Serie A · resolved market
Spread: SSC Napoli (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde0aae258cd3cbe38c1de9dd8a48d3a94bb881db32afe3280f33ced82ebb3e8a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Parma Calcio 1913of SSC Napoli, Parma Calcio 1913
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,740
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,795
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,740 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc699…7961backed SSC Napoli | 15c | 4,416$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.82 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed SSC Napoli | 25c | 3,427$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848.89 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed SSC Napoli | 12c | 1,670$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.1 | 411 | 44.3%182 W · 229 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…873dbacked Parma Calcio 1913 | 67c | 1,472$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.87 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb8…a6fabacked Parma Calcio 1913 | 67c | 877.79$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.67 | 26 | 88.5%23 W · 3 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 74cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb7…ca4abacked SSC Napoli | 20c | 656.87$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.2 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed SSC Napoli | 21c | 226.81$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.63 | 115 | 47.8%55 W · 60 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Parma Calcio 1913 | 66c | 203$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.02 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…31f3backed SSC Napoli | 34c | 192.08$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.31 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4740…fa66backed SSC Napoli | 18c | 190.16$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.23 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6af…b5efbacked Parma Calcio 1913 | 66c | 148.42$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.46 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed SSC Napoli | 13c | 148.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 162 | 19.1%31 W · 131 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed SSC Napoli | 22c | 118.1$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 148 | 45.3%67 W · 81 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed SSC Napoli | 33c | 105.09$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.68 | 419 | 54.7%229 W · 190 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed Parma Calcio 1913 | 66c | 86.2$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.31 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Parma Calcio 1913 | 65c | 26.11$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 511 | 39.1%200 W · 311 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: SSC Napoli (-1.5)this page
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. SSC Napoli: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 1.5Over won
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5Under won
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 3.5Under won
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Parma Calcio 1913 (-1.5)SSC Napoli won
- Spread: SSC Napoli (-2.5)Parma Calcio 1913 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.