Bundesliga · resolved market
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. SC Freiburg end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c1f36fd99056c89aa24665b88cc56bf1099a42beeb1a9de482b1941d1d28f96
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $238,595
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $239,595
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $238,595 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5db5…1a50backed Yes | 29c | 88,046$25,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,533.47 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 1c | 55,357$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.99 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 73c | 19,925$14,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,423.99 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked Yes | 30c | 17,230$5,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,169.03 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 70c | 16,511$11,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,884.82 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 70c | 16,439$11,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,940.82 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 72c | 9,841$7,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,772.56 | 208 | 45.7%95 W · 113 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 69c | 8,666$5,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,705.91 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 71c | 5,831$4,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,666.71 | 213 | 55.4%118 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe87…6fc0backed No | 71c | 4,274$3,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,239.55 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0075…5f10backed Yes | 41c | 3,500$1,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,434.98 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 70c | 3,437$2,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,031.1 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 72c | 3,404$2,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945.58 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 72c | 3,403$2,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.95 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a3…e4b7backed Yes | 29c | 2,719$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.51 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae4c…dcb9backed Yes | 41c | 2,327$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed No | 70c | 2,227$1,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.72 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 71c | 2,114$1,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.96 | 486 | 58.6%285 W · 201 L | +44.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed No | 70c | 2,000$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf07…e601backed Yes | 16c | 2,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 71c | 1,870$1,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.31 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58d4…aa98backed Yes | 30c | 1,709$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 70c | 1,699$1,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.7 | 157 | 47.1%74 W · 83 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4306…618abacked Yes | 24c | 1,480$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.2 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 70c | 1,341$939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.31 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 70c | 1,155$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.18 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked No | 71c | 1,092$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.58 | 146 | 52.7%77 W · 69 L | +11.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb49…1fbebacked Yes | 30c | 990.46$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.83 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -62%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed No | 70c | 982$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.6 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed No | 70c | 982$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.6 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 70c | 982$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.6 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 70c | 982$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.6 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 70c | 883.8$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.14 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 71c | 864.08$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.58 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 17c | 848.1$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.58 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7eb…615bbacked Yes | 5c | 793.08$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.71 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed No | 70c | 785.6$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.68 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 71c | 691.97$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.67 | 177 | 49.7%88 W · 89 L | -10.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed No | 71c | 691.97$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.67 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b71…4e79backed Yes | 30c | 645.05$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.52 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 30c | 638.67$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.6 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 73c | 637.47$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.43 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked No | 71c | 610$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.9 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74bb…1759backed Yes | 24c | 600.1$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.06 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 26cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 70c | 589.2$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.76 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 19c | 570.82$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.12 | 240 | 50.4%121 W · 119 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 69c | 567.93$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.06 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked No | 73c | 566.85$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.59 | 140 | 55%77 W · 63 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked No | 70c | 499.96$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.99 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 70c | 460$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 287 | 55.1%158 W · 129 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Yes | 30c | 454.67$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.4 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 70c | 453.42$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.81 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x835c…8e3bbacked Yes | 30c | 420.81$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.39 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked No | 70c | 412.44$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.73 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked No | 70c | 412.44$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.73 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes | 5c | 394.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfe…294cbacked Yes | 25c | 382$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.5 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd6…d9f7backed Yes | 19c | 365.4$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.04 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde80…d8b9backed Yes | 30c | 364.04$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.21 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked No | 70c | 363.34$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbf…8c7bbacked Yes | 6c | 340.07$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 71c | 334.92$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.13 | 111 | 48.6%54 W · 57 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe706…89bcbacked Yes | 30c | 319.33$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.8 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…50c8backed Yes | 30c | 319.33$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.8 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86be…4490backed Yes | 30c | 303.37$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.01 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033b…5e3fbacked No | 72c | 302.81$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.69 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed No | 70c | 299.96$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.99 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed No | 70c | 294.6$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.38 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked No | 70c | 294.6$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.38 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5941…9583backed Yes | 36c | 268.97$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1259backed Yes | 30c | 248.75$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.3 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 71c | 245.88$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.3 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 30c | 242.13$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.46 | 481 | 46.4%223 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x348a…9c6bbacked Yes | 22c | 238.3$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Yes | 18c | 237.7$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.79 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +5.2wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 30c | 210.61$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.16 | 496 | 47.4%235 W · 261 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffff…4413backed No | 77c | 203.66$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.93 | 121 | 41.3%50 W · 71 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd03…df4abacked Yes | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3be…c163backed Yes | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.23per pick | 60cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes | 30c | 200$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x694c…eb70backed Yes | 30c | 196.39$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.92 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -4.4wins | -0.20per pick | 38cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes | 21c | 195.38$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.94 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Yes | 30c | 191.6$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.48 | 49 | 24.5%12 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f42…a8febacked No | 65c | 180.74$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.26 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 73c | 176.2$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.8 | 398 | 57.5%229 W · 169 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc826…fcb3backed No | 71c | 174.45$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.59 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 70c | 172.2$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.66 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…68ecbacked Yes | 30c | 161.36$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.89 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b90…30b6backed Yes | 30c | 161.02$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.89 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3319…ba79backed Yes | 30c | 160.93$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.73 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe977…fcd8backed Yes | 19c | 140.21$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 76c | 139.93$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.71 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5465…ba43backed No | 71c | 138.39$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.13 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc57f…cfffbacked No | 71c | 138.39$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.13 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5d…d917backed Yes | 42c | 137.89$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.91 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 59c | 127.66$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.34 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb72e…7c3bbacked Yes | 18c | 110.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 30c | 98.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | +7.1wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdc…47a4backed Yes | 24c | 98.03$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48aa…2eeebacked Yes | 30c | 96.37$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. SC Freiburg end in a draw?this page
- Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-04-12?No won
- Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-04-12?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.