Serie A · resolved market
ACF Fiorentina vs. SS Lazio: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b8ac2e75624689b9167414e2756cdbe47fc87e1148d4cf6f5203b6f5010927c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,829
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,345
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,829 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 45c | 4,955$2,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,229.63 | 189 | 23.8%45 W · 144 L | -13.2wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 56c | 3,524$1,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550.75 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d30…a42dbacked Over | 44c | 2,684$1,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180.89 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Under | 55c | 2,463$1,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,095.96 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96b4…c2f1backed Over | 33c | 1,900$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.99 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 65c | 1,890$1,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.58 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 66c | 1,865$1,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.07 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 68c | 1,773$1,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.86 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…dababacked Under | 57c | 1,713$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.49 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 55c | 1,584$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.82 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 61c | 1,541$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.49 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Over | 44c | 1,511$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.87 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…1608backed Under | 55c | 1,497$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb184…b6c6backed Over | 37c | 1,239$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.14 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Over | 44c | 1,130$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.2 | 113 | 48.7%55 W · 58 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 44c | 1,071$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.17 | 404 | 47.3%191 W · 213 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 64c | 929.77$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.33 | 411 | 44.3%182 W · 229 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 55c | 923.54$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.59 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 71c | 766.61$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.02 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6394…9749backed Over | 44c | 678.68$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.62 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Over | 38c | 597.38$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.83 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 45c | 558.71$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.42 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…656dbacked Under | 55c | 529.78$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.4 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 67c | 500$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.31 | 204 | 52%106 W · 98 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked Over | 34c | 498.15$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.43 | 82 | 32.9%27 W · 55 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 45c | 483.5$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.58 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 56c | 439.09$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.2 | 385 | 47.8%184 W · 201 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 56c | 439.09$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.2 | 460 | 47.4%218 W · 242 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 56c | 436.7$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.29 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 45c | 429.78$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.4 | 136 | 36.8%50 W · 86 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a94…769cbacked Over | 45c | 429.78$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.4 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 55c | 420$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 364 | 56.3%205 W · 159 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…c87bbacked Under | 56c | 389.44$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.35 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 56c | 352.47$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.29 | 491 | 37.5%184 W · 307 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 55c | 345.42$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.44 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Over | 42c | 320.53$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.71 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c3…dde1backed Over | 31c | 314.53$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.95 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 44cpaid | -74%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c2…190dbacked Over | 33c | 311.24$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.71 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 56c | 292.08$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.52 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 24c | 282.54$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.98 | 467 | 42.8%200 W · 267 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 56c | 275.53$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.23 | 176 | 51.7%91 W · 85 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 55c | 252.23$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.54 | 419 | 54.7%229 W · 190 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Under | 55c | 250$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 67c | 235.01$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.55 | 326 | 50.6%165 W · 161 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d2…2be9backed Over | 43c | 234.64$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.48 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd73…4da1backed Over | 41c | 233.52$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.47 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Over | 45c | 214.89$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.7 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Over | 45c | 214.89$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.7 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 56c | 200$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 131 | 46.6%61 W · 70 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 69c | 188.94$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.52 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed Over | 23c | 186.78$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.96 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 56c | 182.55$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.32 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Under | 56c | 173.86$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cf…0425backed Over | 49c | 160.25$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.52 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 65cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7663…c9aabacked Over | 42c | 159.44$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.97 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 21c | 146.85$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.46 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Over | 45c | 145.05$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.27 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68d1…f166backed Over | 37c | 130.03$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.11 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe42d…62febacked Under | 56c | 128.65$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.61 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Over | 23c | 128.48$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.22 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked Over | 48c | 123.55$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.31 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Under | 55c | 119.99$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.99 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…077dbacked Over | 33c | 118.03$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.38 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -5.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -44%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x08fb…8b8bbacked Over | 45c | 109.27$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.17 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8277…7d31backed Over | 34c | 107.44$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.53 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 22c | 101$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 149 | 36.2%54 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5f…91fdbacked Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -5.7wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 15c | 99.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 233 | 45.1%105 W · 128 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 40c | 97.54$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.63 | 511 | 39.1%200 W · 311 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 56c | 97.36$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.84 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 41c | 94.11$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.58 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 73c | 92.96$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.48 | 148 | 45.3%67 W · 81 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9659…1ba2backed Under | 55c | 88.45$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +101.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 60c | 87$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.77 | 181 | 25.4%46 W · 135 L | -18.7wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Under | 54c | 86.66$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.86 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Under | 67c | 82.65$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.65 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 36c | 80$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 345 | 53.9%186 W · 159 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae4…bf8cbacked Over | 37c | 78.02$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.87 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25e6…74a9backed Under | 56c | 75.56$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.25 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9c…b478backed Under | 56c | 69.54$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b894backed Over | 45c | 68.4$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.78 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe831…e4dabacked Over | 45c | 64.47$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.01 | 102 | 42.2%43 W · 59 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 41c | 58.82$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Under | 68c | 55.66$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +89.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6cec…a0abbacked Over | 44c | 51.88$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.83 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 33c | 50.22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba97…716bbacked Under | 60c | 48.8$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.52 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd10e…18dfbacked Over | 45c | 48.35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -6.1wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -50%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 43c | 48.29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.53 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +9.6wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6e…326cbacked Over | 30c | 47.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 44c | 45.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.11 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…bb4abacked Over | 45c | 45.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Over | 43c | 44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e4…f926backed Over | 45c | 42.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Over | 45c | 42.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3110…c3f5backed Over | 45c | 42.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -9.4wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x03f5…3047backed Over | 45c | 42.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb5…8740backed Over | 45c | 42.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8c…880abacked Over | 45c | 42.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ACF Fiorentina vs. SS Lazio: O/U 2.5this page
- ACF Fiorentina vs. SS Lazio: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- ACF Fiorentina vs. SS Lazio: O/U 1.5Under won
- ACF Fiorentina vs. SS Lazio: O/U 3.5Under won
- ACF Fiorentina vs. SS Lazio: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: ACF Fiorentina (-1.5)SS Lazio won
- Spread: ACF Fiorentina (-2.5)SS Lazio won
- Spread: SS Lazio (-1.5)ACF Fiorentina won
- Spread: SS Lazio (-2.5)ACF Fiorentina won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.