Tennis · resolved market
Internationaux de Strasbourg, Qualification: Anastasia Zakharova vs Daria Kasatkina
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc24c2784568b3987a978f79abfa5a3565569fd98daf2074f55228456a55cb517
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Daria Kasatkinaof Anastasia Zakharova, Daria Kasatkina
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $68,086
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $76,301
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,086 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x363c…4463backed Anastasia Zakharova | 13c | 8,361$1,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078.51 | 274 | 31.8%87 W · 187 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f75…0fbfbacked Anastasia Zakharova | 20c | 5,143$1,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.5 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9f…26e8backed Anastasia Zakharova | 16c | 5,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Anastasia Zakharova | 2c | 3,367$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.99 | 1,207 | 8%96 W · 1,111 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c87…98b1backed Anastasia Zakharova | 2c | 2,010$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 226 | 2.2%5 W · 221 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Daria Kasatkina | 73c | 1,816$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.24 | 3,319 | 48.4%1,605 W · 1,714 L | -52.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2901…f4d6backed Anastasia Zakharova | 28c | 1,177$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.47 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | -6.5wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Anastasia Zakharova | 22c | 1,136$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 798 | 55.9%446 W · 352 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x772b…a0d0backed Anastasia Zakharova | 15c | 1,102$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Anastasia Zakharova | 26c | 1,072$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.56 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Anastasia Zakharova | 16c | 1,038$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 302 | 25.8%78 W · 224 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x422c…9840backed Anastasia Zakharova | 28c | 722.1$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 234 | 29.9%70 W · 164 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Anastasia Zakharova | 17c | 588.8$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.49 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Anastasia Zakharova | 19c | 585.78$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.44 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x287d…38febacked Anastasia Zakharova | 12c | 456.08$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.73 | 374 | 21.9%82 W · 292 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc952…ef7cbacked Daria Kasatkina | 72c | 389.27$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Anastasia Zakharova | 15c | 365.31$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.57 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x332e…df71backed Anastasia Zakharova | 28c | 363.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 429 | 34.7%149 W · 280 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…f5bdbacked Anastasia Zakharova | 23c | 357.61$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.15 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1861…408dbacked Daria Kasatkina | 72c | 261$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.08 | 452 | 51.8%234 W · 218 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Daria Kasatkina | 72c | 237.43$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.91 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe521…9caebacked Anastasia Zakharova | 23c | 221.23$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 445 | 27.2%121 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Anastasia Zakharova | 17c | 189.79$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.02 | 803 | 41.8%336 W · 467 L | -20.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Daria Kasatkina | 79c | 179.99$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 1,832 | 53%971 W · 861 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…c873backed Anastasia Zakharova | 23c | 173.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Daria Kasatkina | 73c | 165.05$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.9 | 634 | 40.9%259 W · 375 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9db…dd44backed Anastasia Zakharova | 13c | 149.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +7.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60a3…3850backed Anastasia Zakharova | 13c | 143.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 856 | 24.4%209 W · 647 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Daria Kasatkina | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 1,287 | 60.7%781 W · 506 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Daria Kasatkina | 78c | 128.17$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.18 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c0…22ebbacked Anastasia Zakharova | 13c | 109.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 405 | 27.2%110 W · 295 L | -17.2wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…20bebacked Anastasia Zakharova | 12c | 100.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 482 | 14.1%68 W · 414 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Daria Kasatkina | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 527 | 50.3%265 W · 262 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbad…4f53backed Anastasia Zakharova | 16c | 96.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 354 | 44.6%158 W · 196 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Daria Kasatkina | 65c | 86.54$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.29 | 2,440 | 51.7%1,261 W · 1,179 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Anastasia Zakharova | 15c | 72.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 988 | 41.3%408 W · 580 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d53…76c3backed Daria Kasatkina | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Daria Kasatkina | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 168 | 44.6%75 W · 93 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cf…c0a1backed Anastasia Zakharova | 35c | 46.07$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.13 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 35cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…7159backed Anastasia Zakharova | 22c | 45.54$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 903 | 40.2%363 W · 540 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e9…970cbacked Daria Kasatkina | 74c | 41.89$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0589…447bbacked Daria Kasatkina | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0948…1ebbbacked Daria Kasatkina | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0976…9dcdbacked Daria Kasatkina | 74c | 40.76$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.76 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49c5…3de7backed Daria Kasatkina | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 224 | 57.6%129 W · 95 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78a0…3a2fbacked Anastasia Zakharova | 27c | 38.88$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e22…7a57backed Anastasia Zakharova | 35c | 35.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23ac…b4efbacked Anastasia Zakharova | 35c | 35.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 37cpaid | -49%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Daria Kasatkina | 73c | 35.7$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.64 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe37…911dbacked Daria Kasatkina | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 326 | 75.2%245 W · 81 L | +20.4wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1d…1f61backed Daria Kasatkina | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 71cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Daria Kasatkina | 74c | 22.91$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.96 | 7,107 | 39.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L | -17.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc987…123abacked Daria Kasatkina | 65c | 22.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.94 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96d6…5892backed Daria Kasatkina | 75c | 18.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.67 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.