MLB · resolved market
Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x64b20e986ef477690afe7b934c7a7eac3c7e827f7c5a10119fdf41d2fc1c4da7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Houston Astrosof Seattle Mariners, Houston Astros
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $620,100
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $630,214
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $620,100 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 259 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Seattle Mariners | 52c | 239,285$123,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123,612.69 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Houston Astros | 49c | 156,468$76,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79,653.75 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Seattle Mariners | 48c | 33,143$15,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,760.27 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Houston Astros | 44c | 30,783$13,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,186.82 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed Seattle Mariners | 46c | 20,751$9,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,545.47 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Houston Astros | 30c | 15,916$4,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,127.95 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Houston Astros | 60c | 11,610$6,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,633.38 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0df…5974backed Houston Astros | 53c | 10,281$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,780.69 | 222 | 57.2%127 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Houston Astros | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,700 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30c1…9f91backed Houston Astros | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,700 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Seattle Mariners | 1c | 9,267$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.32 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Houston Astros | 54c | 9,259$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,259.26 | 233 | 57.9%135 W · 98 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b10…acabbacked Houston Astros | 48c | 8,926$4,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,611.12 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Houston Astros | 50c | 8,574$4,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,261.88 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea39…9d34backed Houston Astros | 53c | 7,640$4,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,624.16 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07c8…e891backed Seattle Mariners | 47c | 6,615$3,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,109.03 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Houston Astros | 48c | 6,007$2,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,123.63 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Houston Astros | 39c | 5,119$2,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,105.69 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Houston Astros | 28c | 4,063$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,913.55 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc48…7294backed Seattle Mariners | 47c | 3,232$1,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,519.03 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Houston Astros | 53c | 3,099$1,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,456.53 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce36…2b99backed Houston Astros | 54c | 2,919$1,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,342.89 | 71 | 32.4%23 W · 48 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc638…43b4backed Houston Astros | 53c | 2,842$1,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,335.93 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Seattle Mariners | 45c | 2,343$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058.11 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Seattle Mariners | 77c | 2,179$1,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,677.49 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…9324backed Houston Astros | 53c | 2,174$1,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.74 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Houston Astros | 53c | 2,159$1,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,014.85 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Seattle Mariners | 76c | 2,147$1,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,631.48 | 873 | 52.7%460 W · 413 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Houston Astros | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 246 | 39%96 W · 150 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b62…5cc8backed Houston Astros | 57c | 2,000$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73f6…a10abacked Seattle Mariners | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 171 | 50.3%86 W · 85 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Houston Astros | 65c | 1,974$1,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.72 | 319 | 57.4%183 W · 136 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…8416backed Houston Astros | 53c | 1,930$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$907.01 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab5…63a1backed Houston Astros | 53c | 1,881$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9106…d826backed Houston Astros | 53c | 1,805$957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Houston Astros | 43c | 1,802$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.14 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Houston Astros | 53c | 1,733$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.36 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Houston Astros | 54c | 1,640$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.6 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e6…4c4ebacked Seattle Mariners | 4c | 1,600$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 50 | 4%2 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e8…9490backed Seattle Mariners | 4c | 1,600$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 43 | 0%0 W · 43 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Houston Astros | 51c | 1,524$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.99 | 265 | 45.7%121 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Houston Astros | 58c | 1,519$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.8 | 473 | 58.4%276 W · 197 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0160…c757backed Seattle Mariners | 4c | 1,425$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.75 | 53 | 3.8%2 W · 51 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x963e…61ccbacked Houston Astros | 53c | 1,388$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Houston Astros | 61c | 1,386$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.17 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6374…6408backed Seattle Mariners | 13c | 1,278$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Seattle Mariners | 26c | 1,248$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.72 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a76…29dcbacked Houston Astros | 63c | 1,224$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.63 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Houston Astros | 60c | 1,176$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.25 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Houston Astros | 37c | 1,041$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.69 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Houston Astros | 53c | 1,019$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.87 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Houston Astros | 53c | 1,002$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.94 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Seattle Mariners | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Seattle Mariners | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 290 | 46.6%135 W · 155 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Houston Astros | 59c | 973.6$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.06 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…9bb3backed Seattle Mariners | 11c | 870$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.7 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd19…3f54backed Houston Astros | 48c | 800$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b2…1c67backed Houston Astros | 59c | 799.99$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 780.1$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.23 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Seattle Mariners | 15c | 733$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.97 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb88…0e4cbacked Houston Astros | 70c | 729.46$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.84 | 104 | 65.4%68 W · 36 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Houston Astros | 55c | 710.45$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.35 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f82…9ae1backed Houston Astros | 54c | 710.18$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.18 | 229 | 48.9%112 W · 117 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5b…7fdcbacked Seattle Mariners | 78c | 641.03$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Seattle Mariners | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Houston Astros | 43c | 636.18$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.52 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Houston Astros | 53c | 629$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.99 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Houston Astros | 53c | 589.45$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.04 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Houston Astros | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.04 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fe…359dbacked Seattle Mariners | 59c | 524.97$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.24 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Houston Astros | 49c | 519.63$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.27 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Houston Astros | 47c | 512.11$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.5 | 310 | 52.6%163 W · 147 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0926…6721backed Seattle Mariners | 47c | 509.8$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.61 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Seattle Mariners | 46c | 505.19$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.28 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb46…48efbacked Seattle Mariners | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Seattle Mariners | 65c | 499.85$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.36 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Seattle Mariners | 60c | 487.46$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.57 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Houston Astros | 52c | 482.3$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.72 | 349 | 52.7%184 W · 165 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Houston Astros | 60c | 481.01$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.9 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Houston Astros | 38c | 476.32$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.32 | 190 | 51.1%97 W · 93 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad54…006abacked Houston Astros | 49c | 459.18$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.18 | 580 | 60.5%351 W · 229 L | +30.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x080e…78a5backed Houston Astros | 43c | 417.65$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.06 | 91 | 29.7%27 W · 64 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…2b75backed Houston Astros | 53c | 416.66$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.83 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8421…4e30backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 399.99$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.99 | 90 | 36.7%33 W · 57 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…0000backed Houston Astros | 54c | 384.33$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.45 | 486 | 60.5%294 W · 192 L | +40.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8b…37c8backed Seattle Mariners | 65c | 378$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.7 | 95 | 70.5%67 W · 28 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Seattle Mariners | 45c | 369.82$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.42 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Houston Astros | 53c | 336$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.92 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Houston Astros | 54c | 333.33$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.33 | 151 | 53%80 W · 71 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67be…6e09backed Houston Astros | 29c | 330$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 272 | 31.3%85 W · 187 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d14…663fbacked Houston Astros | 53c | 330$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.1 | 168 | 56.5%95 W · 73 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed Seattle Mariners | 15c | 320$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 210 | 33.3%70 W · 140 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9572…efffbacked Seattle Mariners | 17c | 312.98$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.21 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Seattle Mariners | 29c | 300$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Houston Astros | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Seattle Mariners | 46c | 295.76$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.3 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5db…5800backed Houston Astros | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.12 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +4.5wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd52…aa25backed Houston Astros | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.78 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Seattle Mariners | 22c | 271.31$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.59 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Seattle Mariners | 26c | 267.14$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.42 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astrosthis page
- Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros: O/U 10.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros: O/U 11.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros: O/U 12.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros: O/U 7.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-2.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5)Houston Astros won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Seattle Mariners vs. Houston AstrosYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.