South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Tigre vs. CSyD Macará end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x84b3b5254c9285cc7d46ef5b975b723055da653adcee0e5fc80c13ca2ea6b4ad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,082
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,444
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,082 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 65c | 961.47$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.74 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b85…a3e9backed Yes | 38c | 756.74$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.56 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56e0…1a3bbacked Yes | 25c | 643.89$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.44 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 77c | 598.52$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.31 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 17c | 333.83$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.15 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3e…7857backed No | 66c | 244.19$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.49 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 29c | 207.51$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.49 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcffe…55a6backed Yes | 23c | 207.35$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.69 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbe…f9e5backed Yes | 23c | 207.35$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.69 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 63c | 189.69$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.19 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…5292backed Yes | 23c | 165.88$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.15 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 24c | 139.18$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.4 | 256 | 25%64 W · 192 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 63c | 133.28$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.32 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Yes | 26c | 111.37$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.68 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 36c | 106.44$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.82 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 14c | 102.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 25c | 101.07$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.82 | 187 | 33.2%62 W · 125 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a7…f2b7backed Yes | 24c | 98.81$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.86 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 76c | 74.39$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x569b…c66ebacked No | 75c | 65.67$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.42 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 63c | 63.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 24c | 52.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cb…76f1backed Yes | 28c | 37.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked No | 63c | 33.91$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.55 | 292 | 45.2%132 W · 160 L | -24.0wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c0…2489backed No | 65c | 32.48$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.39 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed No | 77c | 31.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 213 | 59.6%127 W · 86 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed No | 63c | 29.33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 78c | 21.45$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 74c | 17.92$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.66 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7faf…e2b5backed No | 76c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Tigre vs. CSyD Macará end in a draw?this page
- Will CA Tigre win on 2026-04-16?No won
- Will CSyD Macará win on 2026-04-16?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.