TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0976…9dcd

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
36
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Tennis, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 54 out of 100; worst Premier League at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT2867.9%19 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Coco Gauff vs Liudmila Samsonovabacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$34.02
Cincinnati Open: Katerina Siniakova vs Jessica Bouzas Maneirobacked Katerina Siniakova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$20.09
Cincinnati Open: Shuai Zhang vs Ann Libacked Ann Li · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$13.46
Cincinnati Open: Janice Tjen vs Viktorija Golubicbacked Viktorija Golubic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.72
Cincinnati Open: Quentin Halys vs Alex de Minaurbacked Quentin Halys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.13
Astana: Aziz Dougaz vs Sergey Fominbacked Sergey Fomin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Cincinnati Open: Yulia Putintseva vs Liudmila Samsonovabacked Liudmila Samsonova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$40.85
Hamburg: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Dylan Dietrichbacked Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$23.9
Cincinnati Open: Diane Parry vs Caroline Dolehidebacked Diane Parry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$43.59
Grass Court Championships: Elise Mertens vs Nikola Bartunkovabacked Elise Mertens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.26
Brescia: Darya Astakhova vs Luisina Giovanninibacked Darya Astakhova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Bengaluru 3: Sasikumar Mukund vs Taiyo Yamanakabacked Sasikumar Mukund · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+26.1%+$60.06
Geneva Open: Raul Brancaccio vs Stan Wawrinkabacked Stan Wawrinka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$16.25
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Polona Hercog vs Anna Bondarbacked Anna Bondar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$6.65
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Maya Joint vs Ann Libacked Ann Li · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$11.23
Internationaux de Strasbourg, Qualification: Anastasia Zakharova vs Daria Kasatkinabacked Daria Kasatkina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+35.9%+$10.76
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Elina Svitolinabacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+150%+$30
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Elena Rybakina vs Mirra Andreevabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$17.64
Busan: Sho Shimabukuro vs Leandro Riedibacked Leandro Riedi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$11.71
Tallahassee: Dmitry Popko vs Cannon Kingsleybacked Cannon Kingsley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+45.6%+$44.73
Barcelona Open: Tomas Etcheverry vs Jack Draperbacked Jack Draper · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.28
Oeiras 3: Nuria Brancaccio vs Petra Marcinkobacked Petra Marcinko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$52.48
BMW Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Alex Michelsenbacked Arthur Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$20.91
Mexico City: Tibo Colson vs Miguel Tobonbacked Tibo Colson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$13.18
Dubrovnik: Mayar Sherif vs Leyre Romero Gormazbacked Leyre Romero Gormaz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.3
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$15.45
Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$64.29
Texas Rangers vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$12.25
All 3 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.84
Heat vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$8.43
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tōkyō Verdy win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$8.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Cincinnati vs. Chicago Fire FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+25%+$5.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jun 25, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2024, EDT-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.