TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Barcelona Open, Qualification: Sebastian Ofner vs Alejo Sanchez Quilez

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sebastian Ofnerof Sebastian Ofner, Alejo Sanchez Quilez
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$129,630
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$170,224

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $129,630 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Alejo Sanchez Quilez2c15,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30034136.4%124 W · 217 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Alejo Sanchez Quilez7c9,314$652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6523046.7%14 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Alejo Sanchez Quilez1c9,253$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.2862140.7%253 W · 368 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Alejo Sanchez Quilez13c6,186$801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801.157,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Alejo Sanchez Quilez19c4,512$878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$878.136,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8adb…9a50backed Alejo Sanchez Quilez24c4,292$1,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,030.281952.6%10 W · 9 L+3.0wins+0.16per pick37cpaid+16%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4afb…ed2bbacked Alejo Sanchez Quilez21c1,430$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.316636.7%61 W · 105 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Alejo Sanchez Quilez12c1,414$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.23,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Alejo Sanchez Quilez19c1,296$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.3958734.6%203 W · 384 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Sebastian Ofner76c1,228$933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.8511,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Alejo Sanchez Quilez24c1,217$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.6697745.2%442 W · 535 L-0.9wins0.00per pick45cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccbd…f1b7backed Alejo Sanchez Quilez22c1,163$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.7811040.9%45 W · 65 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8875…26e7backed Alejo Sanchez Quilez12c1,100$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.52812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick15cpaid-67.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x123a…c974backed Alejo Sanchez Quilez7c1,000$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701526.7%4 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick19cpaid-4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Alejo Sanchez Quilez18c981.69$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.932,52339.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L-3.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Alejo Sanchez Quilez13c882.25$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.72,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e7a…f429backed Alejo Sanchez Quilez24c811.84$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.841540%6 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-31.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7bf…b02dbacked Sebastian Ofner76c648.42$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.6259165.3%386 W · 205 L-16.9wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-3.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x896d…cd2cbacked Sebastian Ofner77c591.72$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.117357.8%100 W · 73 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Alejo Sanchez Quilez19c500$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$954,07639.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa163…934dbacked Alejo Sanchez Quilez5c494$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.730715.6%48 W · 259 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick15cpaid+0.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x710c…78eabacked Alejo Sanchez Quilez11c492.08$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.391,04058.2%605 W · 435 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Alejo Sanchez Quilez24c475.32$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.531,61550.6%817 W · 798 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8642…47c8backed Sebastian Ofner76c453.89$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.9325250%126 W · 126 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked Alejo Sanchez Quilez31c389.45$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.8236944.4%164 W · 205 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Sebastian Ofner74c379.13$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.574,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c70…b25ebacked Sebastian Ofner79c374.96$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.7459965.8%394 W · 205 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x578a…6f10backed Alejo Sanchez Quilez29c330.14$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.745646.4%26 W · 30 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…bf20backed Alejo Sanchez Quilez7c299.5$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.929425.5%24 W · 70 L-5.9wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-24.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Alejo Sanchez Quilez22c292.98$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.4629230.5%89 W · 203 L-11.9wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Alejo Sanchez Quilez31c256.74$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.6759253.5%317 W · 275 L+22.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbaa5…a51abacked Sebastian Ofner78c253.09$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.7317654.5%96 W · 80 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe521…9caebacked Alejo Sanchez Quilez21c231.35$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5844527.2%121 W · 324 L-1.8wins0.00per pick28cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Alejo Sanchez Quilez19c228$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.326,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8059…f1f3backed Sebastian Ofner80c197.6$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.52757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick67cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed Sebastian Ofner76c195.81$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.991,10352.9%583 W · 520 L+2.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Alejo Sanchez Quilez19c189.49$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.915,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc470…c792backed Alejo Sanchez Quilez9c157.57$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.181,50435.1%528 W · 976 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b64…a351backed Sebastian Ofner76c149.14$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.7935268.2%240 W · 112 L-0.5wins0.00per pick68cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Sebastian Ofner71c147.03$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.381,22841.1%505 W · 723 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Sebastian Ofner80c138.05$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.681,27661%778 W · 498 L+27.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac9e…cca3backed Sebastian Ofner76c129.68$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.1221856.4%123 W · 95 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x305b…cd21backed Sebastian Ofner79c124.99$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.2555059.1%325 W · 225 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96bc…d2b5backed Sebastian Ofner79c124.99$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.2541668%283 W · 133 L+23.6wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9996…6810backed Alejo Sanchez Quilez18c110.72$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.931520%3 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-51.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Alejo Sanchez Quilez18c105$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.938955.3%215 W · 174 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a08…64a7backed Alejo Sanchez Quilez25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253633.3%12 W · 24 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-25.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd2a4…3ee9backed Sebastian Ofner75c98.5$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.6211961.3%73 W · 46 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked Sebastian Ofner75c98.5$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.6277967.8%528 W · 251 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick69cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Sebastian Ofner72c96.52$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.021,63955.1%903 W · 736 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x901b…59efbacked Alejo Sanchez Quilez13c94.78$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3229519.7%58 W · 237 L-15.5wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-38.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8337…2352backed Sebastian Ofner77c94.36$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.72458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+23.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Alejo Sanchez Quilez20c92.85$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.463,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked Alejo Sanchez Quilez19c75.15$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2356817.4%99 W · 469 L-74.2wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-46.8%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x3e9f…5403backed Sebastian Ofner78c75$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.57350.7%37 W · 36 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed Alejo Sanchez Quilez25c70$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.539534.4%136 W · 259 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a57…913fbacked Sebastian Ofner77c69.87$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.0712361.8%76 W · 47 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95c5…d5d3backed Sebastian Ofner75c65.67$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.4260158.6%352 W · 249 L+2.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a30…34b1backed Sebastian Ofner76c64.84$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.5616961.5%104 W · 65 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x298e…8a75backed Sebastian Ofner76c64.74$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.474463.6%28 W · 16 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Sebastian Ofner70c64.48$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.0556754.5%309 W · 258 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Sebastian Ofner79c62.49$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.121,92355.4%1,066 W · 857 L-44.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c34…7a99backed Sebastian Ofner76c51.87$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.458848.9%43 W · 45 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-14%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1cf9…b4cabacked Alejo Sanchez Quilez21c48.3$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1428828.5%82 W · 206 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d72…5f50backed Alejo Sanchez Quilez31c43.15$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.542556%14 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Alejo Sanchez Quilez28c39.65$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.136135.7%129 W · 232 L-35.1wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-24%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5e5a…724cbacked Sebastian Ofner76c38.91$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.3414761.2%90 W · 57 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3717…e6dcbacked Sebastian Ofner79c37.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.871573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick62cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa93…a0c9backed Sebastian Ofner77c32.99$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.597562.7%47 W · 28 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd77…ef21backed Sebastian Ofner68c28$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.9665264.1%418 W · 234 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0195…9f64backed Sebastian Ofner79c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.2525768.9%177 W · 80 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick71cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fdf…edd0backed Sebastian Ofner74c23.89$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.211353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-25.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Sebastian Ofner71c21.63$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.271,67850.8%852 W · 826 L+30.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa009…ab48backed Sebastian Ofner76c21$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.041353.8%7 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6c5…20d0backed Sebastian Ofner76c19.73$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.7410550.5%53 W · 52 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11b3…48b6backed Sebastian Ofner76c19.71$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.734957.1%28 W · 21 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x27b1…3813backed Sebastian Ofner74c19.23$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51,16849.1%573 W · 595 L-2.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8943…6c65backed Sebastian Ofner78c18.84$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.1413863%87 W · 51 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick59cpaid-1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a5c…d123backed Sebastian Ofner74c17.29$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.58974.2%66 W · 23 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick68cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.