MLB · resolved market
San Francisco Giants vs. Baltimore Orioles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x316d2fb285bb2e2888bc87881293cdf70385473c109ebb528757525dc2471076
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Baltimore Oriolesof San Francisco Giants, Baltimore Orioles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $270,891
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $283,374
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $270,891 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 212 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x94c5…56a7backed Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 110,693$59,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,918.55 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb3…8ed1backed San Francisco Giants | 46c | 42,875$19,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,722.63 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99a7…fc82backed San Francisco Giants | 46c | 22,000$10,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,119.99 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed San Francisco Giants | 46c | 21,700$9,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,982 | 274 | 52.6%144 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed San Francisco Giants | 47c | 20,600$9,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,682 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 16,784$9,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,720.5 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked San Francisco Giants | 46c | 15,407$7,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,087.1 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 14,799$7,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,955.41 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Baltimore Orioles | 64c | 12,692$8,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,538.34 | 216 | 56.5%122 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed San Francisco Giants | 47c | 11,132$5,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,232.15 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked San Francisco Giants | 41c | 5,418$2,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,196.91 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…d60abacked San Francisco Giants | 47c | 3,873$1,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,820.22 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked San Francisco Giants | 46c | 3,713$1,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,707.77 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Baltimore Orioles | 77c | 3,447$2,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.15 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed San Francisco Giants | 46c | 3,260$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.6 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 2,994$1,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,407.19 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed San Francisco Giants | 7c | 2,833$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.3 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0140…9510backed Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 2,701$1,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,242.51 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 2,525$1,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,090.6 | 188 | 60.1%113 W · 75 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +237.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 2,500$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed San Francisco Giants | 17c | 2,446$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.43 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed San Francisco Giants | 14c | 2,400$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.48 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked San Francisco Giants | 47c | 2,181$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017.31 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4285…cfb5backed San Francisco Giants | 46c | 2,124$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.99 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed San Francisco Giants | 47c | 2,060$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.2 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -17.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…ebeabacked Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 2,000$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.98 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 1,700$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.9 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked San Francisco Giants | 19c | 1,591$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.3 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked San Francisco Giants | 12c | 1,346$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.5 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…ed5fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 1,189$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.58 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 1,150$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.61 | 338 | 52.7%178 W · 160 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Baltimore Orioles | 72c | 1,147$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.76 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked San Francisco Giants | 8c | 1,051$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.81 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed San Francisco Giants | 23c | 966.21$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.61 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked San Francisco Giants | 18c | 907.82$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.86 | 344 | 52.6%181 W · 163 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed San Francisco Giants | 18c | 907.65$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.86 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed San Francisco Giants | 17c | 815.21$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.15 | 393 | 51.9%204 W · 189 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed San Francisco Giants | 17c | 815.21$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.15 | 126 | 56.3%71 W · 55 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 814.54$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.37 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked San Francisco Giants | 46c | 666.99$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.82 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb602…1991backed Baltimore Orioles | 76c | 648.03$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.21 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed San Francisco Giants | 46c | 604.43$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.04 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed San Francisco Giants | 37c | 584.11$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.41 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked San Francisco Giants | 15c | 553.06$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.54 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc510…629abacked San Francisco Giants | 44c | 541.02$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.99 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked San Francisco Giants | 26c | 536.17$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.75 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked San Francisco Giants | 11c | 522.4$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.69 | 183 | 45.4%83 W · 100 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed San Francisco Giants | 11c | 522.32$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.38 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed San Francisco Giants | 49c | 509.98$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.77 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed San Francisco Giants | 46c | 506.02$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.77 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed San Francisco Giants | 21c | 500.2$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.17 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked San Francisco Giants | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc196…77b6backed Baltimore Orioles | 78c | 497.27$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.36 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x087b…713ebacked San Francisco Giants | 46c | 477.07$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.45 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked San Francisco Giants | 30c | 476.59$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.61 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa68…94a7backed Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 457.03$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.23 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03c6…b115backed Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 434.52$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.12 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77e9…c72abacked San Francisco Giants | 46c | 420.69$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.52 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +21%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked San Francisco Giants | 47c | 412$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.64 | 483 | 54.7%264 W · 219 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55af…6a1bbacked San Francisco Giants | 47c | 412$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.64 | 363 | 45.7%166 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 73c | 400$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 228 | 51.3%117 W · 111 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed San Francisco Giants | 46c | 390$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.4 | 1,277 | 43.1%550 W · 727 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b89…0d9cbacked San Francisco Giants | 47c | 387.28$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.02 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | -8.2wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd9…ea45backed Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 380.15$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.64 | 144 | 51.4%74 W · 70 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed San Francisco Giants | 6c | 370.1$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.21 | 271 | 46.9%127 W · 144 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…208bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 353.82$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.22 | 181 | 51.4%93 W · 88 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x837a…77e1backed San Francisco Giants | 7c | 351.51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.61 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | +124.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb2…f12fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 69c | 338.09$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.81 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed San Francisco Giants | 44c | 316.67$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.33 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Baltimore Orioles | 70c | 307.7$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 338 | 64.2%217 W · 121 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x982e…add6backed San Francisco Giants | 16c | 296.03$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.75 | 332 | 28.3%94 W · 238 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc7…7f02backed Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 291.72$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.19 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 288.12$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.53 | 664 | 48.2%320 W · 344 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeef7…ae00backed San Francisco Giants | 9c | 262.61$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.63 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb65d…616dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 76c | 262.13$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.62 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.28per pick | 59cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d62…eaf3backed San Francisco Giants | 47c | 261.62$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.96 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15fb…d13abacked Baltimore Orioles | 78c | 253.03$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 79cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed San Francisco Giants | 24c | 248.23$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.02 | 253 | 49.4%125 W · 128 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd7…33d9backed San Francisco Giants | 47c | 247.2$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.18 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e29…cfbfbacked Baltimore Orioles | 75c | 247$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.73 | 48 | 70.8%34 W · 14 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked San Francisco Giants | 46c | 244.3$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.38 | 354 | 46%163 W · 191 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Baltimore Orioles | 80c | 243.05$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.61 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +23.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 76c | 241.84$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.22 | 554 | 64.1%355 W · 199 L | +63.1wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed San Francisco Giants | 22c | 238.3$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.43 | 508 | 60.2%306 W · 202 L | +29.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked San Francisco Giants | 46c | 235.7$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.42 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed San Francisco Giants | 25c | 230.96$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.21 | 65 | 13.8%9 W · 56 L | -7.2wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe00b…256fbacked San Francisco Giants | 45c | 228.76$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.09 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32de…ce27backed San Francisco Giants | 46c | 225$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.5 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked San Francisco Giants | 46c | 220$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 215.81$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.43 | 366 | 49.2%180 W · 186 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 213.93$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.41 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ede…0a84backed Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 209.07$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.17 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3636…ab7cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked San Francisco Giants | 46c | 199.98$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.99 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked San Francisco Giants | 47c | 180.78$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.97 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked San Francisco Giants | 28c | 173.72$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.83 | 524 | 49%257 W · 267 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa221…7868backed San Francisco Giants | 14c | 169.13$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.17 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 35cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea0…865dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 167.47$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.04 | 169 | 52.1%88 W · 81 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed Baltimore Orioles | 74c | 159.63$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.5 | 390 | 56.9%222 W · 168 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Francisco Giants vs. Baltimore Oriolesthis page
- San Francisco Giants vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 6.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5Under won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-2.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-3.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Francisco Giants vs. Baltimore OriolesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.