Other European Leagues · resolved market
FC Fredericia vs. Vejle BK: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x707142503d7a45763d6d3aaf01680e9e8a35c426cc05d6de35654d650ab748e9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,204
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,778
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,204 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x33bb…98b3backed Over | 58c | 1,918$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Over | 9c | 1,627$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 58 | 17.2%10 W · 48 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 54c | 906.87$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.53 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 68c | 855.64$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.55 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed Under | 30c | 665.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.18 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 65c | 499.99$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.99 | 269 | 49.8%134 W · 135 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9774…81d2backed Over | 23c | 342$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…841fbacked Under | 77c | 342$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf551…fb1dbacked Over | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0a…cbc9backed Over | 69c | 156.13$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.73 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 223 | 49.3%110 W · 113 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9996…6810backed Over | 19c | 126.89$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 17c | 126.07$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.43 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 57c | 95.23$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.95 | 280 | 49.6%139 W · 141 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 59c | 92.52$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbecc…f560backed Under | 31c | 84.11$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.94 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba2d…2f32backed Under | 30c | 80.84$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.59 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef7…0e08backed Under | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43c7…d727backed Under | 55c | 62.29$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.01 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -6.5wins | -0.22per pick | 58cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x25e3…ab76backed Under | 30c | 60.17$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.92 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 45c | 58.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.53 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 57c | 57.13$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.57 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Over | 18c | 56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 495 | 28.7%142 W · 353 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49c5…b169backed Under | 31c | 47.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.97 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -41%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Over | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6d…bfc5backed Over | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 140 | 71.4%100 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf7…cb5bbacked Over | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 68cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf9…1646backed Over | 57c | 28.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 69c | 27.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f8…2e4cbacked Over | 70c | 18.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Under | 76c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Fredericia vs. Vejle BK: O/U 4.5this page
- FC Fredericia vs. Vejle BK: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Fredericia vs. Vejle BK: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Fredericia vs. Vejle BK: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Fredericia vs. Vejle BK: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: FC Fredericia (-1.5)Vejle BK won
- Spread: FC Fredericia (-2.5)Vejle BK won
- Spread: Vejle BK (-1.5)FC Fredericia won
- Spread: Vejle BK (-2.5)FC Fredericia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.