TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Will Tōkyō Verdy win on 2026-04-18?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$36,381
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$41,823

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,381 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No53c3,483$1,854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,853.545,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26e7…cc6cbacked Yes45c2,222$998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,224.711782.4%14 W · 3 L+6.2wins+0.36per pick46cpaid+85.8%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed No55c1,824$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.0213746.7%64 W · 73 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No55c1,157$642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642.141,11746.2%516 W · 601 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Yes45c1,120$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.563743.2%16 W · 21 L+4.9wins+0.13per pick30cpaid+43.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5668…1f91backed Yes44c1,000$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5601100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No55c995.98$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.121,65150.9%840 W · 811 L+5.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Yes45c944.64$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.8211241.1%46 W · 66 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd599…bf55backed No19c800.67$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.2860%0 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes44c670.39$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.091,09843.8%481 W · 617 L-14.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4155…fa41backed Yes47c615.01$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.0411764.1%75 W · 42 L+9.4wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+21.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes46c610$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.692737%10 W · 17 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+4.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No56c536.97$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.521,11049.5%549 W · 561 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x447d…bd4abacked No21c479.61$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005226.9%14 W · 38 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-32.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No56c418.16$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.1839058.2%227 W · 163 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x45bd…ddc3backed Yes42c374.69$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.69450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked No56c358.91$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9934558.6%202 W · 143 L+0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked No55c313.76$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.9114823%34 W · 114 L-10.7wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-16.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No56c240.95$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.1422656.6%128 W · 98 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9db7…251ebacked No56c230.12$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.87333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3636…ab7cbacked Yes44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.27875%6 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+31.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb475…978cbacked Yes44c225.53$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.932766.7%18 W · 9 L+7.6wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+87.6%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xff6f…9e3cbacked No56c224.73$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.85560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+21.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdab5…95a1backed No56c221.49$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.03366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+32%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d74…f2abbacked Yes42c221.43$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.436100%6 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+63.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x89b3…18ebbacked No56c221.28$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.92425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d9e…74bfbacked No56c221.1$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.82560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+19.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b06…3ef9backed No56c220.16$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.29560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd960…4ba4backed No56c219.28$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.8560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b4a…3b8cbacked No56c216.9$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85ca…76f2backed No56c214.38$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.05475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+32.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x16b3…fda5backed No56c214.38$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.0520%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc31…4c4abacked No56c213.57$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.6425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-64.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd5c8…872bbacked No56c212.91$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.23785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.32per pick54cpaid+63.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc886…0288backed No56c211.06$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.19450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabfd…72debacked No56c211.02$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.17771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+34.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ee2…9375backed No56c209.86$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x351f…ccb4backed No56c207.44$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.17666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+34%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd032…36e0backed No56c207.28$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.08650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeff6…2ff7backed No56c206.96$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.9475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.24per pick52cpaid+50%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7b9…6782backed No56c205.24$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.93560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+20%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa285…87a5backed No56c203.85$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.16366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+15.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b09…e3d3backed No56c202.77$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.5520%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No39c202.6$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.4142625.8%110 W · 316 L-33.7wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-40%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa8e9…9107backed No56c202.58$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.44425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-49%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeef7…d991backed No56c201.7$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.95425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-49%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8056…866fbacked No56c200.28$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.16666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+33.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x089c…3ea0backed No56c199.24$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.57366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+32%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5dc…d448backed No56c198.68$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.26333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c74…b314backed No56c197.57$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.64540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-31.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x43a4…821dbacked No56c196.34$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.95560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2231…7c55backed No56c195.89$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15f1…0e51backed No56c194.25$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.78560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e0b…4dd5backed No29c176.54$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.591729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.1wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-60%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes40c173.26$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.961,76450.2%886 W · 878 L+31.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd84d…cc32backed Yes21c148.08$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.19333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+59.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x019a…f457backed Yes42c142.86$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.862744.4%12 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No58c139.91$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.1393446.1%431 W · 503 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb354…0b3bbacked Yes40c131.4$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.84520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-50%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd027…cc86backed Yes42c130$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.4540%2 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick28cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x980a…1db9backed Yes79c129.99$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.382100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Yes51c125.67$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.614149.6%70 W · 71 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Yes80c125.26$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.2612550.4%63 W · 62 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2062…6be2backed Yes42c119.4$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.43928.2%11 W · 28 L-5.9wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-32.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x34a9…656dbacked Yes41c117.87$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.55742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9781…e481backed Yes43c117.07$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.08250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+17.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ed8…3affbacked Yes45c111.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.29955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d12…16c3backed Yes46c110.33$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.76250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+9.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9531…18ffbacked Yes48c103.71$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.716738.8%26 W · 41 L-0.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed No59c101.69$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6019048.4%92 W · 98 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed No57c90$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.0918543.8%81 W · 104 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea3d…2e9dbacked No54c89$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.792560%15 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked Yes45c87.69$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.33548.6%17 W · 18 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed No60c82$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.240448%194 W · 210 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46d2…6805backed No53c73$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.048068.8%55 W · 25 L+8.0wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x3939…5255backed Yes78c64.14$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d1d…1f61backed Yes78c64.1$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c88…5463backed No55c63.75$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x370e…5df3backed Yes41c59$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.6923347.6%111 W · 122 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c15…9667backed No59c59$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.6921941.6%91 W · 128 L-17.3wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x96b5…2193backed No57c58.88$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.691154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick67cpaid-19.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No58c51.7$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.1347860.3%288 W · 190 L+15.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No26c50.82$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4282053.8%441 W · 379 L+25.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbde…3dc9backed No59c50$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4519158.6%112 W · 79 L+19.1wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+31.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Yes41c50$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.4523546.8%110 W · 125 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked No57c49.98$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2918647.3%88 W · 98 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf512…5198backed Yes78c48$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.365461.1%33 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbd4…5faabacked Yes47c47$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.91837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-24.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf08b…7e76backed Yes44c45.69$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.693063.3%19 W · 11 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+15.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes45c44.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.4411841.5%49 W · 69 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes43c39.63$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.592634.6%9 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick37cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes44c38.6$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.5873850.3%371 W · 367 L-2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0976…9dcdbacked Yes78c38.46$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbac4…86dbbacked No59c38.2$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.575464.8%35 W · 19 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dfd…aadebacked No59c38.2$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.575373.6%39 W · 14 L+6.7wins+0.13per pick61cpaid+21.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1416…84a6backed Yes58c36.06$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.06250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf472…fd6ebacked No59c33.84$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209141.8%38 W · 53 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d19…bf25backed Yes45c33.67$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.677146.5%33 W · 38 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe697…708fbacked Yes44c32.98$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.5624162.2%150 W · 91 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Yes43c32.28$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4734560%207 W · 138 L+49.3wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+34.1%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.