TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

ACF Fiorentina vs. SS Lazio: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$45,681
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$43,480

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,681 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No54c10,883$5,893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,990.052,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a1a…4b44backed Yes52c8,536$4,467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,466.96633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-45.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe8b0…7b16backed Yes32c2,867$904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$904.261225%3 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-42.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No52c2,534$1,329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,204.871,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4c8…68f0backed Yes54c1,796$972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$972.49742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick66cpaid-42.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x954e…927fbacked No47c1,468$694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$774.02966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+54%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd71b…7b51backed Yes50c1,337$668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$668.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6864…12c8backed Yes50c1,328$664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$663.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d85…bd13backed Yes50c1,268$634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes50c1,082$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54113445.5%61 W · 73 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes44c1,011$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.044337.2%16 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccea…a8ebbacked No47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick59cpaid+14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No46c1,000$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54038547.8%184 W · 201 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No46c1,000$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54046047.4%218 W · 242 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No46c1,000$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54042347.8%202 W · 221 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5dca…87d0backed Yes40c999.95$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.982123.8%5 W · 16 L-3.3wins-0.15per pick39cpaid-48.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf439…bf9cbacked Yes53c882.36$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.657749.4%38 W · 39 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb184…b6c6backed Yes55c802.42$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.733923.1%9 W · 30 L-4.5wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-28.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes20c637$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.2249850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cb6…1c50backed Yes39c618.9$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.1920%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes29c600$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17413636.8%50 W · 86 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeb0e…b995backed No47c583.4$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes15c572.2$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.6851139.1%200 W · 311 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No47c523.44$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.5898544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes50c499.75$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.517424.3%18 W · 56 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-31.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x68f4…2a4abacked Yes61c464.29$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.2110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc905…850bbacked Yes54c450.19$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.15935.6%21 W · 38 L-11.7wins-0.20per pick55cpaid-38.9%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x01ee…6ab0backed Yes51c380.63$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.12742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No46c379.93$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.5636456.3%205 W · 159 L+19.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed No47c334.59$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.2749137.5%184 W · 307 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed No48c310.95$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.938453.6%45 W · 39 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e12…0ae4backed Yes47c309$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.23450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb702…6bcfbacked Yes53c273.38$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.89944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d73…f538backed Yes41c249.65$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.2420%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed No44c241.18$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.061662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.7wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+64.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4c5b…cc75backed No48c215.96$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.3560%3 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick70cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No46c200$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.241954.7%229 W · 190 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc418…5e1ebacked Yes50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick43cpaid-57.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf40a…29e7backed Yes52c198.82$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.38250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb5d…d917backed No54c196.13$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.26560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Yes52c192.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.0310259.8%61 W · 41 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No46c180$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.223353.6%125 W · 108 L+14.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Yes56c175.85$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.423666.7%24 W · 12 L+4.3wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+20.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd6bb…cc3cbacked Yes56c173.86$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.36333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9531…18ffbacked Yes57c169.56$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.653630.6%11 W · 25 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-28.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No47c146.47$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.8865254.1%353 W · 299 L+19.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked No47c140.17$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.7591043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36f9…5445backed Yes53c136.7$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.93855.3%21 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x389a…cf3dbacked Yes53c129.1$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.424339.5%17 W · 26 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed No52c125.58$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.722744.4%12 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb897…fc48backed Yes45c110$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.58229.3%24 W · 58 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-27.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No50c109.08$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.2716340.5%66 W · 97 L-14.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-25.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked Yes35c108.04$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.358232.9%27 W · 55 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69e7…7cb7backed Yes55c106.15$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.381553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabd5…e713backed Yes50c101.52$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.761040%4 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-43.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked No54c100.7$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.324852.1%25 W · 23 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8816…7082backed Yes56c99.2$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.5510951.4%56 W · 53 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Yes53c99.01$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.4812232%39 W · 83 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid+7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf070…57b8backed Yes45c98.79$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.513221.9%7 W · 25 L-4.6wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-24.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7861…3d27backed Yes50c97$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.520%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Yes52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.25per pick53cpaid-61.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a5d…e3f4backed Yes53c91.68$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.59650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked No61c88.85$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.656258.1%36 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked No61c88.85$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.6514159.6%84 W · 57 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed No61c88.85$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.657163.4%45 W · 26 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed No61c88.85$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.655170.6%36 W · 15 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+18.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked No47c80.59$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.715754.4%31 W · 26 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb0d7…0df5backed No47c72.1$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.211154.5%6 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.19per pick35cpaid+61.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa0a8…2282backed Yes56c71.19$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.871241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-35.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes53c66.08$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.026050%30 W · 30 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b44…be1ebacked No48c64.73$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.661442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5df5…8617backed Yes54c63.03$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.03425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-46.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8941…83d7backed Yes52c58.27$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.34566.7%30 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b7d…866bbacked Yes50c58.2$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.13141.9%13 W · 18 L-3.8wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-29.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4676…b720backed No56c55.66$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.61333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-40.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x47ce…2414backed Yes53c55.01$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.153234.4%11 W · 21 L-3.7wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-28.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0655…faf8backed Yes56c52.16$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.213056.7%17 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa23f…a64ebacked Yes53c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.54247.6%20 W · 22 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01d7…af9cbacked Yes52c46.69$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2820%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x33eb…b07ebacked No66c44.53$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.141464.3%9 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf2d…8452backed Yes55c44.23$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.331822.2%4 W · 14 L-3.8wins-0.21per pick43cpaid-58%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3cd6…b378backed Yes46c42.07$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.353458.8%20 W · 14 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+20.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc629…5e51backed Yes47c41.2$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.367958.2%46 W · 33 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+20.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8ae5…bb4abacked Yes53c41.17$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x43c7…d727backed No47c41.1$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.73955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+17.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14b8…81a9backed Yes52c40$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.81241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd3a…9993backed No49c37.4$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.0710451%53 W · 51 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3110…c3f5backed Yes52c37.35$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.426637.9%25 W · 41 L-9.4wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-30.2%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x1f6e…326cbacked Yes39c37.05$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.45757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes53c36.67$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4412052.5%63 W · 57 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xea77…686ebacked Yes53c36.67$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.441136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.9wins-0.27per pick63cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf02d…16cabacked Yes55c36.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.049653.1%51 W · 45 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x38a5…37a5backed Yes53c36.38$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.442352.2%12 W · 11 L-3.5wins-0.15per pick67cpaid-24%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xda35…b894backed Yes55c35.38$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.464856.3%27 W · 21 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb7f…0abbbacked Yes55c35.38$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.461450%7 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3346…77c5backed Yes41c34.96$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3a2…ff3bbacked Yes56c34.77$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.47742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeab4…3d2dbacked Yes56c34.77$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.47714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick33cpaid-55.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb4e…6081backed Yes56c34.51$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.28540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Yes56c34.43$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.262544%11 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-24.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.