Tennis · resolved market
Busan: Liam Broady vs Murphy Cassone
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x589f60425ef3cc1f792b63a46e3f0204a7440d7740e0d84ae636ac5a28824f66
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Liam Broadyof Liam Broady, Murphy Cassone
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,061
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,199
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,061 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Murphy Cassone | 9c | 5,411$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.92 | 302 | 25.8%78 W · 224 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Murphy Cassone | 7c | 4,548$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.8 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Murphy Cassone | 7c | 3,876$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.37 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Murphy Cassone | 6c | 1,278$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.49 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Murphy Cassone | 21c | 1,047$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.72 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…f73fbacked Murphy Cassone | 40c | 983.28$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.31 | 294 | 44.2%130 W · 164 L | -18.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…ea3bbacked Liam Broady | 60c | 918.05$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.22 | 333 | 46.2%154 W · 179 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Murphy Cassone | 3c | 787.37$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.59 | 1,512 | 24.1%364 W · 1,148 L | -41.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Murphy Cassone | 40c | 585.62$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.07 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Murphy Cassone | 39c | 454.06$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.08 | 582 | 32%186 W · 396 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Liam Broady | 60c | 413.37$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.55 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Murphy Cassone | 35c | 339.02$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.88 | 9,374 | 44.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L | -244.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Murphy Cassone | 41c | 297.13$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.83 | 1,926 | 55.4%1,067 W · 859 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Murphy Cassone | 38c | 264.78$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.46 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79d7…893dbacked Murphy Cassone | 40c | 241$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.4 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Murphy Cassone | 13c | 178.47$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.35 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf77…bae9backed Liam Broady | 62c | 161.63$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.02 | 194 | 43.3%84 W · 110 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf40e…9addbacked Liam Broady | 61c | 160.79$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.15 | 406 | 63.8%259 W · 147 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e1…f17fbacked Liam Broady | 61c | 160.1$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.44 | 244 | 63.5%155 W · 89 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…072cbacked Liam Broady | 62c | 156.55$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.81 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ba…b283backed Liam Broady | 60c | 155$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Murphy Cassone | 38c | 149.97$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.99 | 871 | 35.4%308 W · 563 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Liam Broady | 60c | 149.55$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.24 | 7,183 | 49.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L | +112.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f98…ec35backed Murphy Cassone | 9c | 148.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 145 | 33.1%48 W · 97 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Liam Broady | 59c | 140.88$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.76 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Murphy Cassone | 37c | 121.92$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.73 | 3,884 | 35%1,358 W · 2,526 L | +92.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ed…72efbacked Murphy Cassone | 40c | 120.64$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.59 | 387 | 54.3%210 W · 177 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa15f…ad19backed Liam Broady | 63c | 117.34$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.41 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf91…dc43backed Liam Broady | 61c | 105$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 132 | 61.4%81 W · 51 L | +11.0wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Murphy Cassone | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 1,240 | 41.2%511 W · 729 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Liam Broady | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Liam Broady | 63c | 97.7$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.15 | 1,639 | 55.1%903 W · 736 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10fd…633bbacked Liam Broady | 61c | 97.66$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.09 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e4…24c2backed Liam Broady | 63c | 93.12$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.46 | 267 | 59.6%159 W · 108 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb740…2ec1backed Liam Broady | 64c | 91.35$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.64 | 351 | 57%200 W · 151 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Liam Broady | 63c | 83.6$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.93 | 6,652 | 50.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L | +263.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Liam Broady | 60c | 80$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.19 | 355 | 59.4%211 W · 144 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf855…0952backed Liam Broady | 63c | 77.55$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.42 | 45 | 75.6%34 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Liam Broady | 61c | 75$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.25 | 2,043 | 47.8%977 W · 1,066 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Murphy Cassone | 40c | 72.11$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.85 | 253 | 42.7%108 W · 145 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed Liam Broady | 61c | 62.31$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 227 | 55.1%125 W · 102 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…a8e9backed Murphy Cassone | 41c | 51.05$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.93 | 535 | 44.1%236 W · 299 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fad…a796backed Murphy Cassone | 41c | 49.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.17 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x591f…f067backed Liam Broady | 61c | 48.08$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.78 | 57 | 73.7%42 W · 15 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Murphy Cassone | 41c | 42.73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 369 | 44.4%164 W · 205 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed Liam Broady | 61c | 40.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 149 | 58.4%87 W · 62 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac0…5075backed Liam Broady | 62c | 39.4$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.97 | 65 | 61.5%40 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb56b…7150backed Liam Broady | 62c | 39.4$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.97 | 165 | 64.8%107 W · 58 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x252b…a0f0backed Liam Broady | 62c | 39.4$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.97 | 50 | 68%34 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Murphy Cassone | 45c | 39.27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…f25bbacked Liam Broady | 59c | 34.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.91 | 992 | 55.9%555 W · 437 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a9…73debacked Murphy Cassone | 42c | 33.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.89 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Murphy Cassone | 39c | 32.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 602 | 40.5%244 W · 358 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Liam Broady | 60c | 32.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ded…68a3backed Liam Broady | 61c | 32.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 885 | 60.2%533 W · 352 L | -13.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdca9…0898backed Liam Broady | 60c | 31.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 249 | 65.1%162 W · 87 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6bb…cc3cbacked Liam Broady | 64c | 30.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed Liam Broady | 61c | 30.57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.97 | 314 | 63.1%198 W · 116 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Liam Broady | 62c | 30.06$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.42 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…18d8backed Liam Broady | 72c | 27.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.64 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Liam Broady | 55c | 25.13$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.35 | 2,440 | 51.7%1,261 W · 1,179 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef0…d45bbacked Murphy Cassone | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 212 | 59.4%126 W · 86 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Liam Broady | 60c | 21.91$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.76 | 416 | 58.7%244 W · 172 L | +22.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc868…7bd7backed Liam Broady | 60c | 21.46$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb239…80b4backed Liam Broady | 59c | 19.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Liam Broady | 64c | 17.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.26 | 1,354 | 43.9%595 W · 759 L | -62.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Busan: Liam Broady vs Murphy Cassonethis page
- Set 1 Winner: Broady vs CassoneBroady won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.