TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Parma Calcio 1913 vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$91,324
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$93,161

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,324 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x83d2…d196backed Under58c27,564$16,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,533.115349.1%26 W · 27 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over44c17,664$7,692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,692.1618923.8%45 W · 144 L-13.2wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-30.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x74d0…de45backed Over36c6,776$2,411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,411.53450%17 W · 17 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under66c6,083$4,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,071.291,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under56c5,496$3,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,418.146659.1%39 W · 27 L+5.2wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over43c2,570$1,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,111.442,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over4c2,550$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.531738.8%123 W · 194 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under73c2,191$1,604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.8932650.6%165 W · 161 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1fd0…93acbacked Over40c2,024$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809.765131.4%16 W · 35 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under56c2,000$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88068750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under56c1,915$1,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$844.2393252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over2c1,730$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.6214936.2%54 W · 95 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-26.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6638…0b09backed Over63c1,553$978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$977.79714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.7wins-0.39per pick53cpaid-72.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over18c1,220$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.449137.5%184 W · 307 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaab8…a331backed Over68c1,035$704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704.045655.4%31 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4005358.5%31 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bc2…4c80backed Over54c992.21$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.793250%16 W · 16 L-4.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-25.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under46c916.97$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.6441144.3%182 W · 229 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb184…b6c6backed Over39c822.6$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.813923.1%9 W · 30 L-4.5wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-28.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over44c714.47$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.1115244.1%67 W · 85 L-11.4wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Over44c714.31$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.114752.4%77 W · 70 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46d3…2c20backed Over62c630.45$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.8830%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over47c592.9$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.756328.6%18 W · 45 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x22d2…82d7backed Over3c575.04$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.361330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-48.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Under38c506.74$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.185166.7%34 W · 17 L+8.8wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+42.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Over42c482.6$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.697558.7%44 W · 31 L+5.7wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over3c473$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1923345.1%105 W · 128 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over42c459.62$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.0413826.1%36 W · 102 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6551…e043backed Under58c439.89$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.754100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+73.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x524b…73a2backed Over40c429.12$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.65742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-27.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over4c409.32$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.37042.9%30 W · 40 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Over48c403.67$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.762941.4%12 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cef…d4debacked Over40c306.55$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.6221650.5%109 W · 107 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Over41c300$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.5512351.2%63 W · 60 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed Over41c299.74$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.212941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc333…05a5backed Over61c249.99$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.5650%3 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e9f…5403backed Over43c225.97$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.171747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over44c219.64$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.6413636.8%50 W · 86 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbd73…4da1backed Over44c219.64$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.643520%7 W · 28 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5d6…b213backed Over45c217.58$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.91250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8942…1e76backed Over45c214.89$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.77954.4%43 W · 36 L-0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6bf…9ac0backed Over45c214.89$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.71637.5%6 W · 10 L-3.1wins-0.19per pick57cpaid-39.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under53c213.63$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.7491043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86a8…d0e7backed Under58c201.68$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.715653.6%30 W · 26 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb03…9732backed Under61c200.12$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.056262.9%39 W · 23 L+5.1wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+19.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under61c200$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7820452%106 W · 98 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2f3…1732backed Over33c200$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6650%0 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x63c5…1ecbbacked Over44c193.28$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.047740.3%31 W · 46 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-18.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked Over39c177.4$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.168232.9%27 W · 55 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Over39c171.99$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.089857.1%56 W · 42 L+7.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb4fc…e772backed Over44c153.75$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.654557.8%26 W · 19 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+18.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c30…7320backed Over37c145.8$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.74728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-60.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…860fbacked Over62c145$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.91540%6 W · 9 L-2.9wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-26.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under64c126.39$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.6218125.4%46 W · 135 L-18.7wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-45.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdc32…00bfbacked Over40c120.5$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.28158%47 W · 34 L+6.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under62c120$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.214845.3%67 W · 81 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd27d…a84fbacked Over41c119.43$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.974746.8%22 W · 25 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Over41c119.43$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.978453.6%45 W · 39 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under60c112.48$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.9917354.3%94 W · 79 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Under60c112.48$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.9914159.6%84 W · 57 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed Over41c111.93$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.413366.7%22 W · 11 L+4.0wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+29.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xff38…1d79backed Over44c109.82$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.32955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+33.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under60c107.81$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.0319154.5%104 W · 87 L+0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cc5…ee5abacked Over45c107.44$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.357138%27 W · 44 L-0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7157…7ba4backed Over40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404129.3%12 W · 29 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4413146.6%61 W · 70 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over42c99.97$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.8741954.7%229 W · 190 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14c3…0262backed Over29c99.04$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.723625%9 W · 27 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick24cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Over41c98.45$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.3710451%53 W · 51 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over40c96.4$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.5626747.2%126 W · 141 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x578a…6f10backed Over53c91.68$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.59666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+21.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8943…6c65backed Over44c89.57$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.411758.8%10 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d12…cc43backed Over45c85.96$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.681921.1%4 W · 15 L-3.2wins-0.17per pick38cpaid-56%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed Over69c85.62$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.086063.3%38 W · 22 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d76…6fd4backed Under36c80.13$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.2910147.5%48 W · 53 L+6.9wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Over61c75.61$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.222536%9 W · 16 L-3.0wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-45.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Over39c73.88$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.816737.3%25 W · 42 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a94…769cbacked Over67c72.74$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.023040%12 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ca…0d75backed Over42c68.94$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.963135.5%11 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-15.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over36c67.72$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.396942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed Over44c65.89$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9911547.8%55 W · 60 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0eb…6d57backed Under32c60.12$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.941833.3%6 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a94…b06bbacked Over49c57.37$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.111163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-4.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Under66c52.72$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.925135.3%18 W · 33 L-6.8wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-27.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Over45c52.55$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.62728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.25per pick53cpaid-61.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0ffe…9150backed Over43c52.13$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.664047.5%19 W · 21 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over40c49.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.994438.6%17 W · 27 L+0.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6cf7…cb5bbacked Over60c49.07$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.27977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick69cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3565…0b17backed Over40c48.2$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.283759.5%22 W · 15 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+25.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x66fc…2720backed Under54c47.5$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.062763%17 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb18c…df51backed Over51c47.29$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.34551.1%23 W · 22 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+16%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x31d4…5c13backed Over41c47.05$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.293119.4%6 W · 25 L-7.1wins-0.23per pick42cpaid-56.6%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x39f0…ece9backed Over41c46.58$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+26.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3bcd…1a94backed Over44c43.93$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.337950.6%40 W · 39 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Over69c42.67$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4426744.6%119 W · 148 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over57c42.22$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0219952.8%105 W · 94 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0af5…154cbacked Over62c40.98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.41366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7356…04cfbacked Over45c38.68$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.41250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Over40c38.56$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.429257.6%53 W · 39 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f76…9798backed Over40c36.15$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.46633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-42.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.