Tennis · resolved market
Oeiras 3: Nuria Brancaccio vs Petra Marcinko
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1abbe0b63482d0651c2ac93fe59f0914941b7b4b2df4ec4135ffe39b33be85d2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Petra Marcinkoof Nuria Brancaccio, Petra Marcinko
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,587
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,044
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,587 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Nuria Brancaccio | 28c | 5,759$1,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,609.51 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd9…544abacked Petra Marcinko | 61c | 4,595$2,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,781.97 | 201 | 55.7%112 W · 89 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Nuria Brancaccio | 25c | 1,863$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.71 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf402…df7cbacked Nuria Brancaccio | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…f73fbacked Nuria Brancaccio | 40c | 936.29$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.51 | 294 | 44.2%130 W · 164 L | -18.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Nuria Brancaccio | 22c | 831.12$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.91 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd63…cf21backed Nuria Brancaccio | 36c | 802.9$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.47 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Nuria Brancaccio | 36c | 726.08$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.01 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1621…572cbacked Petra Marcinko | 53c | 586.75$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.77 | 472 | 52.1%246 W · 226 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Petra Marcinko | 59c | 472.2$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.24 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Petra Marcinko | 60c | 346.48$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.59 | 1,021 | 57.8%590 W · 431 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96d4…a6d2backed Nuria Brancaccio | 5c | 343.46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.43 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Nuria Brancaccio | 43c | 225$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.58 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Petra Marcinko | 72c | 210.24$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.89 | 1,532 | 40.7%624 W · 908 L | -48.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Nuria Brancaccio | 41c | 209.6$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.38 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Nuria Brancaccio | 30c | 187.35$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.21 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Petra Marcinko | 55c | 163.41$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.44 | 514 | 45.5%234 W · 280 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Petra Marcinko | 60c | 159.09$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Nuria Brancaccio | 49c | 145.41$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.37 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Petra Marcinko | 59c | 135.59$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.59 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Petra Marcinko | 60c | 122.62$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.42 | 1,639 | 55.1%903 W · 736 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Petra Marcinko | 60c | 122$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.8 | 1,923 | 55.4%1,066 W · 857 L | -44.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Petra Marcinko | 56c | 102.58$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.82 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Petra Marcinko | 59c | 101.74$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.87 | 637 | 46%293 W · 344 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0976…9dcdbacked Petra Marcinko | 48c | 100.92$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.48 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Nuria Brancaccio | 32c | 100.7$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.55 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Nuria Brancaccio | 25c | 98.84$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.07 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Petra Marcinko | 47c | 96.82$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.31 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Petra Marcinko | 78c | 95$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.9 | 389 | 55.3%215 W · 174 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc66b…1435backed Petra Marcinko | 60c | 92.72$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.09 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c00…5214backed Petra Marcinko | 53c | 92.34$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.76 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -4.9wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3892…8d8dbacked Petra Marcinko | 53c | 91.68$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.09 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…50febacked Petra Marcinko | 54c | 76.31$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 354 | 36.4%129 W · 225 L | -16.8wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9996…6810backed Nuria Brancaccio | 31c | 75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.96 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed Petra Marcinko | 76c | 72.93$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 814 | 57%464 W · 350 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Petra Marcinko | 63c | 71.77$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.62 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Petra Marcinko | 59c | 67.87$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.83 | 770 | 47.9%369 W · 401 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Petra Marcinko | 63c | 66.03$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.62 | 450 | 51.8%233 W · 217 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e3…4874backed Petra Marcinko | 76c | 61$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.91 | 918 | 80.5%739 W · 179 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb7…dd4bbacked Petra Marcinko | 63c | 59.46$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.78 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Nuria Brancaccio | 30c | 57.81$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 568 | 17.4%99 W · 469 L | -74.2wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Nuria Brancaccio | 42c | 57.45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.13 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6bb…cc3cbacked Nuria Brancaccio | 56c | 52.41$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Petra Marcinko | 58c | 51.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb1…c96ebacked Petra Marcinko | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Nuria Brancaccio | 48c | 45.03$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.72 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Nuria Brancaccio | 47c | 41.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2488…ff0ebacked Petra Marcinko | 46c | 39.8$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.4 | 486 | 50.6%246 W · 240 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ae…f71ebacked Nuria Brancaccio | 46c | 33.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 390 | 39.5%154 W · 236 L | -46.8wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Petra Marcinko | 58c | 33.49$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.07 | 177 | 41.8%74 W · 103 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Petra Marcinko | 60c | 32.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0154…30f7backed Petra Marcinko | 76c | 32.42$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 524 | 57.4%301 W · 223 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3db2…be55backed Petra Marcinko | 61c | 32.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 44 | 72.7%32 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Petra Marcinko | 61c | 30.55$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.99 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Petra Marcinko | 48c | 27.61$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.36 | 567 | 54.5%309 W · 258 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f65…38bfbacked Petra Marcinko | 60c | 24.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 134 | 66.4%89 W · 45 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6031…de1ebacked Petra Marcinko | 59c | 23.51$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.53 | 112 | 58.9%66 W · 46 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17f7…a181backed Petra Marcinko | 64c | 22.93$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.26 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfad4…379bbacked Petra Marcinko | 60c | 21.47$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.59 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Petra Marcinko | 67c | 18.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.96 | 592 | 53.5%317 W · 275 L | +22.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Oeiras 3: Nuria Brancaccio vs Petra Marcinkothis page
- Brancaccio vs. Marcinko: Match O/U 21.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.