Serie A · resolved market
ACF Fiorentina vs. SS Lazio: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x94ad839a481f28cd4b2c441fa14703f267b36f43cb748970d8fdf3e13c683f8d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,681
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,480
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,681 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 54c | 10,883$5,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,990.05 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a1a…4b44backed Yes | 52c | 8,536$4,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,466.96 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b0…7b16backed Yes | 32c | 2,867$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$904.26 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 52c | 2,534$1,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,204.87 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c8…68f0backed Yes | 54c | 1,796$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.49 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 66cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x954e…927fbacked No | 47c | 1,468$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.02 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +54%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd71b…7b51backed Yes | 50c | 1,337$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6864…12c8backed Yes | 50c | 1,328$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d85…bd13backed Yes | 50c | 1,268$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 50c | 1,082$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 44c | 1,011$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.04 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccea…a8ebbacked No | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 385 | 47.8%184 W · 201 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 460 | 47.4%218 W · 242 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dca…87d0backed Yes | 40c | 999.95$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.98 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.15per pick | 39cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf439…bf9cbacked Yes | 53c | 882.36$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.65 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb184…b6c6backed Yes | 55c | 802.42$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.73 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 20c | 637$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.22 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb6…1c50backed Yes | 39c | 618.9$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes | 29c | 600$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 136 | 36.8%50 W · 86 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb0e…b995backed No | 47c | 583.4$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 15c | 572.2$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.68 | 511 | 39.1%200 W · 311 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 47c | 523.44$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.58 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes | 50c | 499.75$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.51 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68f4…2a4abacked Yes | 61c | 464.29$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Yes | 54c | 450.19$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.1 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -11.7wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x01ee…6ab0backed Yes | 51c | 380.63$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.12 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 46c | 379.93$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.56 | 364 | 56.3%205 W · 159 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed No | 47c | 334.59$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.27 | 491 | 37.5%184 W · 307 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 48c | 310.95$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.93 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e12…0ae4backed Yes | 47c | 309$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.23 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb702…6bcfbacked Yes | 53c | 273.38$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.89 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d73…f538backed Yes | 41c | 249.65$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed No | 44c | 241.18$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.06 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +64.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c5b…cc75backed No | 48c | 215.96$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.3 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 46c | 200$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.2 | 419 | 54.7%229 W · 190 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc418…5e1ebacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf40a…29e7backed Yes | 52c | 198.82$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5d…d917backed No | 54c | 196.13$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.26 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Yes | 52c | 192.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.03 | 102 | 59.8%61 W · 41 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 46c | 180$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.2 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Yes | 56c | 175.85$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.42 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +4.3wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6bb…cc3cbacked Yes | 56c | 173.86$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9531…18ffbacked Yes | 57c | 169.56$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.65 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 47c | 146.47$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.88 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 47c | 140.17$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.75 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Yes | 53c | 136.7$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.9 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x389a…cf3dbacked Yes | 53c | 129.1$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.42 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed No | 52c | 125.58$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.72 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…fc48backed Yes | 45c | 110$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 50c | 109.08$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.27 | 163 | 40.5%66 W · 97 L | -14.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked Yes | 35c | 108.04$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.35 | 82 | 32.9%27 W · 55 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…7cb7backed Yes | 55c | 106.15$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.38 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabd5…e713backed Yes | 50c | 101.52$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.76 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked No | 54c | 100.7$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.32 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed Yes | 56c | 99.2$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.55 | 109 | 51.4%56 W · 53 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 53c | 99.01$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.48 | 122 | 32%39 W · 83 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…57b8backed Yes | 45c | 98.79$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.51 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -4.6wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7861…3d27backed Yes | 50c | 97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Yes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 53cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a5d…e3f4backed Yes | 53c | 91.68$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.59 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked No | 61c | 88.85$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.65 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 61c | 88.85$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.65 | 141 | 59.6%84 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed No | 61c | 88.85$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.65 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed No | 61c | 88.85$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.65 | 51 | 70.6%36 W · 15 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked No | 47c | 80.59$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.71 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…0df5backed No | 47c | 72.1$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.21 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 35cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a8…2282backed Yes | 56c | 71.19$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.87 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes | 53c | 66.08$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.02 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked No | 48c | 64.73$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.66 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…8617backed Yes | 54c | 63.03$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.03 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Yes | 52c | 58.27$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.3 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7d…866bbacked Yes | 50c | 58.2$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed No | 56c | 55.66$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47ce…2414backed Yes | 53c | 55.01$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Yes | 56c | 52.16$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.21 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa23f…a64ebacked Yes | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01d7…af9cbacked Yes | 52c | 46.69$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33eb…b07ebacked No | 66c | 44.53$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.14 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2d…8452backed Yes | 55c | 44.23$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.33 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -3.8wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -58%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd6…b378backed Yes | 46c | 42.07$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Yes | 47c | 41.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…bb4abacked Yes | 53c | 41.17$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43c7…d727backed No | 47c | 41.1$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.73 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14b8…81a9backed Yes | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…9993backed No | 49c | 37.4$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.07 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3110…c3f5backed Yes | 52c | 37.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -9.4wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6e…326cbacked Yes | 39c | 37.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 53c | 36.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea77…686ebacked Yes | 53c | 36.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.27per pick | 63cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf02d…16cabacked Yes | 55c | 36.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.04 | 96 | 53.1%51 W · 45 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38a5…37a5backed Yes | 53c | 36.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 67cpaid | -24%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b894backed Yes | 55c | 35.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7f…0abbbacked Yes | 55c | 35.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3346…77c5backed Yes | 41c | 34.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a2…ff3bbacked Yes | 56c | 34.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab4…3d2dbacked Yes | 56c | 34.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 33cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb4e…6081backed Yes | 56c | 34.51$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Yes | 56c | 34.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ACF Fiorentina vs. SS Lazio: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- ACF Fiorentina vs. SS Lazio: O/U 1.5Under won
- ACF Fiorentina vs. SS Lazio: O/U 2.5Under won
- ACF Fiorentina vs. SS Lazio: O/U 3.5Under won
- ACF Fiorentina vs. SS Lazio: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: ACF Fiorentina (-1.5)SS Lazio won
- Spread: ACF Fiorentina (-2.5)SS Lazio won
- Spread: SS Lazio (-1.5)ACF Fiorentina won
- Spread: SS Lazio (-2.5)ACF Fiorentina won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.