Other European Leagues · resolved market
FC Fredericia vs. Vejle BK: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b128f4db6936fc28626e0efad5f164371919ee5437d33439b0439fb50ae5332
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,023
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,421
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,023 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 64c | 822.46$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.15 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bb…98b3backed Over | 76c | 805.43$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.78 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Over | 24c | 520.52$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.52 | 58 | 17.2%10 W · 48 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 25c | 293.75$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.19 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Over | 36c | 249.96$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.97 | 112 | 29.5%33 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 34c | 219.38$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.74 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 223 | 49.3%110 W · 113 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 35c | 102.45$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.59 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked Under | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -7.0wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -32%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 65c | 75.32$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.14 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96d4…a6d2backed Over | 26c | 62.67$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.08 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +33%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…a78fbacked Over | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1352…3ecabacked Under | 56c | 35.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…b1a2backed Under | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 67cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 65c | 25.77$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 241 | 46.9%113 W · 128 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 47c | 24.95$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.32 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 64c | 24.25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 409 | 58.9%241 W · 168 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 64c | 24.25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 167 | 56.3%94 W · 73 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Under | 64c | 24.25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Under | 64c | 24.25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 65c | 24.06$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 306 | 56.2%172 W · 134 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 65c | 23.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 383 | 59.3%227 W · 156 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Under | 65c | 23.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 65c | 23.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 256 | 53.1%136 W · 120 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 65c | 23.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 260 | 60.8%158 W · 102 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Under | 65c | 23.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 151 | 57.6%87 W · 64 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 65c | 23.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 343 | 58.9%202 W · 141 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6687…b9ddbacked Under | 65c | 23.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Under | 65c | 23.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Under | 65c | 23.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 198 | 60.1%119 W · 79 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 65c | 23.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 322 | 59.3%191 W · 131 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Under | 65c | 23.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 86 | 61.6%53 W · 33 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Under | 65c | 23.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 133 | 60.2%80 W · 53 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 75c | 23.8$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.95 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x488c…a2dabacked Under | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -9.2wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Under | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1d…7132backed Under | 77c | 15.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Fredericia vs. Vejle BK: O/U 3.5this page
- FC Fredericia vs. Vejle BK: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Fredericia vs. Vejle BK: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Fredericia vs. Vejle BK: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Fredericia vs. Vejle BK: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Fredericia (-1.5)Vejle BK won
- Spread: FC Fredericia (-2.5)Vejle BK won
- Spread: Vejle BK (-1.5)FC Fredericia won
- Spread: Vejle BK (-2.5)FC Fredericia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.