Asian League · resolved market
Will JEF United Ichihara Chiba win on 2026-04-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd1e278472ab6fba8fdc401b139708e75b8039c748580b6f606734a5cc773f1f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,081
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,405
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,081 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 22c | 3,589$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.36 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 80c | 3,137$2,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.61 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 12c | 1,091$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.93 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Yes | 19c | 733.55$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.38 | 137 | 46.7%64 W · 73 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeca1…3d96backed Yes | 19c | 411.31$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 74c | 390.7$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.81 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 74c | 318.53$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.77 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd55…c9bfbacked Yes | 23c | 305.93$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.52 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +6.9wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +42%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 17c | 181.61$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.65 | 148 | 23%34 W · 114 L | -10.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 74c | 134.94$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.95 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 186 | 47.3%88 W · 98 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed No | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 219 | 41.6%91 W · 128 L | -17.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9384…8a95backed Yes | 17c | 99.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked Yes | 28c | 94.45$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.45 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 28c | 77.07$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.81 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -7.4wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x739d…d2ffbacked Yes | 19c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 26c | 59.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 564 | 45.4%256 W · 308 L | -25.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 233 | 47.6%111 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Yes | 25c | 48.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed No | 74c | 33.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.9 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 246 | 56.9%140 W · 106 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 74c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 241 | 62.2%150 W · 91 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed No | 74c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 80 | 68.8%55 W · 25 L | +8.0wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked No | 74c | 18.87$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.82 | 106 | 53.8%57 W · 49 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 69c | 16.36$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed No | 72c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 136 | 66.2%90 W · 46 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…86dbbacked No | 73c | 14.74$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 73c | 14.74$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 325 | 60.3%196 W · 129 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will JEF United Ichihara Chiba win on 2026-04-18?this page
- Will Tōkyō Verdy vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba end in a draw?No won
- Will Tōkyō Verdy win on 2026-04-18?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.