Asian League · resolved market
Will Tōkyō Verdy vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf8e3eb3a22530ec0ebf684e5ce06fb03928b246fa0e28a878ee47c9b8de2b097
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,885
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,566
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,885 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 63c | 841.5$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.68 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked No | 5c | 450$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.5 | 148 | 23%34 W · 114 L | -10.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…1caabacked Yes | 41c | 334.27$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.75 | 69 | 24.6%17 W · 52 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56e0…1a3bbacked Yes | 31c | 324.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x907c…dd5fbacked No | 4c | 248.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.54 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +501.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4c7a…13f0backed No | 4c | 227.11$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.05 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +600.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1231…9019backed No | 4c | 226.59$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.56 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +550.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe6…a99fbacked Yes | 15c | 223.29$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.54 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38f4…8c69backed No | 21c | 187.67$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.26 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +104.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d43…f965backed No | 21c | 187.04$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.76 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +173%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab0…0b80backed No | 21c | 183.68$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +124.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd84…2f5dbacked No | 21c | 183.54$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +376.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a65…88e5backed No | 21c | 182.92$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +125.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x460d…1cedbacked No | 21c | 182.21$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.95 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +118.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b9f…6d55backed No | 21c | 181.71$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.55 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +104.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe97b…5ecdbacked Yes | 41c | 170.24$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.8 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -43%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd84d…cc32backed Yes | 8c | 133.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…d1efbacked Yes | 31c | 129.66$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 16c | 127.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 246 | 54.1%133 W · 113 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 70c | 120$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 171 | 51.5%88 W · 83 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 73c | 118$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.77 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 29c | 104.3$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.25 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 22c | 102$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.27 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked Yes | 30c | 100.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 340 | 50.9%173 W · 167 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9384…8a95backed Yes | 17c | 99.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…4dd5backed Yes | 20c | 92.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -60%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac2…6908backed No | 21c | 85.46$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.51 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +103.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 29c | 79.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.42 | 564 | 45.4%256 W · 308 L | -25.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked No | 71c | 70.35$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.44 | 167 | 59.9%100 W · 67 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 66c | 70$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.58 | 487 | 68%331 W · 156 L | +69.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 69c | 69.45$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.31 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 75c | 58.15$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.66 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65af…df77backed Yes | 19c | 51.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed No | 71c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 219 | 41.6%91 W · 128 L | -17.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed No | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 191 | 58.6%112 W · 79 L | +19.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 76c | 34.44$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.39 | 152 | 40.1%61 W · 91 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 79c | 17.59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.62 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Tōkyō Verdy vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba end in a draw?this page
- Will JEF United Ichihara Chiba win on 2026-04-18?No won
- Will Tōkyō Verdy win on 2026-04-18?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.