TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd027…cc86

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
72
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Dota2, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 53 out of 100; worst Tennis at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT3215.6%5 W · 27 L-5.0wins-0.16per pick31cpaid-59.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Tennis — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Madrid Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Emilio Navabacked Jenson Brooksby · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.83
Barcelona Open: Rafael Jodar vs Arthur Filsbacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.52
Oeiras 3: Roman Safiullin vs Henrique Rochabacked Henrique Rocha · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.53
Barcelona Open: Andrey Rublev vs Hamad Medjedovicbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+153.1%+$116.6
BMW Open: Alexander Zverev vs Flavio Cobollibacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.81
Busan: Alex Bolt vs Yunchaokete Bubacked Yunchaokete Bu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$44.73
Busan: August Holmgren vs Liam Broadybacked August Holmgren · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.97
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Karolina Muchova vs Coco Gauffbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.69
Oeiras 3: Rebecca Sramkova vs Petra Marcinkobacked Rebecca Sramkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.45
Oeiras 3: Suzan Lamens vs Robin Montgomerybacked Suzan Lamens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Iryna Shymanovich vs Tatjana Mariabacked Iryna Shymanovich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.6
Oeiras 3: Maja Chwalinska vs Simona Waltertbacked Simona Waltert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.14
Santa Cruz: Valerio Aboian vs Thiago Seyboth Wildbacked Thiago Seyboth Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.48
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Veronika Podrezbacked Veronika Podrez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$72.53
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Hailey Baptiste vs Iryna Shymanovichbacked Hailey Baptiste · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.86
Barcelona Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Andrey Rublevbacked Lorenzo Sonego · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.24
BMW Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Alex Molcanbacked Daniel Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.53
BMW Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Francisco Cerundolobacked Botic van de Zandschulp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.67
Busan: August Holmgren vs Alexis Galarneaubacked Alexis Galarneau · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Wuning 2: Justin Boulais vs Giles Husseybacked Justin Boulais · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.08
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Fiona Ferro vs Sorana Cirsteabacked Fiona Ferro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.46
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Shuai Zhang vs Linda Noskovabacked Shuai Zhang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.47
Set Handicap: Noskova (-1.5) vs Zhang (+1.5)backed Zhang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+162.5%+$52.18
BMW Open: Alexander Blockx vs Ben Sheltonbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$39.99
Barcelona Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hamad Medjedovicbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.66
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-47.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-35.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick25cpaid+38.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick27cpaid+63.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.41
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.75
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.06
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+481.2%+$619.49
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+138%+$19.98
All 5 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick28cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-42.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+73.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$96.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sheffield Wednesday FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SK Brann win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.45
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.