Bundesliga · resolved market
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-04-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4f15df7c39205b445977310f1be0fa080b9299a453729d524df504e18cf72dcd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $187,018
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $219,318
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $187,018 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 143 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5db5…1a50backed Yes | 35c | 47,261$16,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,397.45 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…3020backed No | 65c | 15,000$9,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 74c | 10,124$7,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,593.66 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 65c | 7,707$5,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,665.59 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 77c | 6,419$4,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,492.45 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed No | 57c | 5,269$3,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,248.86 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 43c | 4,877$2,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,075.83 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 65c | 4,368$2,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,528.83 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +5.1wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +815.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 66c | 3,486$2,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,168.06 | 208 | 45.7%95 W · 113 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…4a6fbacked Yes | 34c | 3,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.99 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 43c | 2,933$1,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,259.41 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 65c | 2,274$1,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.83 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8401…0fa1backed Yes | 9c | 2,101$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.08 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 25cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Yes | 5c | 1,886$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.3 | 49 | 16.3%8 W · 41 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 66c | 1,817$1,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.45 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…873dbacked No | 58c | 1,681$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.89 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x300c…7708backed Yes | 36c | 1,635$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked No | 66c | 1,479$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.63 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -7.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7abf…8dd3backed No | 66c | 1,401$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.92 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfe…294cbacked Yes | 6c | 1,384$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.04 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 5c | 1,321$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.75 | 213 | 55.4%118 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Yes | 6c | 1,201$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.81 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 66c | 1,144$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.34 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked No | 66c | 1,088$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.03 | 146 | 52.7%77 W · 69 L | +11.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 65c | 1,081$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.29 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe521…9caebacked Yes | 10c | 1,069$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.9 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 17cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 43c | 965.8$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.29 | 240 | 50.4%121 W · 119 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 3c | 942.58$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.25 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf171…85febacked Yes | 41c | 941.07$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 56c | 860$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.2 | 287 | 55.1%158 W · 129 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 66c | 742.12$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.32 | 177 | 49.7%88 W · 89 L | -10.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed No | 66c | 742.12$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.32 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed No | 67c | 731.49$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.39 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 2c | 699.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.85 | 143 | 15.4%22 W · 121 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x258f…4493backed Yes | 7c | 677.94$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.46 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 18c | 592.57$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.16 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…976abacked No | 68c | 576.94$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…13adbacked Yes | 40c | 518.15$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb8…a6fabacked No | 58c | 504.21$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.77 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 56c | 499.96$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.76 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Yes | 8c | 487.62$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.01 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 42c | 468$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.56 | 243 | 22.2%54 W · 189 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…cfb1backed Yes | 43c | 454.31$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.1 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39b3…53b9backed Yes | 43c | 442.34$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.2 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 56c | 433.78$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.01 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfece…ef64backed Yes | 43c | 416.98$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.3 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 43c | 416.47$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.08 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cae…fdc1backed No | 58c | 403.37$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.41 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 56c | 399.99$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 230 | 46.5%107 W · 123 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 42c | 386.14$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.17 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +8.9wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2c…dfe7backed No | 57c | 374.08$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.85 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed No | 56c | 362.32$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.42 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 66c | 343.68$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.85 | 111 | 48.6%54 W · 57 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked No | 58c | 336.14$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.18 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6af…b5efbacked No | 58c | 336.14$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.18 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -8.5wins | -0.14per pick | 62cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 66c | 296.85$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.93 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47a5…6834backed Yes | 35c | 288.36$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe87…6fc0backed No | 64c | 288.31$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.79 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked No | 57c | 283.47$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.67 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x348a…9c6bbacked Yes | 4c | 282.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c04…1844backed Yes | 36c | 281.29$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.27 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…251fbacked No | 69c | 274.76$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.76 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4453…3c27backed Yes | 44c | 240.46$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.77 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7242…ac6fbacked Yes | 7c | 236.05$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4791…07f8backed Yes | 42c | 229.81$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.52 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.28per pick | 37cpaid | -76.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xabd5…e713backed No | 62c | 223.92$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.76 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4d…b339backed Yes | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked No | 57c | 194.84$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.78 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe8…3684backed Yes | 44c | 193.28$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.04 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 9c | 189.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 147 | 26.5%39 W · 108 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 44c | 188.75$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.05 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffff…4413backed No | 79c | 174.98$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.1 | 121 | 41.3%50 W · 71 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb6c…1bfabacked Yes | 35c | 167.49$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.62 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 30c | 165.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.69 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 57c | 156$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.08 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7861…3d27backed Yes | 34c | 141.24$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.02 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 28c | 137.47$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.99 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa8…6e47backed No | 66c | 131.8$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Yes | 43c | 122$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.46 | 157 | 47.1%74 W · 83 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 58c | 117.73$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.45 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe0…fb5bbacked Yes | 36c | 113.82$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Yes | 43c | 113$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.59 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +5.2wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee8a…69acbacked Yes | 43c | 112.3$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.29 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01d4…1f9cbacked Yes | 43c | 112.3$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.29 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…38b2backed Yes | 35c | 108.44$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.45 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…ab9fbacked Yes | 34c | 105.64$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.92 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed No | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 109 | 42.2%46 W · 63 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e40…7d1fbacked Yes | 44c | 98.84$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.49 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 59c | 97.54$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.99 | 135 | 55.6%75 W · 60 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffe…9150backed No | 77c | 96.05$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.03 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc57f…cfffbacked No | 64c | 91.35$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.89 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f6…f0d9backed Yes | 43c | 89.84$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0dc…ffadbacked No | 58c | 87$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.54 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a13…db82backed Yes | 43c | 86.44$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.17 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed No | 58c | 84.03$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.29 | 175 | 47.4%83 W · 92 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed No | 59c | 82.66$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.89 | 112 | 50.9%57 W · 55 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 16c | 81.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 113 | 56.6%64 W · 49 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed No | 61c | 78.75$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.71 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84bb…25d3backed Yes | 38c | 70.44$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 58c | 68.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.28 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-04-12?this page
- Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. SC Freiburg end in a draw?No won
- Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-04-12?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.