf5e96ac7be20ac842b976a1b73dccb7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,981
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,723
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,981 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 10c | 2,650$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.41 | 211 | 32.7%69 W · 142 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa4…3409backed Yes | 13c | 2,425$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,106.42 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 29c | 1,986$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410.06 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 53c | 1,969$1,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045.86 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 1c | 947.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 30c | 764.88$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.88 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea32…8870backed Yes | 11c | 585.29$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.91 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…12cebacked Yes | 10c | 519.96$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.96 | 94 | 28.7%27 W · 67 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c29…87dcbacked Yes | 12c | 471.15$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.61 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…04a8backed Yes | 71c | 416.21$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.46 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Yes | 62c | 375.67$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.33 | 232 | 54.7%127 W · 105 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc775…6b22backed No | 12c | 333$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…f354backed No | 32c | 306.97$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.59 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 43c | 298.25$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.93 | 137 | 39.4%54 W · 83 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Yes | 12c | 273.26$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.47 | 489 | 22.9%112 W · 377 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 40c | 241$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.4 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c8…68f0backed Yes | 12c | 236.8$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 27cpaid | +229.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe84c…5269backed Yes | 12c | 236.8$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.38 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +4.4wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 11c | 170.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.05 | 138 | 14.5%20 W · 118 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf75b…ed74backed Yes | 11c | 170.39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.65 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 17c | 163.76$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x53fa…83f9backed Yes | 61c | 163.01$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.99 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +6.3wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x57c8…3d9bbacked No | 47c | 139.65$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.86 | 65 | 29.2%19 W · 46 L | -8.7wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x533d…ceeebacked No | 18c | 138$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 30 | 10%3 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x569b…c66ebacked Yes | 14c | 135.53$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.56 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 64c | 129.63$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.25 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb61…8687backed Yes | 12c | 123.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.36 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.55per pick | 20cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yes | 73c | 120.64$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.16 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Yes | 75c | 113.99$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.83 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Yes | 75c | 113.99$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.83 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 75c | 112.03$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.56 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 11c | 95.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.98 | 154 | 24%37 W · 117 L | -9.6wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf40a…ea0abacked Yes | 58c | 83.95$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.08 | 82 | 68.3%56 W · 26 L | +8.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Yes | 50c | 77.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.77 | 246 | 54.9%135 W · 111 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 16c | 74.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.54 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 57c | 56.47$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.06 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked No | 52c | 56.03$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.14 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5be1…3371backed Yes | 75c | 52.53$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.13 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x165b…711cbacked No | 31c | 48.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Yes | 52c | 48.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.31 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed Yes | 75c | 47.4$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.85 | 118 | 63.6%75 W · 43 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed No | 53c | 35.85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Yes | 73c | 33.69$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 154 | 57.1%88 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95ad…4eebbacked Yes | 76c | 29.2$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.01 | 107 | 67.3%72 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…2fc9backed Yes | 72c | 27.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Yes | 49c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 106 | 54.7%58 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafeb…5cd2backed Yes | 72c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 85 | 60%51 W · 34 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7faf…e2b5backed No | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcee7…0f4abacked Yes | 64c | 17.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3e…7857backed No | 79c | 15.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68ee…f785backed Yes | 71c | 14.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CSyD Macará win on 2026-04-16?this page
- Will CA Tigre vs. CSyD Macará end in a draw?No won
- Will CA Tigre win on 2026-04-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.