Bundesliga · resolved market
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-04-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac3b50ad9dc11bc231261a873a6da6eb5b664f75038b165a145eb56734e83047
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $218,262
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $262,710
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $218,262 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 180 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd29…77aebacked Yes | 29c | 29,182$8,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,719.15 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a91…c6b1backed Yes | 29c | 15,318$4,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,876.06 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2128…da98backed No | 71c | 12,259$8,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,716.55 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 40c | 11,956$4,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,821.49 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8401…0fa1backed Yes | 31c | 9,141$2,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,264.57 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 25cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 71c | 8,951$6,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,387.84 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 72c | 8,092$5,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,786.81 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd577…2bb7backed No | 72c | 7,941$5,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,717.74 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 62cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x844e…4efdbacked Yes | 28c | 7,654$2,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,511.17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 49c | 6,348$3,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,132.54 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 70c | 6,345$4,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,438.55 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 71c | 6,002$4,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,751.16 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0c…bcebbacked No | 72c | 5,000$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,599.99 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 2c | 4,704$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.82 | 143 | 15.4%22 W · 121 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed No | 71c | 4,200$2,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,981.8 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa051…54ebbacked Yes | 29c | 4,127$1,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,929.97 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.19per pick | 37cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c6c…4f80backed Yes | 28c | 4,101$1,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,952.41 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Yes | 28c | 3,571$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,571.19 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 51c | 3,100$1,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,593.33 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 45c | 2,911$1,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,603.68 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26e7…cc6cbacked No | 40c | 2,410$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2c…dfe7backed No | 71c | 2,359$1,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,674.61 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5054…0aafbacked Yes | 29c | 2,064$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,465.27 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +4.5wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed No | 72c | 2,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked No | 71c | 2,000$1,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,419.99 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 46c | 1,892$877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$876.86 | 208 | 45.7%95 W · 113 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 37c | 1,719$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.35 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 28c | 1,564$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,124.08 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 72c | 1,503$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.78 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a11…eb9dbacked No | 72c | 1,366$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.2 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes | 28c | 1,340$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$964.45 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked No | 71c | 1,092$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.78 | 146 | 52.7%77 W · 69 L | +11.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe87…6fc0backed No | 73c | 1,091$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.24 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3be…c163backed Yes | 77c | 1,041$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.06 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.23per pick | 60cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed No | 42c | 695.25$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.5 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32c…ff08backed Yes | 29c | 660.28$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 47c | 651.31$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.94 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 47c | 651.31$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.94 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 48c | 640.12$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.02 | 213 | 55.4%118 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed No | 47c | 630.8$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.62 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…26efbacked No | 71c | 600$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 72c | 591.79$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.09 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 71c | 555$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.47 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Yes | 62c | 547.68$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.81 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb6c…1bfabacked Yes | 28c | 512.57$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.05 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 71c | 500$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 386 | 46.9%181 W · 205 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 28c | 478.4$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.45 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +8.9wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 72c | 460$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.2 | 287 | 55.1%158 W · 129 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Yes | 65c | 451.85$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked Yes | 31c | 435.95$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.8 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x800a…0b4dbacked Yes | 29c | 429.18$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.72 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed No | 69c | 426.7$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.42 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked No | 71c | 420$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.2 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked No | 71c | 420$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.2 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…3111backed Yes | 30c | 400$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 59c | 393.63$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.16 | 177 | 49.7%88 W · 89 L | -10.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked No | 70c | 377.9$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.13 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -7.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked No | 71c | 370$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.7 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 71c | 345.99$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.65 | 111 | 48.6%54 W · 57 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c1…80e1backed Yes | 33c | 344.08$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +200.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5f…6cecbacked Yes | 30c | 328.69$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Yes | 33c | 306.04$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.25 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8a…f0b8backed Yes | 32c | 302.75$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.87 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb7…75f2backed Yes | 64c | 294.96$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.62 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 30c | 256.04$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.23 | 86 | 30.2%26 W · 60 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 71c | 235.58$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.26 | 330 | 47.3%156 W · 174 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a6…771fbacked Yes | 28c | 234.72$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed No | 71c | 233$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.43 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 71c | 232.08$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.78 | 420 | 46.4%195 W · 225 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce00…7ce0backed Yes | 29c | 231.1$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked No | 71c | 222.26$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.81 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes | 32c | 220.62$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.02 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4d…b339backed Yes | 26c | 218.62$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.96 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 56c | 206.53$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.94 | 398 | 57.5%229 W · 169 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x033a…fc42backed No | 72c | 204.06$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.92 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 29c | 198.08$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.64 | 125 | 38.4%48 W · 77 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…a8adbacked Yes | 28c | 170$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b90…30b6backed Yes | 29c | 165.07$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.2 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb2…7af1backed Yes | 74c | 164.11$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5d…d917backed Yes | 60c | 162.67$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.07 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 28c | 150$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 109 | 42.2%46 W · 63 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked No | 40c | 144.89$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.58 | 140 | 55%77 W · 63 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 72c | 135.68$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.69 | 343 | 42%144 W · 199 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 75c | 134$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.5 | 245 | 41.6%102 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01d4…1f9cbacked Yes | 74c | 133.03$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.59 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 75c | 131.33$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.83 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed No | 33c | 124.93$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.42 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6bb…cc3cbacked Yes | 80c | 123.5$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 72c | 118.99$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.37 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 76c | 116.68$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…39e7backed Yes | 30c | 111.77$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4c…1940backed Yes | 76c | 110.54$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.74 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…ab9fbacked Yes | 60c | 110$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 75c | 105.85$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.91 | 496 | 47.4%235 W · 261 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…5068backed Yes | 25c | 101$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.62 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Yes | 75c | 100.54$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.52 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked No | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa64c…34f2backed Yes | 60c | 97.6$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.04 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…e772backed No | 71c | 96.88$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.78 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Yes | 77c | 96.07$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.18 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-04-12?this page
- Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. SC Freiburg end in a draw?No won
- Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-04-12?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.