NBA · resolved market
Wizards vs. Cavaliers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x57f482edecabefb71cc8faf77d706e62498812927692948074fce8c2b66029a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cavaliersof Wizards, Cavaliers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,282,161
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,442,698
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,282,161 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 258 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Wizards | 18c | 419,790$76,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76,657.08 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x959a…7b64backed Wizards | 16c | 208,753$33,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,372.75 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +5.3wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +42%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0c15…9a45backed Wizards | 20c | 161,852$32,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,267.84 | 111 | 37.8%42 W · 69 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe29e…fa35backed Wizards | 2c | 87,908$2,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,046.33 | 341 | 36.1%123 W · 218 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Wizards | 6c | 59,929$3,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,717.7 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5aa…9134backed Wizards | 10c | 54,228$5,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,541.89 | 199 | 57.8%115 W · 84 L | +18.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Wizards | 1c | 47,218$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.62 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Wizards | 12c | 40,524$4,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,994.4 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Wizards | 7c | 34,325$2,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,233.73 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Wizards | 13c | 29,931$3,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,999.09 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Wizards | 20c | 25,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Wizards | 10c | 21,957$2,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,135 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Wizards | 18c | 19,870$3,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,576.61 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Wizards | 0c | 17,552$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.66 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…a262backed Wizards | 7c | 17,069$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.61 | 141 | 7.8%11 W · 130 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Cavaliers | 80c | 17,052$13,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,410.32 | 247 | 44.1%109 W · 138 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56cf…e292backed Cavaliers | 80c | 16,349$13,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,269.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…ad81backed Wizards | 4c | 15,722$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.89 | 317 | 9.5%30 W · 287 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Wizards | 19c | 15,508$2,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,946.49 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Wizards | 8c | 15,480$1,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,229.06 | 360 | 23.1%83 W · 277 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…a71fbacked Wizards | 6c | 12,766$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764 | 132 | 45.5%60 W · 72 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Wizards | 10c | 12,082$1,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,187.41 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Cavaliers | 80c | 9,757$7,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,951.5 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Wizards | 11c | 9,577$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053.08 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…dda7backed Wizards | 15c | 9,527$1,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,423.54 | 242 | 47.1%114 W · 128 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Wizards | 8c | 9,470$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.73 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Wizards | 16c | 9,039$1,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,456.54 | 213 | 50.7%108 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Wizards | 15c | 8,953$1,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,351.53 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Wizards | 18c | 7,500$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350.02 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Wizards | 1c | 7,096$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.91 | 521 | 3.8%20 W · 501 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Wizards | 12c | 6,296$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.18 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Wizards | 20c | 5,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4285…cfb5backed Cavaliers | 80c | 4,971$3,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.18 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Wizards | 11c | 4,792$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.76 | 252 | 26.6%67 W · 185 L | -26.7wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked Wizards | 17c | 4,500$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.99 | 237 | 42.6%101 W · 136 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Wizards | 8c | 4,000$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Wizards | 17c | 4,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.98 | 434 | 38.5%167 W · 267 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ad…1b86backed Wizards | 3c | 3,605$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.17 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f05…8937backed Wizards | 7c | 3,500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 470 | 28.1%132 W · 338 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Wizards | 5c | 3,384$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.2 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +37%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Wizards | 14c | 3,272$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.07 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Wizards | 17c | 3,170$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.88 | 659 | 39.5%260 W · 399 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Wizards | 14c | 3,117$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.82 | 110 | 40%44 W · 66 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…7980backed Cavaliers | 80c | 3,101$2,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.23 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Wizards | 18c | 3,016$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.04 | 151 | 40.4%61 W · 90 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed Wizards | 9c | 2,910$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.98 | 42 | 14.3%6 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -68%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b10…acabbacked Wizards | 5c | 2,829$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.45 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | +10.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Wizards | 17c | 2,797$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.51 | 866 | 41.5%359 W · 507 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d76…90a0backed Wizards | 16c | 2,742$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.77 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +4.0wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e59…307dbacked Wizards | 19c | 2,504$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.7 | 88 | 59.1%52 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Wizards | 13c | 2,408$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.32 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec18…89ebbacked Wizards | 2c | 2,247$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.44 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaba…51debacked Wizards | 22c | 2,188$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.53 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x478f…f5d9backed Wizards | 18c | 2,113$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.32 | 220 | 35.5%78 W · 142 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43f2…09a5backed Cavaliers | 80c | 2,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 127 | 56.7%72 W · 55 L | +8.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Wizards | 19c | 2,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 310 | 46.8%145 W · 165 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Cavaliers | 80c | 2,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85e5…9343backed Wizards | 15c | 2,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e94…7f1ebacked Wizards | 18c | 2,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d4…2a42backed Wizards | 18c | 2,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.99 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Wizards | 12c | 2,000$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.95 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…0abbbacked Wizards | 19c | 1,978$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.8 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.35per pick | 45cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Wizards | 13c | 1,919$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.58 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe454…edcbbacked Wizards | 19c | 1,903$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0e…7397backed Wizards | 14c | 1,868$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.08 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaff3…6eccbacked Wizards | 5c | 1,837$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.53 | 331 | 39.3%130 W · 201 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x701b…0298backed Wizards | 6c | 1,694$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14cc…7c02backed Wizards | 7c | 1,637$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.62 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4953…48c2backed Wizards | 9c | 1,583$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.31 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1bd…7235backed Wizards | 11c | 1,516$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.13 | 64 | 29.7%19 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4059…23dabacked Wizards | 7c | 1,500$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 123 | 4.9%6 W · 117 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf965…a6cabacked Cavaliers | 79c | 1,484$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.61 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Wizards | 15c | 1,423$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.62 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Wizards | 12c | 1,416$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.6 | 609 | 44.8%273 W · 336 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x072d…0d35backed Wizards | 10c | 1,361$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.32 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.25per pick | 32cpaid | +94.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Wizards | 18c | 1,321$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.7 | 466 | 32.6%152 W · 314 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…0f2bbacked Wizards | 10c | 1,308$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.76 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf3…8f27backed Wizards | 9c | 1,200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 407 | 26%106 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb729…4e2ebacked Wizards | 20c | 1,190$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -41%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae1…9fadbacked Cavaliers | 80c | 1,174$939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.87 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +6.4wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +41%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7e…ef88backed Wizards | 3c | 1,130$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.25 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe720…0f1cbacked Wizards | 10c | 1,118$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.53 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Cavaliers | 80c | 1,100$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea0…ad45backed Wizards | 18c | 1,100$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Wizards | 18c | 1,050$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 447 | 40.7%182 W · 265 L | -27.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff83…a97dbacked Wizards | 18c | 1,050$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.99 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf819…d410backed Wizards | 22c | 1,040$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.24 | 264 | 44.7%118 W · 146 L | -15.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf30…8b95backed Wizards | 6c | 1,011$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.66 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5faf…76dfbacked Wizards | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3e…72dbbacked Wizards | 20c | 999.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Wizards | 17c | 999.93$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.99 | 476 | 51.7%246 W · 230 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Wizards | 12c | 991.77$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.32 | 616 | 38.5%237 W · 379 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033a…fc42backed Wizards | 18c | 985.53$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.77 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0e…45c7backed Wizards | 6c | 977.91$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.23 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Wizards | 12c | 944.41$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.62 | 207 | 41.1%85 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x933c…a8c6backed Wizards | 8c | 926.99$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.16 | 182 | 46.7%85 W · 97 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Wizards | 13c | 926.65$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.27 | 238 | 33.2%79 W · 159 L | -19.1wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c87…2917backed Wizards | 11c | 876.04$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.72 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Wizards | 16c | 873.59$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.78 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…b250backed Wizards | 14c | 831.76$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.45 | 130 | 43.8%57 W · 73 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wizards vs. Cavaliersthis page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-11.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-12.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-13.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-16.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-17.5)Wizards won
- Wizards vs. Cavaliers: O/U 231.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Cavaliers: O/U 234.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Cavaliers: O/U 235.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Cavaliers: O/U 237.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Cavaliers: O/U 238.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Cavaliers: O/U 239.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Cavaliers: O/U 241.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Cavaliers: O/U 250.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.