TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9996…6810

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
50
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: La Liga, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 56 out of 100; worst Tennis at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT1520%3 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-51.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Tennis — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BMW Open: Emilio Nava vs Ben Sheltonbacked Emilio Nava · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.66
Barcelona Open: Reilly Opelka vs Ethan Quinnbacked Ethan Quinn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$16.73
Barcelona Open: Tomas Etcheverry vs Jack Draperbacked Jack Draper · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.98
Oeiras 3: Nuria Brancaccio vs Petra Marcinkobacked Nuria Brancaccio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.96
BMW Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Marc-Andrea Hueslerbacked Marc-Andrea Huesler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.88
BMW Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Alex Michelsenbacked Alex Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.86
Barcelona Open: Ignacio Buse vs Corentin Moutetbacked Corentin Moutet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.17
Sarasota: Yibing Wu vs Stefan Dostanicbacked Stefan Dostanic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.19
Barcelona Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaerbacked Marco Trungelliti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+326.9%+$83.03
Barcelona Open, Qualification: Sebastian Ofner vs Alejo Sanchez Quilezbacked Alejo Sanchez Quilez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.93
Sarasota: Garrett Johns vs Daniel Dutra da Silvabacked Garrett Johns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.38
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Casper Ruudbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.82
Monza: Timofey Skatov vs Hugo Gastonbacked Timofey Skatov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.87
Madrid: Lisa Pigato vs Laura Samsonbacked Laura Samson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.65
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Matteo Berrettini vs Joao Fonsecabacked Matteo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.14
All 15 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.24per pick42cpaid+76.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+36.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+132.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+24.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+70.6%+$10.88
Wizards vs. Cavaliersbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.62
Lakers vs. Warriors: O/U 221.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$15.13
All 3 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.28
Hurricanes vs. Flyersbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Penguins vs. Capitalsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 3 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-04-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$8.34
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. SC Freiburg: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.82
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+22%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Fnatic vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$15.78
LoL: Fnatic vs SK Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.36
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ACF Fiorentina vs. SS Lazio: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+100%+$11.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$12.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+87%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tianjin Pioneers vs. Xinjiang Flying Tigersbacked Tianjin Pioneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+87%+$9.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+47.6%+$11.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.74
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.