Serie A · resolved market
Parma Calcio 1913 vs. SSC Napoli: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x74ea4d21539515af47adbce0c220725950790c4e0352c2cce65b9cd4d781ff5b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,503
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,511
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,503 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 27c | 2,559$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.56 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1414…ae7bbacked Yes | 74c | 2,025$1,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.45 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 72cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c6c…4f80backed Yes | 73c | 1,862$1,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.72 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 26c | 1,526$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.26 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa9c…c6debacked Yes | 43c | 1,165$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.99 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed No | 57c | 923.59$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.45 | 31 | 77.4%24 W · 7 L | +6.4wins | +0.21per pick | 57cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x13bb…a36cbacked Yes | 76c | 516.56$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71da…bc9ebacked Yes | 43c | 494.13$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.65 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 57c | 434.88$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.88 | 460 | 47.4%218 W · 242 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 21c | 381.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.22 | 467 | 42.8%200 W · 267 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a1a…4b44backed Yes | 73c | 318.97$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.12 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 23c | 265.46$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.54 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01ee…6ab0backed Yes | 70c | 238.77$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.63 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 57c | 216.47$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.29 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 24c | 201.58$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.86 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…97b8backed No | 16c | 183.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.44 | 36 | 75%27 W · 9 L | +6.5wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd6bb…cc3cbacked No | 59c | 181.85$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed No | 57c | 173.41$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.87 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc333…05a5backed Yes | 68c | 159.88$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.16 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 24c | 143.87$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.48 | 511 | 39.1%200 W · 311 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa39f…0af2backed No | 28c | 99.12$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 27c | 93.39$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 163 | 40.5%66 W · 97 L | -14.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed No | 22c | 81.84$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.97 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 41c | 67.74$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.97 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed No | 53c | 66.57$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.19 | 491 | 37.5%184 W · 307 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed No | 30c | 62.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cd…9aa5backed No | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…251fbacked Yes | 67c | 47.19$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.65 | 50 | 76%38 W · 12 L | +7.3wins | +0.15per pick | 61cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked Yes | 71c | 37.59$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.03 | 82 | 32.9%27 W · 55 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 79c | 32.32$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.79 | 199 | 52.8%105 W · 94 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 40c | 28.92$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.35 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5483…5e9fbacked Yes | 70c | 28.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 59c | 20.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 385 | 47.8%184 W · 201 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…7cb7backed Yes | 71c | 20.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.03 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdea9…be41backed Yes | 57c | 18.78$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Yes | 79c | 15.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.32 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +7.2wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. SSC Napoli: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 1.5Over won
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5Under won
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 3.5Under won
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Parma Calcio 1913 (-1.5)SSC Napoli won
- Spread: SSC Napoli (-1.5)Parma Calcio 1913 won
- Spread: SSC Napoli (-2.5)Parma Calcio 1913 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.