TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Wizards vs. Cavaliers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Cavaliersof Wizards, Cavaliers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,282,161
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,442,698

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,282,161 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 258 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Wizards18c419,790$76,657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76,657.0836549.6%181 W · 184 L-1.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x959a…7b64backed Wizards16c208,753$33,373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,372.753357.6%19 W · 14 L+5.3wins+0.16per pick41cpaid+42%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0c15…9a45backed Wizards20c161,852$32,268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,267.8411137.8%42 W · 69 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe29e…fa35backed Wizards2c87,908$2,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,046.3334136.1%123 W · 218 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Wizards6c59,929$3,718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,717.71,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa5aa…9134backed Wizards10c54,228$5,542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,541.8919957.8%115 W · 84 L+18.2wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+19.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Wizards1c47,218$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566.6256646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Wizards12c40,524$4,994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,994.41,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Wizards7c34,325$2,234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,233.731,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Wizards13c29,931$3,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,999.091,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Wizards20c25,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00049244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Wizards10c21,957$2,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1351,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Wizards18c19,870$3,577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,576.611,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Wizards0c17,552$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.6664517.1%110 W · 535 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf472…a262backed Wizards7c17,069$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,149.611417.8%11 W · 130 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick13cpaid-46.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked Cavaliers80c17,052$13,641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,410.3224744.1%109 W · 138 L-10.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x56cf…e292backed Cavaliers80c16,349$13,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,269.74366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9438…ad81backed Wizards4c15,722$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.893179.5%30 W · 287 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-59.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Wizards19c15,508$2,946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,946.4927546.2%127 W · 148 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Wizards8c15,480$1,229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,229.0636023.1%83 W · 277 L-15.6wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-49.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x25d8…a71fbacked Wizards6c12,766$764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76413245.5%60 W · 72 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-22.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Wizards10c12,082$1,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,187.4187750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Cavaliers80c9,757$7,806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,951.51,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Wizards11c9,577$1,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,053.082,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6df…dda7backed Wizards15c9,527$1,424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,423.5424247.1%114 W · 128 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Wizards8c9,470$787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$786.738,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Wizards16c9,039$1,457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,456.5421350.7%108 W · 105 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Wizards15c8,953$1,352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,351.532,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Wizards18c7,500$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,350.021,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Wizards1c7,096$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.915213.8%20 W · 501 L+0.6wins0.00per pick4cpaid-36.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Wizards12c6,296$749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.182,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Wizards20c5,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00064944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4285…cfb5backed Cavaliers80c4,971$3,977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$994.184658.7%27 W · 19 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa73a…656abacked Wizards11c4,792$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.7625226.6%67 W · 185 L-26.7wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-49.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Wizards17c4,500$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$764.9923742.6%101 W · 136 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Wizards8c4,000$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3171,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Wizards17c4,000$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.9843438.5%167 W · 267 L-1.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6ad…1b86backed Wizards3c3,605$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.174143.9%18 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Wizards7c3,500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24547028.1%132 W · 338 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x86c8…c867backed Wizards5c3,384$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.24639.1%18 W · 28 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+37%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Wizards14c3,272$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.076450%32 W · 32 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Wizards17c3,170$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.8865939.5%260 W · 399 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Wizards14c3,117$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.8211040%44 W · 66 L+0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c1c…7980backed Cavaliers80c3,101$2,481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$620.235747.4%27 W · 30 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Wizards18c3,016$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546.0415140.4%61 W · 90 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9902…34b3backed Wizards9c2,910$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.984214.3%6 W · 36 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick22cpaid-68%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7b10…acabbacked Wizards5c2,829$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.4514953%79 W · 70 L+10.0wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+9.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Wizards17c2,797$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.5186641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d76…90a0backed Wizards16c2,742$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.772365.2%15 W · 8 L+4.0wins+0.17per pick48cpaid+33.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5e59…307dbacked Wizards19c2,504$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.78859.1%52 W · 36 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed Wizards13c2,408$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.328942.7%38 W · 51 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec18…89ebbacked Wizards2c2,247$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.443616.7%6 W · 30 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick14cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfaba…51debacked Wizards22c2,188$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.5310947.7%52 W · 57 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x478f…f5d9backed Wizards18c2,113$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.3222035.5%78 W · 142 L-11.5wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x43f2…09a5backed Cavaliers80c2,000$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40012756.7%72 W · 55 L+8.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+8.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Wizards19c2,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38031046.8%145 W · 165 L+1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Cavaliers80c2,000$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40025641.4%106 W · 150 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x85e5…9343backed Wizards15c2,000$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3101338.5%5 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick28cpaid+25.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e94…7f1ebacked Wizards18c2,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3607742.9%33 W · 44 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6d4…2a42backed Wizards18c2,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.999851%50 W · 48 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Wizards12c2,000$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.9595641.7%399 W · 557 L+1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac0a…0abbbacked Wizards19c1,978$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.8580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.35per pick45cpaid+64.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked Wizards13c1,919$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.588544.7%38 W · 47 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe454…edcbbacked Wizards19c1,903$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.53333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-57.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f0e…7397backed Wizards14c1,868$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.0811843.2%51 W · 67 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaff3…6eccbacked Wizards5c1,837$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.5333139.3%130 W · 201 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x701b…0298backed Wizards6c1,694$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.3320%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14cc…7c02backed Wizards7c1,637$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.6213842.8%59 W · 79 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4953…48c2backed Wizards9c1,583$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.31580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+50.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb1bd…7235backed Wizards11c1,516$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.136429.7%19 W · 45 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4059…23dabacked Wizards7c1,500$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1081234.9%6 W · 117 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick7cpaid+19.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf965…a6cabacked Cavaliers79c1,484$1,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.61580%4 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick71cpaid+14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Wizards15c1,423$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.6282442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Wizards12c1,416$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.660944.8%273 W · 336 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x072d…0d35backed Wizards10c1,361$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.321457.1%8 W · 6 L+3.5wins+0.25per pick32cpaid+94.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Wizards18c1,321$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.746632.6%152 W · 314 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0659…0f2bbacked Wizards10c1,308$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.766440.6%26 W · 38 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xccf3…8f27backed Wizards9c1,200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10840726%106 W · 301 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb729…4e2ebacked Wizards20c1,190$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2381526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-41%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5ae1…9fadbacked Cavaliers80c1,174$939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.874957.1%28 W · 21 L+6.4wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+41%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7b7e…ef88backed Wizards3c1,130$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.253423.5%8 W · 26 L-4.0wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-33.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe720…0f1cbacked Wizards10c1,118$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.536844.1%30 W · 38 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Cavaliers80c1,100$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22068645.5%312 W · 374 L-22.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ea0…ad45backed Wizards18c1,100$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Wizards18c1,050$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18944740.7%182 W · 265 L-27.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xff83…a97dbacked Wizards18c1,050$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.991050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf819…d410backed Wizards22c1,040$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.2426444.7%118 W · 146 L-15.8wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbf30…8b95backed Wizards6c1,011$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.663636.1%13 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5faf…76dfbacked Wizards18c1,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1801266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+26.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0a3e…72dbbacked Wizards20c999.99$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20030%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Wizards17c999.93$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.9947651.7%246 W · 230 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Wizards12c991.77$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.3261638.5%237 W · 379 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x033a…fc42backed Wizards18c985.53$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.775728.1%16 W · 41 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e0e…45c7backed Wizards6c977.91$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.2315649.4%77 W · 79 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Wizards12c944.41$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.6220741.1%85 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x933c…a8c6backed Wizards8c926.99$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.1618246.7%85 W · 97 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Wizards13c926.65$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.2723833.2%79 W · 159 L-19.1wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-47.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5c87…2917backed Wizards11c876.04$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.724557.8%26 W · 19 L+5.5wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+18.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Wizards16c873.59$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.788344.6%37 W · 46 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe704…b250backed Wizards14c831.76$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.4513043.8%57 W · 73 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.