Tennis · resolved market
Brescia: Darya Astakhova vs Luisina Giovannini
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0791725341ae77afde2828f2d8a554ce5302fd41d484e414c3914616c8f7c0b2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Luisina Giovanniniof Darya Astakhova, Luisina Giovannini
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,448
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,334
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,448 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Darya Astakhova | 26c | 13,722$3,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,562.09 | 937 | 40.6%380 W · 557 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Luisina Giovannini | 64c | 12,949$8,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,641.92 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d99…9675backed Darya Astakhova | 24c | 6,462$1,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,533.44 | 155 | 30.3%47 W · 108 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Luisina Giovannini | 69c | 3,173$2,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.92 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08cc…67babacked Darya Astakhova | 1c | 1,820$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.1 | 61 | 0%0 W · 61 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Darya Astakhova | 2c | 1,538$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.43 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c2…51f9backed Darya Astakhova | 36c | 1,482$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.58 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd231…633cbacked Luisina Giovannini | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked Darya Astakhova | 38c | 595.71$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 312 | 37.8%118 W · 194 L | -24.5wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6b…1a3ebacked Luisina Giovannini | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Luisina Giovannini | 62c | 376.67$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.67 | 1,023 | 41.3%422 W · 601 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56f1…e83ebacked Luisina Giovannini | 62c | 250$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 262 | 53.8%141 W · 121 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3e…ae5bbacked Darya Astakhova | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Darya Astakhova | 45c | 168.85$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.63 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Darya Astakhova | 29c | 165.32$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.81 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Luisina Giovannini | 66c | 157.93$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.97 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Luisina Giovannini | 55c | 145.38$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.42 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Luisina Giovannini | 56c | 108.89$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.91 | 1,021 | 57.8%590 W · 431 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Darya Astakhova | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Darya Astakhova | 47c | 93.54$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 1,186 | 52.4%622 W · 564 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc49…d0ffbacked Luisina Giovannini | 56c | 80$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb94…a015backed Darya Astakhova | 47c | 74.47$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Darya Astakhova | 40c | 73$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.85 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x097c…630abacked Darya Astakhova | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 210 | 52.4%110 W · 100 L | -12.1wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Luisina Giovannini | 52c | 59.69$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.65 | 1,865 | 45.6%851 W · 1,014 L | +50.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Luisina Giovannini | 64c | 57.47$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.62 | 857 | 42.8%367 W · 490 L | -23.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Luisina Giovannini | 64c | 57.29$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.62 | 788 | 47.5%374 W · 414 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca6…2779backed Darya Astakhova | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Darya Astakhova | 48c | 54.69$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0948…1ebbbacked Darya Astakhova | 45c | 53.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Darya Astakhova | 44c | 52.32$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.82 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Luisina Giovannini | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb868…5e23backed Darya Astakhova | 44c | 45.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb2…8578backed Darya Astakhova | 44c | 45.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0976…9dcdbacked Darya Astakhova | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d53…76c3backed Darya Astakhova | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Luisina Giovannini | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Darya Astakhova | 45c | 36.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Luisina Giovannini | 78c | 36.11$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.81 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10dd…4831backed Luisina Giovannini | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Luisina Giovannini | 70c | 33.62$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.09 | 1,429 | 44.2%631 W · 798 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc1…901bbacked Luisina Giovannini | 57c | 32.28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Luisina Giovannini | 69c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 737 | 48%354 W · 383 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Luisina Giovannini | 68c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee2…762bbacked Luisina Giovannini | 57c | 24.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Luisina Giovannini | 56c | 21.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.64 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00c5…b5e9backed Luisina Giovannini | 56c | 21.77$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.58 | 231 | 62.8%145 W · 86 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73d6…09edbacked Luisina Giovannini | 56c | 21.28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.28 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -5.7wins | -0.21per pick | 62cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Luisina Giovannini | 64c | 18.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 768 | 53%407 W · 361 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae02…7ed0backed Luisina Giovannini | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b2…a6a3backed Luisina Giovannini | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 49 | 79.6%39 W · 10 L | +6.5wins | +0.13per pick | 66cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Luisina Giovannini | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.