TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-04-12?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$198,020
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$207,773

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $198,020 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 170 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb22…6478backed No52c118,572$62,156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62,156.1629446.6%137 W · 157 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Yes47c28,078$13,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,881.2319846%91 W · 107 L+13.5wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+20%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes51c22,715$11,494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,220.342,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes48c19,888$9,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,420.93,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes73c10,675$7,782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,893.888,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked No54c9,279$5,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,010.473151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed Yes48c9,036$4,337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,698.723167.7%21 W · 10 L+3.5wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+19.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes48c8,698$4,163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,534.8551749.9%258 W · 259 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5f9…87b0backed No49c8,455$4,143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,142.7718352.5%96 W · 87 L+10.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9a54…7191backed Yes48c3,497$1,679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,818.635543.6%24 W · 31 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Yes62c3,015$1,882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,132.7228651.7%148 W · 138 L+14.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes47c2,715$1,268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,446.911,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes47c2,551$1,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,351.9219239.1%75 W · 117 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed No35c2,231$775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$775.2611230.4%34 W · 78 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-41%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x310d…d698backed Yes43c2,230$966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,264.041936.8%7 W · 12 L-3.1wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-39.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes49c2,221$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,140.525,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6323…9feebacked Yes51c1,968$1,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$964.53450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes61c1,876$1,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$729.471,07047.4%507 W · 563 L-46.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes49c1,731$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$891.1965058%377 W · 273 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Yes69c1,617$1,121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.0941256.6%233 W · 179 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Yes70c1,612$1,121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.5647756%267 W · 210 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No30c1,578$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.541,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Yes49c1,531$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780.613240.6%13 W · 19 L-5.3wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-32.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8a92…6941backed Yes56c1,315$736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578.6414443.1%62 W · 82 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed No19c1,145$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.5810846.3%50 W · 58 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Yes43c1,123$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$640.1215945.9%73 W · 86 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Yes48c1,075$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.3922853.1%121 W · 107 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac36…5a18backed No15c1,071$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes48c1,066$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.891,98544.8%890 W · 1,095 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb64…bfdcbacked Yes47c1,064$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.821735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c50…89b6backed Yes52c981.17$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.142462.5%15 W · 9 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+26.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed Yes50c970$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48523057.4%132 W · 98 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes48c861.66$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.921,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2099…4a6fbacked Yes40c847.71$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508.632425%6 W · 18 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Yes59c810.76$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.5736757.5%211 W · 156 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Yes48c800$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42020846.6%97 W · 111 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3cd…9f3ebacked Yes53c728.03$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.21250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972f…65bdbacked Yes47c723.06$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.2213257.6%76 W · 56 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbff4…b609backed Yes59c719.88$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.577745.5%35 W · 42 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Yes57c676.69$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.1623254.7%127 W · 105 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0178…3f7abacked No28c600$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16510667.9%72 W · 34 L+15.7wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+42.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes49c597.41$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.61,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Yes49c570.47$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.5915956.6%90 W · 69 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bef…9080backed No2c553.64$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.61110%0 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Yes48c524.86$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.0457157.8%330 W · 241 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Yes47c510.82$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.7828158.7%165 W · 116 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe274…dc85backed Yes51c510$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.52458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes49c502.15$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.062,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes49c500$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2551,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No6c484.5$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.182434.5%284 W · 540 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfec2…08afbacked Yes47c472.56$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.4612541.6%52 W · 73 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No40c437.81$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.371,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked Yes78c410.77$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.371258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x555c…ee28backed No50c397.7$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.852347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf703…541abacked Yes51c391.78$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.8310039%39 W · 61 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes49c384.39$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.981,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes79c364.85$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.8737540%150 W · 225 L-16.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-37.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd27d…a84fbacked Yes48c364.43$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19011856.8%67 W · 51 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Yes48c357.01$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.3516653.6%89 W · 77 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed Yes47c356.34$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.8610564.8%68 W · 37 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd8d7…406dbacked Yes55c356.17$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.965935.6%21 W · 38 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-23.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8817…cda8backed No48c334$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.664831.3%15 W · 33 L-5.7wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-51.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes48c332.56$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.361,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa859…fdb5backed Yes52c304.15$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.6816262.3%101 W · 61 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Yes50c300.08$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.4847758.1%277 W · 200 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e9f…5403backed Yes48c260.37$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.393773%27 W · 10 L+6.8wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+32.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x43c7…d727backed No38c257.93$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.893053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f8a…f0b8backed Yes47c247.2$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.023762.2%23 W · 14 L+5.0wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+20.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No15c243.53$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.851,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No28c233.62$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.2718338.8%71 W · 112 L-9.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-31.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Yes47c223.53$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.4719056.3%107 W · 83 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Yes48c201.02$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.1463657.5%366 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Yes49c196.17$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.3726160.9%159 W · 102 L+20.4wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+12.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5462…fe43backed Yes50c195.2$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.63151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked No50c194$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9731745.1%143 W · 174 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Yes48c181.14$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.0516160.9%98 W · 63 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x033b…5e3fbacked Yes77c169.53$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.383066.7%20 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf60b…c18ebacked No49c165.97$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.3321345.1%96 W · 117 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No33c164.43$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.1794848.1%456 W · 492 L-18.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Yes48c147.74$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.8311448.2%55 W · 59 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe44b…6e0abacked No52c145.67$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.565949.2%29 W · 30 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xabd5…e713backed No28c143.23$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.512445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes49c133.78$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.642,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Yes50c128.72$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.4416759.9%100 W · 67 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56ae…9badbacked Yes45c116.04$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.824822.9%11 W · 37 L-4.4wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-45.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x14fa…73f0backed Yes42c114.9$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.646142.6%26 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe37a…45dfbacked Yes42c114.9$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.64250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed No51c109.84$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.5119356%108 W · 85 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes47c103$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.598149.4%40 W · 41 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+18.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa93…a0c9backed Yes48c100.92$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.483452.9%18 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Yes47c100.85$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.451163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2899259.1%586 W · 406 L+108.7wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+26.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x1fa8…0b19backed Yes50c99.56$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.374465.9%29 W · 15 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4748…9666backed Yes45c99.04$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.474738.3%18 W · 29 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6687…b9ddbacked Yes49c98.14$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.655660.7%34 W · 22 L+4.6wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes51c98.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0810846.3%50 W · 58 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No50c97$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.551654.8%283 W · 233 L+0.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Yes42c96.52$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.9848922.9%112 W · 377 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32e5…be5bbacked Yes51c95.16$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.632556%14 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed No22c90$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.831355.6%174 W · 139 L+24.8wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.