Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Olympique Lyonnais vs. FC Lorient end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c3720ddd4dc025c5df291d83fcb60589aad5da62f58d0338e8069fe08a20381
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $68,665
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,491
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,665 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd752…ce7fbacked Yes | 27c | 29,877$8,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,042.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 74c | 8,686$6,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,240.33 | 486 | 49%238 W · 248 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 23c | 7,426$1,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,709.38 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61a1…6657backed No | 77c | 6,871$5,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,580.42 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -45%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 73c | 6,361$4,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,690.21 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 77c | 6,113$4,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,418.85 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 74c | 4,953$3,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,287.78 | 188 | 47.9%90 W · 98 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 75c | 3,999$2,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.52 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 24c | 2,983$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.8 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 28c | 2,761$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.53 | 331 | 45%149 W · 182 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a3…e4b7backed Yes | 24c | 2,386$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 27cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed No | 77c | 2,065$1,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.97 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -4.9wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked No | 76c | 2,000$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Yes | 23c | 1,284$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.32 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 75c | 1,111$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.37 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbf…7776backed No | 77c | 1,075$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda70…66b3backed No | 77c | 1,026$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.05 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f13…6a96backed No | 77c | 1,024$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf07…e601backed Yes | 33c | 1,010$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.17 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed No | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +3.7wins | +0.25per pick | 22cpaid | +705.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe01c…7f6cbacked No | 76c | 997.96$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.51 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 76c | 970$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.8 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ad…501ebacked Yes | 24c | 954.4$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked No | 76c | 833.99$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56e0…1a3bbacked Yes | 23c | 800.36$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.08 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 68c | 791.15$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.17 | 129 | 63.6%82 W · 47 L | +12.6wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd6…d9f7backed Yes | 11c | 515.4$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +207.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76af…25c3backed No | 77c | 508.67$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.99 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 71c | 473$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.17 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 77c | 400$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 263 | 54%142 W · 121 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 24c | 397.67$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.44 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b71…4e79backed Yes | 29c | 366.45$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.27 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 69c | 297.87$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.93 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 69c | 297.87$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.93 | 99 | 60.6%60 W · 39 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69e6…b9f9backed Yes | 34c | 288.12$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.96 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -65%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86be…4490backed Yes | 23c | 277.85$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.9 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +4.5wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 68c | 263.71$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.39 | 125 | 56%70 W · 55 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked No | 68c | 263.71$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.39 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 68c | 263.71$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.39 | 95 | 58.9%56 W · 39 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed No | 68c | 263.71$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.39 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 80c | 262.4$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.61 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 23c | 216.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.86 | 260 | 41.9%109 W · 151 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…68ecbacked Yes | 23c | 207.35$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 16c | 189.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.39 | 65 | 30.8%20 W · 45 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd73…4da1backed Yes | 16c | 168.73$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Yes | 23c | 158.33$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.25 | 304 | 48%146 W · 158 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…2c24backed No | 26c | 156.8$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.24 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +5.7wins | +0.38per pick | 29cpaid | +134.5%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x061d…b355backed Yes | 23c | 151.39$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.3 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.32per pick | 39cpaid | +75.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84bb…25d3backed Yes | 23c | 141.4$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.51 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 76c | 119.59$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.1 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 77c | 118.76$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.31 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c29…87dcbacked Yes | 16c | 118.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed No | 77c | 104.51$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.08 | 182 | 45.6%83 W · 99 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3177…cb28backed No | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Yes | 24c | 99.42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.86 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 27c | 95.62$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.82 | 223 | 40.8%91 W · 132 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38c4…7c65backed No | 74c | 91.6$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.42 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 77c | 72.72$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.73 | 263 | 46.4%122 W · 141 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…4c60backed No | 71c | 56.87$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.26 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 23c | 55.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed No | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 204 | 54.4%111 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked No | 69c | 47.74$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce3…6011backed Yes | 21c | 47.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c77…6e76backed Yes | 24c | 43.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6981…8ac5backed Yes | 28c | 37.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked No | 67c | 36.57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.07 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed No | 72c | 35.87$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.04 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed No | 76c | 33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 106 | 43.4%46 W · 60 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed No | 75c | 32.83$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.21 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4533…e6bbbacked No | 76c | 32.42$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed No | 76c | 31$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 75c | 30.44$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.61 | 380 | 56.6%215 W · 165 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb651…4a7cbacked No | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dda…8799backed No | 70c | 28.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 69cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91ff…edfdbacked No | 77c | 22.67$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.21 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaff…eaf6backed No | 67c | 21.37$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 76c | 20.83$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66fc…2720backed No | 77c | 20.26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffe…9150backed No | 76c | 20.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab35…118dbacked No | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea65…d27dbacked No | 78c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.34 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 73cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdae5…fd08backed No | 74c | 15.84$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Olympique Lyonnais vs. FC Lorient end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Lorient win on 2026-04-12?No won
- Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-04-12?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.