Serie A · resolved market
Parma Calcio 1913 vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc38376d8028e7a1f79192e78fc025088dc82b965be8fa5a282c388931ad56a04
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $95,496
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $134,451
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,496 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2f4e…5104backed Over | 78c | 36,691$28,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,987.05 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 22c | 18,613$4,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,128.37 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 22c | 10,798$2,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,355.44 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 20c | 2,717$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.87 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 23c | 2,216$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.37 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 23c | 2,015$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.26 | 411 | 44.3%182 W · 229 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Under | 12c | 1,579$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.44 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +8.8wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 20c | 696.97$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.98 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 19c | 608.64$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.76 | 491 | 37.5%184 W · 307 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 25c | 558.28$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.77 | 326 | 50.6%165 W · 161 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…4f22backed Over | 77c | 500$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 21c | 358.05$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.44 | 163 | 40.5%66 W · 97 L | -14.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb42…eda0backed Over | 80c | 308.75$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0af5…154cbacked Over | 73c | 284.28$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc385…8eb0backed Over | 70c | 280.57$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.17 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…86dbbacked Under | 24c | 239.32$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.44 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 24c | 222.74$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.46 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7aec…ef65backed Under | 23c | 211.6$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Over | 68c | 176.47$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.47 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8010…04e4backed Over | 74c | 160.57$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.15 | 31 | 77.4%24 W · 7 L | +6.7wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +92.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 20c | 150.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 310 | 51.6%160 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1155…2315backed Over | 80c | 140$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfac0…3086backed Over | 71c | 138.39$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.13 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.24per pick | 66cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…ee2ebacked Over | 78c | 130$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 77c | 128.08$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.46 | 170 | 58.2%99 W · 71 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 80c | 123.5$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 31c | 86.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.61 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 26c | 80$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 148 | 45.3%67 W · 81 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb71…b5a0backed Under | 24c | 78.21$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b0…1846backed Over | 67c | 73.15$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.14 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…bf8ebacked Under | 23c | 61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee09…1199backed Over | 68c | 50.48$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 65 | 69.2%45 W · 20 L | +6.5wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 79c | 49.72$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.44 | 199 | 52.8%105 W · 94 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Under | 33c | 41.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 33c | 41.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cf…0425backed Over | 80c | 40.76$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.15 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 65cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38a5…37a5backed Over | 67c | 36.57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.07 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 67cpaid | -24%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e64…6e0bbacked Over | 70c | 35.07$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Under | 33c | 32.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa237…d59abacked Over | 67c | 24.51$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.09 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x582a…a781backed Over | 70c | 16.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 79c | 16.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.48 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | -9.6wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Over | 79c | 16.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.48 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffe…9150backed Over | 75c | 15.23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.83 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 1.5this page
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. SSC Napoli: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5Under won
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 3.5Under won
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Parma Calcio 1913 (-1.5)SSC Napoli won
- Spread: SSC Napoli (-1.5)Parma Calcio 1913 won
- Spread: SSC Napoli (-2.5)Parma Calcio 1913 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.