TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd6bb…cc3c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
26
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: La Liga, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 53 out of 100; worst Lol at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BMW Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Fabian Marozsan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$23.31
Barcelona Open: Mariano Navone vs Andrey Rublevbacked Mariano Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.3
Busan: Ui-Sung Park vs Beibit Zhukayevbacked Beibit Zhukayev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$55.04
Barcelona Open: Pedro Martinez vs Lorenzo Sonegobacked Lorenzo Sonego · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+27.4%+$15.68
BMW Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Joao Fonsecabacked Alejandro Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.52
Busan: Liam Broady vs Murphy Cassonebacked Liam Broady · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.01
Busan: Soon-Woo Kwon vs Leandro Riedibacked Leandro Riedi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$19.2
Busan: Ilya Ivashka vs Dane Sweenybacked Dane Sweeny · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.48
Tallahassee: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Nicolas Kickerbacked Nicolas Kicker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.62
Oeiras 3: Nuria Brancaccio vs Petra Marcinkobacked Nuria Brancaccio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.2
Wuning: Harry Wendelken vs Pavel Kotovbacked Harry Wendelken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$826Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$825.68
All 11 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick66cpaid-55.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Levante UD win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$186.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$19.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Çaykur Rizespor vs. Gaziantep FK: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$10.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Minnesota Twins vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+44.2%+$69.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+25%+$24.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.97
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.