TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-04-12?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$148,252
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$175,241

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $148,252 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 236 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x76be…120ebacked No42c16,771$7,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,038.192040%8 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked No42c15,721$6,591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,590.936952.2%36 W · 33 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed Yes58c8,403$4,874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,529.451560%9 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes59c6,472$3,815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,65752550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes60c5,663$3,385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,278.6124044.2%106 W · 134 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No22c5,192$1,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,124.311,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9158…fa7bbacked No39c4,065$1,585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,585.17850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes61c3,493$2,131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,362.4323250.9%118 W · 114 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked No1c3,488$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.371233.3%4 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-21.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No40c2,286$912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$911.7430448%146 W · 158 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No5c2,000$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9824642.3%104 W · 142 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked No40c2,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.993461.8%21 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick61cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc7c…958ebacked No1c1,909$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.732035%7 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f40…eb64backed Yes59c1,700$1,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6978435.7%30 W · 54 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No40c1,684$679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678.9935157%200 W · 151 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xded4…1e6dbacked Yes60c1,627$976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$650.671457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d25…835ebacked Yes60c1,627$976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$650.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes56c1,543$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$672.5224349.4%120 W · 123 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No37c1,435$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.541,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes58c1,324$766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558.4812963.6%82 W · 47 L+12.6wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+14.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4b1a…b6f3backed Yes54c1,221$659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x033a…fc42backed Yes60c1,026$611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.621050%5 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+42.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70db…f73fbacked No40c1,020$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Yes59c1,000$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4103964.1%25 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13ce…35f0backed Yes60c974.96$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.981485.7%12 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick73cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcd0b…c5ffbacked Yes58c974.8$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.422352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No40c891.24$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.6187344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No40c858.99$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.628448.2%137 W · 147 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Yes60c852.42$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.971643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8372…01e6backed Yes59c826.61$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.91540%2 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.27per pick67cpaid-37.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8bc2…4c80backed Yes60c813.33$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.33875%6 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes63c778.96$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.7771140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c5f…7a4ebacked Yes60c751.22$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed No41c690.99$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.38143.2%35 W · 46 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8792…0274backed Yes59c663.12$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.9560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+22.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbd4…5faabacked No48c613.07$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f42…a8febacked Yes60c569.33$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.73425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-58.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Yes57c540.68$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.498644.2%38 W · 48 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd27d…a84fbacked No47c520.29$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.541963.2%12 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick59cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No47c520.29$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.549558.9%56 W · 39 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No47c520.29$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.549960.6%60 W · 39 L+7.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes58c516.23$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.2933148.6%161 W · 170 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3dde…2c06backed No40c499.96$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.982343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked No41c499.95$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.984751.1%24 W · 23 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ad…501ebacked Yes59c495.97$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.35250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd121…50c8backed No39c494.05$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.683850%19 W · 19 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+40.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No6c489.33$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.5845233.6%152 W · 300 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed Yes60c486.37$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.55333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes61c480.3$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.3210640.6%43 W · 63 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a8b…88cbbacked Yes59c452.98$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.72450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb234…5b9ebacked Yes58c445.52$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.12650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Yes58c441.42$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.1512556%70 W · 55 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Yes58c441.42$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.158058.8%47 W · 33 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Yes58c441.42$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.153070%21 W · 9 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes57c426.68$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.4727049.6%134 W · 136 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Yes58c422.05$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.45463%34 W · 20 L+5.4wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+13.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No43c410.74$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.9733145%149 W · 182 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes57c405.39$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.3227748.7%135 W · 142 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc56f…3670backed Yes59c397.27$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-44.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Yes57c392.35$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.175251.9%27 W · 25 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes59c386.64$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.7326845.9%123 W · 145 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes57c386.54$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.2120150.2%101 W · 100 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecb2…a30cbacked No14c362.3$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.7220%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c2a…a4bbbacked Yes60c343.83$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed No5c342.14$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.44330.2%13 W · 30 L-5.0wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-38%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Yes57c340.58$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.7310364.1%66 W · 37 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes71c308.2$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.876943.5%30 W · 39 L-5.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-18.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x39b3…53b9backed Yes60c296.7$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.681136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick54cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes60c292.29$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.5914340.6%58 W · 85 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid+7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No4c264.26$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.021346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Yes57c263$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.0922927.5%63 W · 166 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fef…5946backed Yes60c244$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.61553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbff4…b609backed Yes59c229.4$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.54875%6 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+44.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe7eb…7c90backed Yes60c221.83$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.73250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff38…1d79backed Yes59c213.27$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.44837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-34.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes59c206.83$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.054748.9%23 W · 24 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x170e…aa0dbacked Yes60c203.33$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.333259.4%19 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-5.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes52c202.93$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.662648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes59c200.11$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.316530.8%20 W · 45 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae5e…13bebacked No41c200$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x882a…cde2backed Yes57c189.93$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.671729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-45.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x354f…95f8backed Yes52c186.77$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.651163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7521…9997backed Yes59c186.05$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.28580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+25.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f8a…f0b8backed Yes56c173.86$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.5757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Yes57c170.91$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.4912367.5%83 W · 40 L+11.9wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+21.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5ba6…ab05backed Yes57c170.06$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.12650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb897…fc48backed Yes59c170$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.74431.8%14 W · 30 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3aae…d605backed Yes60c162.67$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.07250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa23…7afabacked Yes60c162.62$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.051040%4 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-39.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdcab…b9bbbacked Yes63c161.04$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.441154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes61c159.33$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.142665.4%17 W · 9 L+4.9wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+70.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Yes65c158.63$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.043568.6%24 W · 11 L+4.9wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+21.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7ae9…facabacked Yes62c157.61$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.892846.4%13 W · 15 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5574…47abbacked Yes62c157.61$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.894100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+58.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb581…1b9cbacked Yes62c157.61$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.891560%9 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Yes60c150$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603847.4%18 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b33…044ebacked Yes60c150$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed No40c148$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.9310960.6%66 W · 43 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83ed…03ebbacked Yes52c146.53$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.941457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.4wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+65.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xba6f…fd5bbacked Yes50c146.24$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.122653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.