South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Cruzeiro EC vs. Red Bull Bragantino end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa33c539841218eaab929285e9b4e4a39bfc1f363bbbf11306aa942ebcec354ec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,940
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,864
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,940 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 16c | 4,954$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.71 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95a9…4352backed No | 74c | 4,364$3,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,134.57 | 16 | 93.8%15 W · 1 L | +3.8wins | +0.24per pick | 70cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 26c | 3,321$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.54 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 69c | 913.59$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.38 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8817…cda8backed Yes | 15c | 701.27$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.9 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -5.7wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a3…e4b7backed Yes | 28c | 503.42$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd73…4da1backed Yes | 20c | 476.52$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.2 | 153 | 26.1%40 W · 113 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 71c | 398$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.88 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 78c | 337.83$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.83 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 22c | 234.5$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.6 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…ef8ebacked No | 73c | 217.95$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.85 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes | 10c | 189.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 70c | 183.73$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.33 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x569b…c66ebacked No | 63c | 155.21$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.43 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 27c | 145.35$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.67 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Yes | 32c | 114.29$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.57 | 261 | 60.9%159 W · 102 L | +20.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed No | 73c | 108.96$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.02 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -41%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 66c | 91.16$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Yes | 32c | 85.3$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.96 | 118 | 56.8%67 W · 51 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a7…f2b7backed Yes | 17c | 82.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 73c | 82.31$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.15 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0833…bc88backed Yes | 37c | 69.41$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f42…a8febacked No | 73c | 67.38$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.19 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.31per pick | 68cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 71c | 65.52$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 208 | 46.6%97 W · 111 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc311…c154backed No | 61c | 65.36$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.49 | 82 | 67.1%55 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x452f…b277backed Yes | 29c | 62.73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.19 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yes | 32c | 59.72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Yes | 32c | 59.72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 412 | 56.6%233 W · 179 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed No | 78c | 57.67$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 167 | 59.9%100 W · 67 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 26c | 55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 50c | 54.02$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.79 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8277…7d31backed Yes | 20c | 53.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bb…2753backed Yes | 28c | 51.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked No | 72c | 49.16$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e29…cfbfbacked Yes | 39c | 47.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.58 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -3.6wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x33eb…b07ebacked No | 65c | 45.18$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed No | 74c | 43.31$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.26 | 110 | 59.1%65 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9996…6810backed Yes | 28c | 41.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 28c | 40.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Yes | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Yes | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 293 | 62.5%183 W · 110 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 72c | 35.71$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 66c | 30.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.33 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 66c | 30.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.33 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 66c | 30.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.33 | 367 | 57.5%211 W · 156 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 66c | 30.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.33 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed No | 66c | 30.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.33 | 159 | 56.6%90 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dda…8799backed No | 68c | 28.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.23 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 68cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed No | 73c | 25.73$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 66c | 20.91$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.11 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43c7…d727backed No | 71c | 16.41$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.7 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Cruzeiro EC vs. Red Bull Bragantino end in a draw?this page
- Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-04-12?Yes won
- Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-04-12?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.