Serie A · resolved market
ACF Fiorentina vs. SS Lazio: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x801167047e4d575e256fea05326003219948b15800889de9358e27dba4ae7535
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $92,102
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $98,965
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,102 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 58c | 17,399$10,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,255.78 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 11,703$5,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,920.25 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 46c | 6,897$3,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,706.73 | 326 | 50.6%165 W · 161 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2af2…ec6fbacked Over | 57c | 4,860$2,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,770.18 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b0…7b16backed Over | 11c | 4,627$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.64 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Over | 39c | 4,400$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,709.98 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1414…ae7bbacked Over | 69c | 4,396$3,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,032.98 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 72cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Over | 33c | 4,290$1,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,424.37 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…206dbacked Over | 77c | 4,015$3,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,077.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 73cpaid | -55%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +7.3wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 37c | 2,231$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,402.76 | 411 | 44.3%182 W · 229 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…391ebacked Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…a2d6backed Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf1e…5d9bbacked Over | 48c | 1,965$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.96 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 55c | 1,956$1,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.77 | 491 | 37.5%184 W · 307 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8577…199abacked Over | 42c | 1,930$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.77 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 44cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f59…21cbbacked Over | 42c | 1,930$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.11 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d77…be89backed Over | 40c | 1,928$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05f8…d87fbacked Over | 40c | 1,928$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…04b5backed Over | 40c | 1,927$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.19 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x25d4…26fdbacked Over | 39c | 1,830$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3d…7de0backed Under | 30c | 1,585$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,106.9 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 33cpaid | +29%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 51c | 1,499$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.07 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Over | 64c | 1,442$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.63 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 50c | 1,298$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.14 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8dd…21a8backed Over | 38c | 1,155$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5dca…87d0backed Over | 56c | 999.92$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.95 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.15per pick | 39cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Under | 38c | 979.56$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.75 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 66c | 808.45$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.23 | 199 | 52.8%105 W · 94 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 28c | 727.01$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.45 | 404 | 47.3%191 W · 213 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…d4debacked Over | 72c | 682.78$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.6 | 216 | 50.5%109 W · 107 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…0df5backed Under | 30c | 660.34$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.23 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 35cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 51c | 589.59$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.98 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 29c | 551.29$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.05 | 511 | 39.1%200 W · 311 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01ee…6ab0backed Over | 72c | 539.89$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.72 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Under | 43c | 503.01$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.72 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 59c | 450$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.14 | 317 | 38.8%123 W · 194 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 43c | 449.21$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.05 | 141 | 59.6%84 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Over | 68c | 429.98$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.32 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 38c | 377.63$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.25 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8b…88cbbacked Over | 56c | 347.71$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.72 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 57c | 343.01$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.5 | 233 | 45.1%105 W · 128 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 55c | 322.28$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.18 | 204 | 52%106 W · 98 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Over | 59c | 314.88$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.27 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 154 | 50%77 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2d…6f93backed Over | 56c | 292.08$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.56 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 66c | 269.47$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.74 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | -9.6wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Under | 37c | 260.05$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.83 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +8.8wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Under | 29c | 250$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.5 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 80c | 247$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.6 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cf…0425backed Over | 61c | 242.21$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.98 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 65cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 43c | 224.6$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.02 | 173 | 54.3%94 W · 79 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Over | 66c | 204.96$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.18 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf551…fb1dbacked Under | 54c | 194.48$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 50c | 194.17$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.08 | 467 | 42.8%200 W · 267 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 29c | 191.48$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.95 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 48c | 182.46$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.03 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Under | 43c | 178.12$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.53 | 51 | 70.6%36 W · 15 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x25e3…b729backed Over | 60c | 174.05$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.43 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Under | 30c | 162.57$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.61 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Over | 61c | 160.1$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.66 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1782…892fbacked Over | 62c | 158.1$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +78.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57dc…01ffbacked Over | 72c | 154.24$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.05 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…ab05backed Over | 66c | 148.35$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.45 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked Over | 51c | 147.85$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.96 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 50c | 147.38$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.69 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…ee2ebacked Over | 71c | 144.99$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.94 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Over | 72c | 136.56$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.32 | 133 | 66.2%88 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Under | 64c | 132.93$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.86 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 54c | 126.82$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.1 | 154 | 59.7%92 W · 62 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Over | 77c | 124.03$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.5 | 89 | 65.2%58 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over | 65c | 112.96$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.43 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -3.7wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed Over | 70c | 110.85$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.96 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Under | 41c | 108.68$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.83 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +89.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Under | 58c | 106.9$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.37 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cf…bdf6backed Over | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -57%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…b695backed Under | 74c | 99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 36c | 96.16$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.54 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +9.6wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 77c | 94$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.62 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Over | 53c | 91.65$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.61 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d12…cc43backed Over | 38c | 88.68$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.7 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -56%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7f…0abbbacked Over | 46c | 87.1$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.49 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Over | 66c | 85.94$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.68 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Over | 50c | 82.8$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.69 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…d72dbacked Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 29c | 77.98$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.76 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Under | 32c | 76.74$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.18 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +15.5wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 30c | 74.65$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.94 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 65c | 74$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.08 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 60c | 73.34$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.92 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a28…4e3bbacked Over | 51c | 67.94$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -6.0wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b894backed Over | 43c | 67.38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.97 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked Over | 42c | 66.71$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.31 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 78c | 63.39$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.33 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 29c | 61.62$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.75 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 59c | 60.93$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.98 | 152 | 44.1%67 W · 85 L | -11.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 49c | 60.25$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.92 | 308 | 28.9%89 W · 219 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14b7…a035backed Over | 65c | 60.25$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.16 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 61c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 148 | 45.3%67 W · 81 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 28c | 59.98$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.19 | 364 | 56.3%205 W · 159 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ACF Fiorentina vs. SS Lazio: O/U 1.5this page
- ACF Fiorentina vs. SS Lazio: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- ACF Fiorentina vs. SS Lazio: O/U 2.5Under won
- ACF Fiorentina vs. SS Lazio: O/U 3.5Under won
- ACF Fiorentina vs. SS Lazio: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: ACF Fiorentina (-1.5)SS Lazio won
- Spread: ACF Fiorentina (-2.5)SS Lazio won
- Spread: SS Lazio (-1.5)ACF Fiorentina won
- Spread: SS Lazio (-2.5)ACF Fiorentina won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.