South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Club Olimpia win on 2026-04-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x225488a7edbc97c9950fcad1d4fd4b9ef85dbd6d95b43406b38f3498b4f84e03
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,592
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,628
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,592 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 56c | 2,649$1,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470.54 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…1ea8backed No | 44c | 2,174$956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,217.23 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8a…f0b8backed Yes | 60c | 2,096$1,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,259.06 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +5.0wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x35c8…90cbbacked No | 42c | 1,717$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.36 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4244…03a6backed No | 44c | 1,537$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.97 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 45c | 1,232$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.11 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 66c | 1,116$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.24 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…f73fbacked No | 40c | 999.98$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.99 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 56c | 947.92$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.95 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 56c | 726.87$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.55 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 56c | 719.51$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.88 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…53ebbacked Yes | 47c | 686.67$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.4 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Yes | 31c | 618.45$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.72 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed No | 43c | 559.97$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.18 | 135 | 45.2%61 W · 74 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Yes | 59c | 550.73$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.48 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7abf…8dd3backed Yes | 57c | 490.69$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.64 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…f354backed Yes | 2c | 424.59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 63c | 390.58$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.33 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 46c | 377.59$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.18 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 40c | 366.33$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.56 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 42c | 319.41$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.58 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aef…f8dfbacked Yes | 45c | 299.94$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.97 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…04a8backed Yes | 57c | 256.37$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.13 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed No | 42c | 243$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.08 | 91 | 24.2%22 W · 69 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 45c | 220.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.48 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 45c | 220.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.39 | 412 | 56.6%233 W · 179 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed No | 45c | 210.73$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.28 | 159 | 56.6%90 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 45c | 210.57$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.19 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 45c | 210.57$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.19 | 367 | 57.5%211 W · 156 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 44c | 186.44$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.4 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 43c | 174.05$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.05 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c07…5feabacked Yes | 56c | 173.86$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.36 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked No | 45c | 141.18$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.65 | 213 | 45.1%96 W · 117 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Yes | 59c | 141.09$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.24 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4922…34a7backed Yes | 39c | 135.84$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 58 | 19%11 W · 47 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…bf25backed Yes | 51c | 117.1$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.25 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd027…cc86backed Yes | 56c | 112.52$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.01 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb03…9732backed Yes | 57c | 111.09$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.32 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -6.0wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 44c | 102.59$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.76 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…698cbacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a1…3529backed No | 53c | 91.19$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.69 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 58c | 72.51$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.06 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 22c | 69.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked No | 41c | 67.8$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked No | 43c | 67.38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.41 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c22…7bd5backed Yes | 59c | 66.13$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…189abacked Yes | 56c | 63.08$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.32 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 43c | 62.93$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.87 | 290 | 53.8%156 W · 134 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 57c | 59.04$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.49 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed No | 43c | 56.15$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.01 | 172 | 61%105 W · 67 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 44c | 55.57$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.12 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Yes | 30c | 53.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 108 | 26.9%29 W · 79 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e2…59a4backed Yes | 56c | 52.16$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.21 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeafd…723fbacked No | 42c | 47.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.65 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c67…a479backed Yes | 60c | 45.55$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.33 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 53cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0bff…c8a8backed Yes | 34c | 45.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1de9…9499backed Yes | 56c | 43.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.34 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb611…188fbacked Yes | 57c | 41.89$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.88 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82af…f919backed Yes | 56c | 38.25$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35b8…898abacked Yes | 56c | 34.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.39per pick | 54cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffe…9150backed Yes | 56c | 34.13$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed Yes | 50c | 34.1$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 179 | 50.8%91 W · 88 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x108c…122dbacked Yes | 56c | 28.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c0…2489backed No | 57c | 28.96$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.46 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed Yes | 60c | 27.71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.63 | 212 | 66.5%141 W · 71 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x700a…58a5backed No | 76c | 26.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.36 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe60…5eb9backed Yes | 60c | 26.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2119…9303backed Yes | 57c | 25.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…7ebabacked Yes | 58c | 25.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 162 | 66%107 W · 55 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…6471backed Yes | 58c | 25.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd95f…e1aabacked Yes | 60c | 24.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked No | 42c | 24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 106 | 54.7%58 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 57c | 22.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4999…dea5backed Yes | 55c | 20.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 50c | 20.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa3…a12abacked Yes | 57c | 19.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8340…b29bbacked Yes | 59c | 17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Club Olimpia win on 2026-04-15?this page
- Will CA Barracas Central win on 2026-04-15?No won
- Will Club Olimpia vs. CA Barracas Central end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.