Other European Leagues · resolved market
FC Fredericia vs. Vejle BK: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x00073a7f9e87d37f9e14122de61e9182508545914b86f5dfd178673da2f877b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,286
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,399
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,286 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x33bb…98b3backed Over | 59c | 942.37$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.37 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 41c | 373.19$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.98 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9959…c137backed Under | 35c | 328.95$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 41c | 271.1$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.61 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 39c | 270.79$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.61 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 59c | 184.75$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.75 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d12…cc43backed Over | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Under | 45c | 169$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.05 | 177 | 45.2%80 W · 97 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Over | 55c | 169$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.05 | 188 | 52.7%99 W · 89 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 57c | 133.4$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.91 | 309 | 63.1%195 W · 114 L | +45.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 57c | 114.99$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.45 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa295…98bcbacked Over | 59c | 112.05$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.94 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…077dbacked Over | 52c | 100.52$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.32 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | +8.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 58c | 99.49$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.78 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…8ddabacked Under | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 65c | 92.31$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 223 | 49.3%110 W · 113 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 58c | 77.02$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.35 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2996…fd9dbacked Under | 52c | 65.38$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 63c | 63.1$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.35 | 338 | 58.6%198 W · 140 L | +30.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 63c | 59.6$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 347 | 60.8%211 W · 136 L | +33.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked Under | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -7.0wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -32%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 52c | 51.65$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.99 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…a78fbacked Over | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6d…bfc5backed Over | 50c | 42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x219f…93f5backed Under | 42c | 41.9$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc7…296dbacked Under | 42c | 40.21$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 258 | 59.7%154 W · 104 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Over | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 327 | 39.4%129 W · 198 L | -22.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 42c | 32.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 241 | 46.9%113 W · 128 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b1…e8cfbacked Over | 59c | 32.08$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 42c | 27.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 256 | 53.1%136 W · 120 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 42c | 27.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 209 | 53.1%111 W · 98 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 42c | 27.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 306 | 56.2%172 W · 134 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 42c | 27.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 167 | 56.3%94 W · 73 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 43c | 26.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 322 | 59.3%191 W · 131 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6687…b9ddbacked Under | 43c | 26.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Under | 43c | 26.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Under | 43c | 26.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 198 | 60.1%119 W · 79 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf7…cb5bbacked Over | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 68cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfe…0741backed Under | 43c | 24.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 42c | 24.24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 409 | 58.9%241 W · 168 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…86dbbacked Under | 42c | 24.24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Under | 42c | 24.24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 151 | 57.6%87 W · 64 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 42c | 24.24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 343 | 58.9%202 W · 141 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Under | 42c | 24.24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6b…fc20backed Over | 60c | 22.87$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 56c | 21.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Under | 51c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Over | 55c | 19.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6276…c142backed Over | 59c | 19.34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.93 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Fredericia vs. Vejle BK: O/U 2.5this page
- FC Fredericia vs. Vejle BK: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Fredericia vs. Vejle BK: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Fredericia vs. Vejle BK: O/U 3.5Over won
- FC Fredericia vs. Vejle BK: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Fredericia (-1.5)Vejle BK won
- Spread: FC Fredericia (-2.5)Vejle BK won
- Spread: Vejle BK (-1.5)FC Fredericia won
- Spread: Vejle BK (-2.5)FC Fredericia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.