Tennis · resolved market
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Polona Hercog vs Anna Bondar
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf2def26b887b7328b3c4c7b0885ed207d4e50150a6a83a5e6b5987e984204039
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Anna Bondarof Polona Hercog, Anna Bondar
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $77,885
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $87,219
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,885 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Polona Hercog | 3c | 36,966$1,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275.57 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Polona Hercog | 19c | 5,180$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.8 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Polona Hercog | 20c | 2,989$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.77 | 689 | 35%241 W · 448 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…78eabacked Anna Bondar | 77c | 2,865$2,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.81 | 1,040 | 58.2%605 W · 435 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Anna Bondar | 80c | 2,695$2,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…235bbacked Polona Hercog | 4c | 2,590$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.5 | 204 | 12.7%26 W · 178 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Polona Hercog | 30c | 2,181$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.53 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Anna Bondar | 79c | 1,301$1,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.29 | 217 | 43.8%95 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc00…79f8backed Anna Bondar | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 410 | 60.5%248 W · 162 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Polona Hercog | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 856 | 34.2%293 W · 563 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Polona Hercog | 19c | 883.16$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.44 | 278 | 36.3%101 W · 177 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Polona Hercog | 11c | 665.01$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.45 | 377 | 41.4%156 W · 221 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca20…7b68backed Polona Hercog | 16c | 659.78$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.52 | 574 | 47.7%274 W · 300 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2901…f4d6backed Anna Bondar | 68c | 590.61$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | -6.5wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Polona Hercog | 14c | 354.83$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.28 | 971 | 41.4%402 W · 569 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Polona Hercog | 12c | 350.72$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.61 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7454…57f2backed Polona Hercog | 20c | 306.82$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 209 | 49.8%104 W · 105 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Anna Bondar | 68c | 252.84$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.91 | 1,065 | 57.4%611 W · 454 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Polona Hercog | 20c | 248$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.96 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Polona Hercog | 18c | 245.33$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.43 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Polona Hercog | 20c | 240.88$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.07 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c3…079fbacked Anna Bondar | 66c | 181$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.54 | 893 | 64.4%575 W · 318 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d53…76c3backed Anna Bondar | 79c | 161.54$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.92 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Polona Hercog | 7c | 152$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…aaa3backed Anna Bondar | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 692 | 53.3%369 W · 323 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Anna Bondar | 79c | 130$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Anna Bondar | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 252 | 57.9%146 W · 106 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1740…529ebacked Anna Bondar | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x592c…ee32backed Anna Bondar | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -7.2wins | -0.14per pick | 66cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed Anna Bondar | 76c | 125.09$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.02 | 567 | 57.1%324 W · 243 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…b875backed Anna Bondar | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 711 | 65.1%463 W · 248 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed Anna Bondar | 80c | 101.25$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 849 | 68.4%581 W · 268 L | +25.9wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d18…6f62backed Anna Bondar | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 560 | 62.5%350 W · 210 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Polona Hercog | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 332 | 41.6%138 W · 194 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x534a…023abacked Polona Hercog | 21c | 97.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Polona Hercog | 19c | 94.77$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 552 | 43.3%239 W · 313 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf753…bcfebacked Polona Hercog | 16c | 92.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 537 | 36.9%198 W · 339 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Anna Bondar | 77c | 86.95$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1,094 | 52.4%573 W · 521 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Polona Hercog | 23c | 86.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Polona Hercog | 20c | 82.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.06 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe720…2bb3backed Polona Hercog | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 76 | 36.8%28 W · 48 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Anna Bondar | 67c | 75.76$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9851…1320backed Polona Hercog | 20c | 69.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e45…39dabacked Anna Bondar | 73c | 68.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 185 | 51.9%96 W · 89 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b3…4756backed Anna Bondar | 73c | 68.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27cf…979abacked Anna Bondar | 73c | 68.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 181 | 48.1%87 W · 94 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Anna Bondar | 77c | 65.22$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Anna Bondar | 68c | 58.55$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.74 | 1,021 | 57.8%590 W · 431 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d75…26fbbacked Anna Bondar | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 163 | 58.9%96 W · 67 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf676…9a00backed Anna Bondar | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 201 | 58.7%118 W · 83 L | -12.8wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ded…68a3backed Anna Bondar | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 885 | 60.2%533 W · 352 L | -13.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78a0…3a2fbacked Polona Hercog | 24c | 43.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb821…5cddbacked Anna Bondar | 79c | 40.06$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 364 | 64.3%234 W · 130 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…42e8backed Anna Bondar | 73c | 33.24$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 898 | 59.7%536 W · 362 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0976…9dcdbacked Anna Bondar | 79c | 31.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc52…dfcebacked Anna Bondar | 79c | 29.76$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd7…db07backed Anna Bondar | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 192 | 51.6%99 W · 93 L | -14.6wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Anna Bondar | 74c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x734e…292ebacked Anna Bondar | 79c | 22.78$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.78 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf9f…1390backed Anna Bondar | 79c | 21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.41 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f29…5dfabacked Anna Bondar | 76c | 18.66$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 120 | 67.5%81 W · 39 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Anna Bondar | 78c | 18.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.1 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Anna Bondar | 80c | 14.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.91 | 803 | 41.8%336 W · 467 L | -20.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdff6…0918backed Anna Bondar | 77c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.22 | 498 | 57%284 W · 214 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.